Okay a few things, Im getting the fuk out of this slump. Luckily I have actually been killing draftkings lately despite my regular wagering slump. Been hardcore number crunching all last night and all day today. Fuk betting just one game a day I cant stand that as I had a few winners circled yesterday but just went with detroit. Got to just adapt and readjust and stick to the numbers. Need to pay more attention to certain red flags and focus on the situational angles as well. Going to try to put out more writeups for all you as I feel like it also helps me with my picks visualizing and putting on paper the angles I like (also for future refrence .i.e. what angles worked well and which did not)
5/6
Detroit (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units
Although I have been riding Hamels a lot this year, I feel like this is a good spot to fade him. He was not himself at all last game coming back from a groin injury and he could still be feeling the effects. Not only is this Tiger lineup familiar with him, but they have hit him well. Hamels has also struggled with his control, having his career low zone % at 40 and a terrible 21% in his last outing. We all know how well this Tigers team has hit lefties last year and they continue to hit them hard this season sporting the second best hard % at 37.3%. Tigers also have an edge in bullpen as Rangers have a bottom 5 bullpen in regards to WHIP at 1.4 this season and 1.31 over the last 2 seasons. If youve been reading this thread then you already know how I feel about Zimm.
Athletics FF (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Jiminez as usual is struggling with control sporting the league lowest zone % at 39.4%. The scouting report for him is in on this and teams are only swinging at 40% of his pitches. The A's are not ones to swing at pitches outside of the zone with an o-zone% of 26.7% . Last year when they faced jimeniz they only swung at 37% of his pitches and 22% outside the zone. In 2014, it was even less swinging at just 27.5% of his pitches and 10% outside of the zone. In those two games he pitches a total of 7.1 innings, gave up 11 hits, 7 walks and 10 earned runs. Rich hill on the other side has been fantastic. His curveball and slider have a 13-16 mph differential from his fastball and they have been dominant. Orioles active roster has struggled he most against the curve over the last 2 years as they hit are the 2nd lowest at hitting it with a -.82 wCB/c. Lets take them in the FF as I feel like its an easier cash than the full game.
LAD/Tor Under 8 (-105) Risking 1.05 units to win 1 units
I watched all of Maeda last game and really liked what I saw from him. Both these pitchers have an arsenal of different pitch types and ways to throw them that will leave the hitters guessing. Nor has either team faced either pitcher so I think this will be a low scoring affair. I think the power of these two lineups are keeping this line higher than it should be.
5/8
Nationals +1.5 (+110) Risking 1 unit to win 1.1 units
Red Sox (+115) Risking 1 unit to win 1.15 units
Phils (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 units
5/10 :
Ari/Col Over 11 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Detroit (+170) Risking 1 unit to win 1.7 units
Yanks -1 RL (-133) Risking 1.33 units to win 1 units
Sea/TB FF Under 3.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
5/11
Det/Wash Over 7 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
LAD/NYM FF under 3.5 (-130) Risking 1.3 units to win 1 units
Oakland +1.5 (-105) Risking 1.05 units to win 1 units
5/12:
Houston (+135) Risking 1 unit to win 1.35 units
KC/NYY under 7.5 (-105) Risking 1.05 units to win 1 units
Dodgers -1 (-190) Risking 1.9 units to win 1 units
5/15
Angels (+145) Risking 1 unit to win 1.45 units
Twins (+132) Risking 1 unit to win 1.32 units
2 team parlay: Yanks and Orioles (+144) Risking 1 unit to win 1.44 units
5/16
Twins (+145) Risking 1 unit to win 1.45 units
Marlins -1 RL (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
2 Team Parlay: Pirates and Dodgers (+131) Risking 1 unit to win 1.3 units
Yesterday Results: 1-3 -2.4 units
liking this card a lot
5/18
Boston Gm1 (+100) Risking 1.5 units to win 1 units
Phil (+100) Risking 1 unit to win 1 units
Det/Min Over 9 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units
Hou/CWS Over 9 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units
Feel like the bookies have been doing a real good job mind penetrating me with their lines and line movements, scaring me off plays and baiting me on bad ones. Need to just focus on the numbers and not look too much into the numbers the bookies put out there, its just not my forte. . just need to focus on winners
two big bets for me tmrw, might add one tmrw after lineups released
5/19
Seattle (+115) Risking 2 units to win 2.3 units
Colorado (+115) Risking 2 units to win 2.3 units
5/20
Braves/Phil FF Under 3.5 (110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Rays (-110) Risking 2.2 units to win 2 units
Seattle (-142) Risking 1.42 units to win 1 units
5/23
Reds +1.5 (+140) Risking 1 unit to win 1.4 units
Padres +1.5 (-135) Risking 1.35 units to win 1 units
Padres (+165) Risking .5 units to win .83 units
Phil (-107) Risking 1.07 units to win 1 units
KC (-130) Risking 1.3 units to win 1 units
5/24
Toronto (+120) Risking 1 unit to win 1.2 units
Colorado +1.5 (+125) Risking 1 unit to win 1.25 units
Colorado TT over 3.5 (+115) Risking .5 units to win .58 units
Colorado ML (+260) Risking .5 units to win 1.3 units
Royals (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units
Clev/CWS FF Under 4 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units
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Originally Posted by SlickRick1382
day +3.73 units
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