1. #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Friday, 4/8/16

    2 MLB Plays Friday

    Cubs / Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 -120 (Heritage)
    Athletics +158 (Heritage)


    YTD: 10-7, +5.33

  2. #2
    MvA
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    Any 60er Lt?

    Thank you

  3. #3
    LT Profits
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    60%ers:

    Mets 69% (-223)
    Pittsburgh 64% (-178)
    St. Louis 62% (-163)
    Angels 63% (-170)

  4. #4
    Nateboogy
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    I have under 9 -105. Still worth a play?

  5. #5
    franklissa
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    yes

  6. #6
    GGGJR82
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    New to this thread sorry if you already answered but what is the difference between first 2 plays & 60%ers... Thanks

  7. #7
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nateboogy View Post
    I have under 9 -105. Still worth a play?
    Yes at -105 or better, so -9 -105 is the very worst price I would accept.

  8. #8
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by GGGJR82 View Post
    New to this thread sorry if you already answered but what is the difference between first 2 plays & 60%ers... Thanks
    The 60%ers are only plays that my model shows a 60% chance or better of winning, I only post them because people asked for them. I almost never bet them myself and sometimes go against them if the price is right.

  9. #9
    NJsportsGuy732
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    I'm liking the Cubs dbacks under play. Especially after all the runs they put up last night.

  10. #10
    agendaman
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    anyone know why the n.y.-Detroit and t.bay-balt. games keep going off the board also the total for s.d.-color. is 10.5 does vegas expect the padres to score

  11. #11
    Capybara
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    What's up, LT? Nooooo, you're fading my boy Taijuan Walker, my fantasy team needs a big game from him! Just because the A's rocked him at the start of last year does not mean that happens again! And don't forget this Seattle team has hotter bats already than they had all last year with bums like Dustin Ackley in there and the playing-through-pain Robbie Cano.

    Regarding the 60%ers, I don't understand why everyone asks you for that... Did anyone ever do an analysis of their actual success? If not, then what good is it? I don't mean anything negative about your model, I just mean what good is knowing who your model spits out as 60%, especially given the enormous prices on them, unless someone actually kept track and saw that 75% of them won or something like that?

  12. #12
    jmac227
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    Hey LT, why would you not play the Angels at the current line around -130 if your model has them winning 63% of the time?

  13. #13
    iloseagain
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    Quote Originally Posted by agendaman View Post
    anyone know why the n.y.-Detroit and t.bay-balt. games keep going off the board also the total for s.d.-color. is 10.5 does vegas expect the padres to score
    padres wont have to score considering rado gona put up 11 themselves

  14. #14
    jgold254
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    Quote Originally Posted by Capybara View Post
    What's up, LT? Nooooo, you're fading my boy Taijuan Walker, my fantasy team needs a big game from him! Just because the A's rocked him at the start of last year does not mean that happens again! And don't forget this Seattle team has hotter bats already than they had all last year with bums like Dustin Ackley in there and the playing-through-pain Robbie Cano.

    Regarding the 60%ers, I don't understand why everyone asks you for that... Did anyone ever do an analysis of their actual success? If not, then what good is it? I don't mean anything negative about your model, I just mean what good is knowing who your model spits out as 60%, especially given the enormous prices on them, unless someone actually kept track and saw that 75% of them won or something like that?
    Some people don't care about juice and just want the high probability winners. LT posted 6 of the 60%ers on Opening Day and only 1 lost. I could see that if I was picking a couple to lay several thousand on... Disclaimer: I don't.

  15. #15
    KC780
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    Quote Originally Posted by Capybara View Post
    What's up, LT? Nooooo, you're fading my boy Taijuan Walker, my fantasy team needs a big game from him! Just because the A's rocked him at the start of last year does not mean that happens again! And don't forget this Seattle team has hotter bats already than they had all last year with bums like Dustin Ackley in there and the playing-through-pain Robbie Cano.

    Regarding the 60%ers, I don't understand why everyone asks you for that... Did anyone ever do an analysis of their actual success? If not, then what good is it? I don't mean anything negative about your model, I just mean what good is knowing who your model spits out as 60%, especially given the enormous prices on them, unless someone actually kept track and saw that 75% of them won or something like that?
    Its additional information for those that arent strictly following LT... I also live-bet sometimes when the odds change during the game as well.

  16. #16
    Slipknot26
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    I'm tracking the 60% this year personally. That's why I asked last week if anyone did last year's .
    It could be beneficial to play every dog and turn a profit due to the odds you're getting.
    You won't have to hit anywhere near 50%

  17. #17
    Capybara
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    Quote Originally Posted by Slipknot26 View Post
    I'm tracking the 60% this year personally. That's why I asked last week if anyone did last year's .
    It could be beneficial to play every dog and turn a profit due to the odds you're getting.
    You won't have to hit anywhere near 50%
    Umm, okay, but I'm not sure which dogs you're saying you'd play. All the ones *except* the ones opposing LT's 60% likely winners? Or those ones?

    Thanks also to the other two who replied to my query!

  18. #18
    readytowinem
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    Quote Originally Posted by iloseagain View Post
    padres wont have to score considering rado gona put up 11 themselves
    Seems like a trap line...padres score 0 in 3 games then they make the over 10.5...something isn't right...

  19. #19
    LT Profits
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    1 MLB Addition

    3 MLB Plays Friday

    Cubs / Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 -120 (Heritage)
    Rangers / Angels UNDER 8 -110 (Heritage)
    Athletics +158 (Heritage)

  20. #20
    Jayvegas420
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    Good Luck LT
    Name:  tumblr_m3krsrHxYK1qdlh1io1_400.gif
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Size:  1,023.4 KB

  21. #21
    Ghenghis Kahn
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    will the padres score a run this season?

    yes +1000000
    no -1000000000000000000

  22. #22
    HurlSweatPants
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ghenghis Kahn View Post
    will the padres score a run this season?

    yes +1000000
    no -1000000000000000000
    BOOM!!! The streak is over.

  23. #23
    Ghenghis Kahn
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    lol on que

  24. #24
    iloseagain
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    4 for the pads lol.. This game looked sketchy.. Played padres and over

    6-2 now

  25. #25
    Jayvegas420
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    Nice hit ILA
    I was on the under.

    Didn't see the Padres ringing off 6 in one inning

  26. #26
    iloseagain
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jayvegas420 View Post
    Nice hit ILA
    I was on the under.

    Didn't see the Padres ringing off 6 in one inning
    overs good but pads might give it up ha

  27. #27
    jgold254
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    Yikes... Runs are coming early in the Rangers game. Torn because I have them for the series.

  28. #28
    POOLSIDE
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    Quote Originally Posted by jgold254 View Post
    Yikes... Runs are coming early in the Rangers game. Torn because I have them for the series.
    Yeah we're in trouble here

  29. #29
    jgold254
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    Figures it goes over and A's simultaneously lose the lead. Cubs under is looking strong, though.

  30. #30
    ThaTopMoron
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    Cubs under a terrific play

    it felt right... looked over some things for the game and liked it even more, then tailed


  31. #31
    afgballer56
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    great work again LT

  32. #32
    jgold254
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    Another day in the positive. Great call on Oakland. LT still killin' those dogs!

  33. #33
    POOLSIDE
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    LT building momentum

  34. #34
    Kinghill5
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    3 MLB Plays Friday

    Cubs / Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 -120 (Heritage)
    Rangers / Angels UNDER 8 -110 (Heritage)
    Athletics +158 (Heritage)
    Your late add in was my only miss on my 5 team parlay OUCH. (50/728) I need to realize that if it's not in your initial post it may not be as high of a play as others

    I'm a real dunce as I included the Rangers under instead of the A's in the Parlay. Could have been an amazing payday if I didn't suck so bad...
    Last edited by Kinghill5; 04-09-16 at 09:48 AM.

  35. #35
    jjgold
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    good start to year LT

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