1. 04-03-16 12:48 PM #1
    CappinTerp
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    Baseball 2016

    Hey guys,hope all is well out there. Going to do another thread this season. For the newer cappers at SBR: I power weight the games between 1 - 6 units, with 6 unit games being very rare.( prob 4-5 games for the season) I will do a write up on the games that are 3-6 units. All games will be listed pitchers. I bet a lot of dogs,when I bet a fav. I really don't like laying much more than - 135! When it comes to totals, for the most part,prefer to look at unders for AL games and overs for NL games. See no need to bet more than 2 units on a game until early May. Ideas,thoughts, are welcomed.Win or loose will up date record on Daily basis. And as always feel free to tail,fade or pass............Hope all have a profitable season!!.......................GL
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  2. 04-03-16 01:40 PM #2
    EXhoosier10
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  3. 04-04-16 11:25 AM #3
    CappinTerp
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    Balt. / Minn. - under 9 -110....1 unit.................................... ....gl
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  4. 04-05-16 11:35 AM #4
    CappinTerp
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    REVERSE: SEA -105 and OVER 8.5 -115(same)....1 unit

    LAD / SD - UNDER 7.5 -115................................1.5 UNITS................................... ........GL


    MLB: 1-0
    YTD: +1.00 UNITS
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  5. 04-05-16 11:57 AM #5
    CappinTerp
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    ​clev. -105 ff...................1 unit.................................... ......gl
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  6. 04-05-16 02:25 PM #6
    CappinTerp
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    Hey guys, just something to mention since it came up. Had a push today with Clev. FF. For the purpose of record keeping any push or tie,will not be part of the won,loss record............................BOL
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  7. 04-06-16 07:47 AM #7
    CappinTerp
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    SEA / TX - OVER 9.5 -110....2 UNITS - Lewis in 17 starts at home (last year) has a 5.07 ERA.Miley in just 2 starts there has a 4.63 ERA,this will be his 1 st start for SEA. Both teams have the bats.....worth a small play.................................... gl






    Hit the reverse and total play on LAD/SD,Push on Tribe total, for a 3-0 day,+5.50 units.





    MLB: 4-0
    YTD: +6.50 UNITS
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  8. 04-06-16 11:03 AM #8
    CappinTerp
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    Anybody out there on ATL. +180 ??? Yea,know Braves are bad and have lost 15 of last 20 games vs Nats. But Strasburg has a high 4.79 ERA in 9 starts at Turner Field. Can not pull trigger,ideas guys ??
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  9. 04-06-16 11:31 AM #9
    slam77
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    Quote Originally Posted by CappinTerp View Post
    Anybody out there on ATL. +180 ??? Yea,know Braves are bad and have lost 15 of last 20 games vs Nats. But Strasburg has a high 4.79 ERA in 9 starts at Turner Field. Can not pull trigger,ideas guys ??
    I'm on them. Strasburg is 8-11 career vs Bravos. 3.77 era though which isn't awful. Strictly a value play here for me as Norris is 2-1 vs Nats. If braves were +160 or lower it wouldn't be a play. However, I'm 4-7 to start this year, so tread my intelligence lightly.
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  10. 04-06-16 11:58 AM #10
    Smutbucket
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    I was eyeing the braves team total over 3 quite heavily...but decided to lay off...word is strasburg is dealing right now and in great form....last year when he came back from injury he faced the braves twice and shut them out twice, thats what off put me
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  11. 04-06-16 01:23 PM #11
    CappinTerp
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    Quote Originally Posted by slam77 View Post

    I'm on them. Strasburg is 8-11 career vs Bravos. 3.77 era though which isn't awful. Strictly a value play here for me as Norris is 2-1 vs Nats. If braves were +160 or lower it wouldn't be a play. However, I'm 4-7 to start this year, so tread my intelligence lightly.
    Quote Originally Posted by Smutbucket View Post
    I was eyeing the braves team total over 3 quite heavily...but decided to lay off...word is strasburg is dealing right now and in great form....last year when he came back from injury he faced the braves twice and shut them out twice, thats what off put me



    yea guys one thing about Strausburg he is over rated and there for over priced. Both you guys thanks 4 the feedback....still don't know may pass.....................guys lets make money this year!!!
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  12. 04-06-16 01:30 PM #12
    CappinTerp
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    Smutbucked I go 2 ur thread....I don't know how u do it with using saber metrics,it seem so hard (2 me) 2 know what comes into play.!!!!!
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  13. 04-06-16 03:53 PM #13
    MecStar
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    CappinTerp = Monsta !!!! Over comes threw
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  14. 04-06-16 04:13 PM #14
    CappinTerp
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    Quote Originally Posted by MecStar View Post
    CappinTerp = Monsta !!!! Over comes threw
    Yea, but would have,should have, could have.................................... ..I was 2 tepid...I WAS going 2 do a 2 unit reverse: SEA+ OVER,would have made 8 units!!
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  15. 04-06-16 04:22 PM #15
    MecStar
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    Plenty of time brotha plenty of time !!!! Let's enjoy that win and keep rolling!!! Anything later to hammer ?
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  16. 04-06-16 04:44 PM #16
    CappinTerp
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    Quote Originally Posted by MecStar View Post
    Plenty of time brotha plenty of time !!!! Let's enjoy that win and keep rolling!!! Anything later to hammer ?
    You r right on!! did u know,when there is a full slate of games on a day,there r over 250 + 2 bet baseball!!!!
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  17. 04-06-16 05:39 PM #17
    MecStar
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    What u think bout the cards ? Can't see that team getting swept
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  18. 04-06-16 06:48 PM #18
    CappinTerp
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    Quote Originally Posted by MecStar View Post
    What u think bout the cards ? Can't see that team getting swept
    Got no option on Cards. See no other plays tonight.Just going to ring the register. And call it a day,don't want to press or give anything back........As they say, no one goes broke taking a profit!!!............................... .......................gl
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  19. 04-06-16 06:50 PM #19
    MecStar
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    Quote Originally Posted by CappinTerp View Post
    Got no option on Cards. See no other plays tonight.Just going to ring the register. And call it a day,don't want to press or give anything back........As they say, no one goes broke taking a profit!!!............................... .......................gl
    AMEN TO THAT... tomorrow another day to get this money keep rolling and always appreciated for your winners 👍🏻
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  20. 04-07-16 07:11 AM #20
    Smutbucket
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    Quote Originally Posted by CappinTerp View Post
    Smutbucked I go 2 ur thread....I don't know how u do it with using saber metrics,it seem so hard (2 me) 2 know what comes into play.!!!!!
    Ya its tricky, always kinda adapting and evolving tickering to find out what works best, sucks cuz I really struggled last year for the first time and all the time put into it can be disheartening....

    anyways keep killing it dude! glad to see ya back. what was that streak you had in spring training a few years back ? 13/14 in a row?!? UNREAL!
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  21. 04-07-16 07:21 AM #21
    CappinTerp
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    Quote Originally Posted by Smutbucket View Post
    Ya its tricky, always kinda adapting and evolving tickering to find out what works best, sucks cuz I really struggled last year for the first time and all the time put into it can be disheartening....

    anyways keep killing it dude! glad to see ya back. what was that streak you had in spring training a few years back ? 13/14 in a row?!? UNREAL!
    Well with all that data to consume,ur a better man than me, I would not know whats worth,what ?.....Yea, 3 years ago I started out baseball going 15 - 0 !!...A little luck never hurts!!!
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  22. 04-07-16 09:37 AM #22
    CappinTerp
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    PHIL + 116 FF...2 UNITS - Both teams will be bad this year. Reds starter Stephenson will make his Major League debut!! This guy was the Reds first round pick back in 2011, he was even cut from spring training roster last month!!! But was told to be ready,Homer Bailey can not go today,so Stephenson with his 9.58 ERA,this spring,will get a spot start. Don't trust Phil. bullpen,that is why the bet is for the first five innings. Vet. Morton making 1st start with new team. I can hear the Reds starter knees shaking already!!...We will see what happens................................. .............GL

    MLB: 5-0
    YTD: +8.50 UNITS
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  23. 04-08-16 10:11 AM #23
    CappinTerp
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    Lost the first game of the season yesterday, and plenty more where that came from!

    DET -111....2 UNITS
    SD + 124....1.5 UNITS
    CLEV/CWS UNDER 8 +100...........1 UNIT.................................... ....GL


    MLB:5-1
    YTD: + 6.50 UNITS
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  24. 04-08-16 12:35 PM #24
    trobin31
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    Nice start terp
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  25. 04-08-16 05:29 PM #25
    Aye J Mac
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    Nice going bro
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  26. 04-09-16 08:49 AM #26
    CappinTerp
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    Gotta run, prob. back later....good luck guys!



    R.SOX +114......1.5 UNITS
    CLEV/CWS - UNDER 7 -20........1 UNIT


    MLB:7-1
    YTD:+10.36 UNITS
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  27. 04-09-16 08:57 AM #27
    Conqueror
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    Wow! Great run.
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  28. 04-09-16 09:09 AM #28
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by CappinTerp View Post
    Gotta run, prob. back later....good luck guys!



    R.SOX +114......1.5 UNITS
    CLEV/CWS - UNDER 7 -20........1 UNIT


    MLB:7-1
    YTD:+10.36 UNITS
    Damn, Rick Porcello is garbage, but you're the man. Best of luck buddy
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  29. 04-09-16 11:23 AM #29
    CappinTerp
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    Hey Raven,how is it going for you??...Yea Porcello had a bad season LY, and has a career 5.29 ERA vs Jays.Don't understand why the line is not higher??.............we will see what happens...................BOL
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  30. 04-09-16 01:38 PM #30
    Aye J Mac
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    Goodluck bro
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  31. 04-09-16 01:48 PM #31
    CappinTerp
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    Hey, trobin,Aye,conqueror, thanks for the feedback. I do all this work(win or loose) and share it with everyone,it is a good thing,knowing that someone appreciate's it!..................................BOL
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  32. 04-09-16 01:55 PM #32
    Aye J Mac
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    Any plays left for today?? What's your play on SF vs Dodgers
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  33. 04-09-16 03:19 PM #33
    CappinTerp
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    Will not play the LAD game,still looking at others.
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  34. 04-09-16 04:25 PM #34
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by CappinTerp View Post
    Hey Raven,how is it going for you??...Yea Porcello had a bad season LY, and has a career 5.29 ERA vs Jays.Don't understand why the line is not higher??.............we will see what happens...................BOL
    Hence why I say you're the man...excellent call. I didn't play it, but I was on Cinci
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  35. 04-10-16 07:22 AM #35
    CappinTerp
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    laa/tx - over 8-120................2 units.................................gl


    mlb:8-2
    ytd:+10.87 units................FYI- Weaver may have a "dead arm" and still struggling to find his velocity,Perez is wild and has control problems.
    Last edited by CappinTerp; 04-10-16 at 07:30 AM.
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