1. #1
    akphidelt
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    Wednesday, 08/26/2015 Afternoon/Night Picks

    Damnnnnnnnnnnn, just saw the highlights of that Yankees game. That Gregorious two run shot was a killer. McHugh was throwing a gem and then just lofts up a 100+ pitch curve ball to a hitter he has owned. Bummer 8 runs on a 7.5 spread. But got to move on. Let's get it back.

    Rockies/Braves Under 7 (-115) *Got this at 7.5 last night but 7 is the current number, so I'll put that as my play
    Mets/Phillies Over 8.5 (+110)
    DBacks EVEN
    Brewers +121
    Angels +134
    Nats -157
    Brewers/Indians Over 7.5
    Red Sox/White Sox Over 7
    Dodgers/Reds Under 8
    Blue Jays/Royals/Dodgers ML Parlay +310

    GL Everyone

  2. #2
    akphidelt
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    If anyone wants to see a distribution of hits and runs for the last 8 years of games. I wanted to see what the probability of a team scoring "x" amount of runs based off the amount of hits. Hits are the rows, runs the columns. This is by individual teams within a game, not a combination of both teams.

    So the two most common outcomes from a team is 8 hits/3 runs (1099) and 6 hits/2 runs (1098).

    The Texas game from couple years ago really is the definition of an outlier, haha. 29 hits, 30 runs. That's crazy.

    http://akptracker.com/index.php?c=stats&m=runsPerHits

  3. #3
    gregmav1
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    We're on some similar stuff today, hopefully a sign of another good night!... I already hit Astros +128 and Seattle/Oakland Over 7 for the day games so feeling good.

    I'm big on Blue Jays -173 and Blue Jays -1.5
    Royals -158.. Lots of juice on those two but what can you do? Also did a parlay of the two.
    Red Sox/White Sox Over 7.5
    Angels +133
    Mets/Phillies Over 8.5
    Cubs/Giants Over 7

    Smaller plays on Cardinals +108, Cards/Dbacks Over 8, Angels/Tigers Under 8, and Dodgers.

    Let's get it.

  4. #4
    gregmav1
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    Haha yeah man you should honestly just leave out that Rangers game, screws up the graph almost and makes it harder to read because of all the extra columns and rows you need to add in

  5. #5
    akphidelt
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    Alright, changed it to less than 20 runs. Makes it a lot easier to read. GL today man, been killing it. I took one to the chops with the Under in the Yankees game today.

  6. #6
    pilebuck13
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    Royals f up the parlay I had less hopes in dodgers damn u Jonny c lol

  7. #7
    akphidelt
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    Quote Originally Posted by pilebuck13 View Post
    Royals f up the parlay I had less hopes in dodgers damn u Jonny c lol
    Just an overall brutal day. Started with the Yankees under. Picked up that Mets over which was huge. Now I need the Cubbies and Dbacks to pull through and it will be less damaging. KC was a joke tonight.

  8. #8
    pilebuck13
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    ** game winning rallie hummmmm

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