[LT Profits]

1 MLB Play Tuesday

Cubs / Reds UNDER 8.5 +105 (Heritage)


YTD: 514-481-26, +80.31

[LT Profits]

60%ers:

Yankees 60% (-150)
Texas 63% (-170)

[smitch124]

What number do you have for Giants/Dodgers?

[PorkChop]

Cubbies/Reds being bought up to 9-115 now

[LT Profits]

What number do you have for Giants/Dodgers?

Dodgers 55% (-122)

[PorkChop]

Interesting, last 10 games Josh Smith has pitched in has gone over:

09/24	vs NYM	L 4-6	5.0	7	3	3	0	1	5	8	9	23	94	--	--	7.23
09/19	@ MIL	W 9-7	4.0	6	4	4	1	2	3	7	7	19	73	--	--	7.71
09/13	vs STL	L 2-9	0.1	3	2	2	1	0	1	0	3	4	16	--	--	7.36
09/08	vs PIT	L 3-7	2.0	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	4	7	26	--	--	6.28
07/04	vs MIL	L 3-7	4.1	5	5	5	1	3	2	6	8	23	80	L(0-2)	--	7.30
06/28	@ NYM	L 2-7	5.0	4	3	1	0	4	3	4	12	23	109	L(0-1)	--	5.63
06/23	@ PIT	L 6-7	3.0	3	4	4	1	6	3	4	3	16	79	--	--	12.00

[LT Profits]

Cubbies/Reds being bought up to 9-115 now

That is borderline, virtually identical to 8.5 +105. When there is a "tie" in EV, I personally always take the better odds. Others go the "safer" route and take the better spread/total paying the premium. Up to you.

[PorkChop]

And Dan Haren last 7 starts have gone over the total as well:

09/18	vs STL	W 8-3	4.1	3	3	1	0	0	2	4	11	18	51	--	--	3.83
09/13	@ PHI	L 4-7	3.0	7	4	4	1	3	4	2	9	18	74	--	--	3.87
09/07	@ STL	W 9-0	7.0	7	0	0	0	2	5	6	14	27	103	W(9-9)	--	3.73
09/01	vs CIN	W 5-4	5.0	4	2	2	1	1	4	3	11	19	73	--	--	3.89
08/27	@ SF	L 1-9	6.1	6	5	5	1	3	4	5	15	27	105	L(8-9)	--	3.90
08/22	vs ATL	W 9-7	4.1	6	4	4	1	0	3	6	11	20	64	--	--	3.76

[PorkChop]

Not playing it LT. Just interesting numbers. Cubbies/Reds is screaming due for an Under.

[LT Profits]

Not playing it LT. Just interesting numbers. Cubbies/Reds is screaming due for an Under.

I don't do the "due".

I played the Under because model has 7.4 in a meaningless game.

[Mr KLC]

How do you see Miami? Conley looks like he has come into his own recently. Is +127 worth pursuing?

[Rich Boy]

Hey LT what is your projected total for Det/Tex game?

[LT Profits]

How do you see Miami? Conley looks like he has come into his own recently. Is +127 worth pursuing?

Model actually has Tampa Bay 61%, I didn't include them in the 60%ers because I stopped listing meaningless games there.

[LT Profits]

Hey LT what is your projected total for Det/Tex game?

Nothing to see there, 8.6.

[LT Profits]

2 MLB Plays Tuesday

Cubs / Reds UNDER 8.5 +105 (Heritage)
Tigers +185 (Heritage)


YTD: 514-481-26, +80.31

[Rich Boy]

Hope that tigers game goes over for my own sanity

[44 Mag]

2 MLB Plays Tuesday

Cubs / Reds UNDER 8.5 +105 (Heritage)
Tigers +185 (Heritage)


YTD: 514-481-26, +80.31

Darn it, I took Texas. Didn't see this earlier, hate going against you.

[PorkChop]

LT - Your number on Twins ML?

[LT Profits]

LT - Your number on Twins ML?

Cleveland 52% (-108)

[LT Profits]

3 MLB Plays Tuesday

Cubs / Reds UNDER 8.5 +105 (Heritage)
Tigers +185 (Heritage)
Mariners +144 (5 Dimes)

[mikefan1034]

Fade that

[mth61]

Fade that

Special Mike is back...

[Conqueror]

Tailing you on the Tigers. It's already down to +163 at Heritage.

[dect6.0]

Fade that

nice posting

whose ghost are you?

[RollinDo]

Darn it, I took Texas. Didn't see this earlier, hate going against you.

Don't worry Mag - this is just a value play by LT. If we lose this one, I will buy you a beer at Wrigley Field when we meet up for a ballgame in Chitown.

[TheSchafe]

Man, I hate the freaking Astros. Don't win when I bet them, don't lose when I fade them. Unreal.

[funnyb25]

Tigers had 4 errors that cost them that one...

[TheSchafe]

Jinx post works again. Glad I doubled down on the M's after yesterday.

[mth61]

Fade that

i really hope you did lmao....Despite your best efforts LT goes 2-1 +1.46u

[LT Profits]

i really hope you did lmao....Despite your best efforts LT goes 2-1 +1.46u

+1.49u