1. #1
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    Chasin' that Green - 2015 MLB Playoffs

    AL WILD CARD GAME - HOUSTON ASTROS (D. Keuchel) @ NY YANKEES (M. Tanaka)
    Tuesday, October 6th (8:00pm EST)


    Very intriguing match-up to open this years Playoff chase. Vegas is just begging for money to be put on the Pinstripes. For the Astros, Keuchel has been a stud, and likely the front runner for the AL Cy Young. But he's starting on 3 days rest, which he's never done, but he's owned the Yankees in the past. The lineup is young, but productive....however they have ZERO playoff experience outside of Gomez and Gattis. Lots of free swingers, who can blast 3 or 4 out a game, or can K over a dozen times a game.

    The Yanks come into this game playing likely their worst baseball of the year. They have made adjustments to their lineup to take a few lefties out....however, they still have 4, with a couple switch hitters who are better from the left side. Tanaka is very capable of putting a lot of Astros down on strikes, but also capable of making a few mistakes.....as he was taken yard a ton this year.

    I'm going to try not to get too caught up in home field advantage and experience this year, as it's burned me in the past. Just going to look at the players on the field.....and I think Houston matches up well here, especially on the hump. Yankees as the dog at home with Tanaka is very tempting, but I'm going to stick to my guns here.

    MY PICK : Houston Astros -107 (Risk $267.50 to Win $250)

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    Good work last night gentlemen! Im glad we didnt get suckered into NYY based on the line. The game went almost exactly according to plan.

  3. #3
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    2015 MLB Playoffs Record to Date: 1-0 (100.0%) +$250.00.........+1.00 units


    NL WILD CARD GAME - CHICAGO CUBS (J. Arrieta) @ PITTSBURGH PIRATES (G. Cole)
    Wednesday, October 7th (8:00pm EST)


    Another intriguing match-up today. There has been a lot of talk about just how dominate Jake from State-Farm has been this year, especially in the second half.....and all of it is true. He has been lights out....no question about it, and has been incredibly good against the Bucs. On the other hand, Cole has blossomed into a legit Ace, and had himself a fantastic season as well....including owning the Cubs this year. Neither pitcher has given up a HR against any of the likely starters tonight....so don't expect many fireworks.

    These teams mirror each other in many ways. The big difference offensively is the Cubs have shown a tendency to leave the yard a bit more (playing at Wrigley can help that).........but OPS and the running game are basically identical. Defensively, both teams rate near the bottom of the league in Fielding Percentage and Defensive Effeciency.....so no clear cut advantages their. However, the Cubs have improved basically since switching Castro and Russell. I think the biggest advantage lies in the bullpen.....the Pirates owed the top ERA in baseball, and the tied for 6th with the Cubs for the best BAA.

    I can't anticipate many runs being scored here. It's going to come down to mistakes with location. With all the talk about Jake from State Farm's dominance, it just feels like he's due to give up a couple. And at +121, I'll take my chances the Pirates can scrape and claw a couple runs across. If Pirates can turn the ball to the bullpen even or with a lead...I'd expect Watson, Hughes and Melancon to nail it down.

    MY PICK : Pittsburgh Pirates +121 (Risk $206.61 to Win $250)

  4. #4
    44 Mag
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    Very well written, and no nonsensical bullshit.

  5. #5
    House
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    The Cubs won't even go into the pen tonight .... Cubs 5 Pirates 1 < maybe 1 maybe shut out .... and you left out these numbers
    • April 20: W, 7.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 7 K
    • May 17: L, 7.0 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 7 K
    • Aug. 4: W, 7.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 3 BB, 5 K
    • Sept. 16: ND, 8.0 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 5 K
    • Sept. 27: W, 7.0 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 9 K ..... < Those are his numbers vs the Pirates

  6. #6
    House
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    All told, he went 3-1 with a 0.75 ERA, 0.639 WHIP and 33 strikeouts in 36 innings of work, and the Pirates were by no means the only team he dominated.

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    House
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    those throwing some stuff out there to think about ...... how about this >He also showed no real preference to where he pitched, going 13-1 with a 1.60 ERA in 18 road starts, including 2-0 with a 0.82 ERA in three starts at PNC Park in Pittsburgh.

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    • April 29: W, 6.0 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 8 K
    • May 16: L, 6.0 IP, 7 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 8 K
    • Sept. 15: ND, 6.1 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 0 BB, 8 K
    • Sept. 25: W, 7.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 8 K < this is your boys numbers vs the Cubs .... not as good are they ?

  9. #9
    House
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    Remember last year ?The Pirates fell victim to a four-hit shutout at the hands of Madison Bumgarner in the Wild Card Game last year, and they run into another buzz saw here.

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    One game playoff House.....anything can happen. One mistake by Arrieta can cost his team.

    And Cole's numbers not as good against the Cubs as Arrieta vs Bucs.....but 6 runs in 25.1 innings is pretty freakin good.

  11. #11
    44 Mag
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    Guys, what do you think about the fact that this is the 5th time Jake has faced the Pirates this year, think Pirates are more prepared, or it doesn't matter???

  12. #12
    House
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    Guys, what do you think about the fact that this is the 5th time Jake has faced the Pirates this year, think Pirates are more prepared, or it doesn't matter???
    Its also the 5th time the Cubs will see Cole this year and the fact that they started getting runs off of him giving up 2 and 3 in September lets me know who's getting use to who ...And the fact that the cubs were in a race and pitched Jake not once but twice in September should tell you that they are very confident in Jake vs the Pirates .. > thats the numbers for the two games in Sep
    • Sept. 16: ND, 8.0 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 5 K
    • Sept. 27: W, 7.0 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 9 K

  13. #13
    House
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    Cole barley made it through 6 vs the Cubs in Sep
    • May 16: L, 6.0 IP, 7 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 8 K
    • Sept. 15: ND, 6.1 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 0 BB, 8 K

  14. #14
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by House View Post
    Its also the 5th time the Cubs will see Cole this year and the fact that they started getting runs off of him giving up 2 and 3 in September lets me know who's getting use to who ...And the fact that the cubs were in a race and pitched Jake not once but twice in September should tell you that they are very confident in Jake vs the Pirates .. > thats the numbers for the two games in Sep
    • Sept. 16: ND, 8.0 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 5 K
    • Sept. 27: W, 7.0 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 9 K
    You do your homework.

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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    Guys, what do you think about the fact that this is the 5th time Jake has faced the Pirates this year, think Pirates are more prepared, or it doesn't matter???
    I think it matters.........they have alot of tape to watch, and I'm sure they can pick out some trends and sequences. But Cubs are at the same advantage seeing Cole so many times. There will be a mistake or two tonight on location that will be punished......just hoping it's Jake from State Farm's mistake, and not Gerrit's.

  16. #16
    House
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    Quote Originally Posted by Regul8er View Post
    I think it matters.........they have alot of tape to watch, and I'm sure they can pick out some trends and sequences. But Cubs are at the same advantage seeing Cole so many times. There will be a mistake or two tonight on location that will be punished......just hoping it's Jake from State Farm's mistake, and not Gerrit's.
    Yeah , after the first time they played they said that same thing lol Now that we've seen what he has we'll get him next game lol 5 games later he's still shutting them out and actually pitching them better ... might wanna look at the progression through the year ... Jakes just looking stronger and stronger vs the Pirates , hence the reason the Cubs pitched him twice in Sep vs them while in a race for the wildcard ... GL , someones gotta win lol

  17. #17
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    The cubs have scored runs on Cole in Sep ..3 in one game ...thats not happening to Jake tonight

  18. #18
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    House.....if only it were that easy, we'd all be millionaires!

    But unfortunately, it is not.

    Best of luck to you tonight. If Cubs win, I forget about it, and move on.

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    Well at least Ill get to bed early tonight, lol.

    Figured with last year's Wild Card struggle, Cole would be ready for this one.....apparently he wasn't.

    Oh well, you win some and you lose some. Always easier to swallow when you lose taking + money though.

  20. #20
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    2015 MLB Playoffs Record to Date: 1-1 (50.0%) +$43.39.........+0.17 units


    ALDS, GAME 1 - TEXAS RANGERS (Y. Gallardo) @ TORONTO BLUE JAYS (D. Price)
    Thursday, October 8th (3:30pm EST)


    A long time waiting for the Blue Jays.....last home playoff game is arguably the most memorable moment in MLB history. Dave Price has come North of the border to give the Blue Jays an ace, and a new winning attitude. Texas looked left for dead mid-Summer, and emerged with the signing of Cole Hamels...not to mention their offense picked up the pace.

    Gallardo nailed down the Jays in 2015, going 13 scoreless innings over the course of the year. I can't imagine there are many, if any pitchers who shut the Jays down over 2 starts. Many Rangers in today's expected lineup have had tonnes of at bats against Price in his career, with a a couple (Beltre, Choo, Aldrus and Hamilton) having some pretty decent success.

    I'm going to be ignorant and throw those numbers out the window. David Price has pitched 10 of these games before, and knows what he needs to do. He's probably pitching the best he's pitched in his career over the past 2 months. Gallardo is known to run up his pitch count, and really doesn't have put away stuff. In fact, Gallardo hasn't pitched into the 7th inning in his last 7 starts. That is alot of outs that the bullpen would be expected to get, if they were to pull the upset. And a beaten up bullpen, who has been roughed up in the last week. I'm sure there will be some balls squared up this afternoon.

    Just don't see how Toronto doesn't get to 5 runs today.........and if they hit that number, I anticipate Price being pretty stingy in this spot. It could definately happen, but I'll take my chances with the best offense in baseball going with arguably the best starter in baseball, in front of what will be one of the most insane home field advantages you will ever see for an MLB game. The chalk is on the board!

    MY PICK : Toronto Blue Jays -220 (Risk $550 to Win $250)

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    ALDS, GAME 1 - HOUSTON ASTROS (C. McHugh) @ KANSAS CITY ROYALS (Y. Ventura)
    Thursday, October 8th (7:30pm EST)


    Tonight we have last years Kansas City Royals against this year's Kansas City Royals! The Astros come in riding a high after Tuesday nights shutout win in the Bronx, while the Royals come in riding last years World Series appearance, followed by having the best record in the AL this year.

    The Royals come in limping a bit, but were able to sweep the Twins on the road to secure the #1 spot. After a short stint in the minors, Ventura has come back and looked very strong in the second half. The Astros counter with McHugh, who I didn't realize won 19 games this year. Loves to get ahead with offspeed, and try and finish you off with well located fastballs. Not many at bats for either team against the opposing pitcher, so not much to look at there.

    Ventura is just the type of pitcher the Astros feast on......a guy who likes to pump in fastballs, and pump em in hard. I like that 3 of Houston's relievers got an inning two nights ago, to get their feet wet. Any sign of trouble from McHugh, I'd expect Hinch to confidently go to the pen, which has arms to mix and match with the Royals versatility. The feel good story continues, and the youngsters aren't fazed by the big stage.

    MY PICK : Houston Astros +127 (Risk $196.85 to Win $250)

  22. #22
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    2015 MLB Playoffs Record to Date: 2-2 (50.0%) -$256.61.........-1.03 units

    David Price sure burnt my a$$ yesterday. Thought the guy was up for the challenge....but same old Playoff stuff from Price.
    Now will Kershaw deliver the same old "Kershaw playoff stuff" tonight??

  23. #23
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by Regul8er View Post
    2015 MLB Playoffs Record to Date: 2-2 (50.0%) -$256.61.........-1.03 units

    David Price sure burnt my a$$ yesterday. Thought the guy was up for the challenge....but same old Playoff stuff from Price.
    Now will Kershaw deliver the same old "Kershaw playoff stuff" tonight??
    Not tonight he won't.

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    Time will tell Mag.........it appears some guys can't shake their playoff funks!

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    ALDS, GAME 2 - TEXAS RANGERS (C. Hamels) @ TORONTO BLUE JAYS (M. Stroman)
    Friday, October 8th (12:30pm EST)


    MY PICK : Toronto Blue Jays -176 (Risk $440 to Win $250)

  26. #26
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    ALDS, GAME 2 - HOUSTON ASTROS (S. Kazmir) @ KANSAS CITY ROYALS (J. Cueto)
    Friday, October 9th (3:30pm EST)


    MY PICK : Kansas City -140 (Risk $350 to Win $250)

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    NLDS, GAME 1 - CHICAGO CUBS (J. Lester) @ ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (J. Lackey)
    Friday, October 9th (6:30pm EST)


    MY PICK : Chicago Cubs -103 (Risk $257.50 to Win $250)

  28. #28
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    NLDS, GAME 1 - NEW YORK METS (J. deGrom) @ LOS ANGELES DODGERS (C. Kershaw)
    Friday, October 9th (9:30pm EST)


    MY PICK : New York Mets +180 (Risk $138.89 to Win $250)

  29. #29
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    2015 MLB Playoffs Record to Date: 4-4 (50.0%) -$454.11.........-1.82 units

    Sorry for the late post.....but not like anyone is playing my picks anyway.

    NLDS, GAME 2 - CHICAGO CUBS (K.. Hendrick) @ ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (J. Garcia)
    Saturday, October 10th (5:30pm EST)

    MY PICK : Chicago Cubs +118 (Risk $211.86 to Win $250)

  30. #30
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    Keep plugging Reg

  31. #31
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    NLDS, GAME 2 - NEW YORK METS (N. Syndergaard) @ LOS ANGELES DODGERS (Z. Greinke)
    Saturday, October 10th (9:00pm EST)


    MY PICK : Los Angeles Dodgers -180 (Risk $450 to Win $250)
    Last edited by Regul8er; 10-10-15 at 07:40 PM.

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    Thanks treap.....a Dodger win would get me back to plus units/dollars, after a couple shaky losses by the Jays.

  33. #33
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    Quote Originally Posted by Regul8er View Post
    Thanks treap.....a Dodger win would get me back to plus units/dollars, after a couple shaky losses by the Jays.
    Faken Jays, bet on both Tex +1.5 but wanted Jays to win if I lose my bets, obv didn't happen, faken clowns

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    Ya, I screwed up. Big time Jay fan, and bet with my heart and not my head. The value was definately with Texas both games, especially Game 1........I should have just passed if anything. Oh well, what can ya do!

  35. #35
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    2015 MLB Playoffs Record to Date: 6-4 (60.0%) +45.89.........+0.18 units

    ALDS, GAME 3 - KANSAS CITY ROYALS (E. Volquez) @ HOUSTON ASTROS (D. Keuchel)
    Sunday, October 11th (4:00pm EST)


    MY PICK : Kansas City Royals +165 (Risk $151.52 to Win $250)

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