[LT Profits]

4 MLB Plays Friday

Yankees / Blue Jays UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)
Mariners / Red Sox OVER 9.5 +100 (Bookmaker)
Twins +130 (Heritage)
Tigers +205 (5 Dimes)


YTD: 418-377-21, +78.22

[Brooklyn Dick]

Any 60% teams today LT? And by the way thanks for this, very useful for me.

[mth61]

TGIF LT! Thanks as always and let's cash today!

[jjgold]

Mariners / Red Sox OVER 9.5 +100

That's a lot of runs

Tigers not bad shot

[Big Bear]

Any 60% teams today LT? And by the way thanks for this, very useful for me.

agreed. This has made me a lot of money lately too.

Your system must pump out 70% winners on the ones that say they have a 60% chance of winning or more.

works good for me since i only play parlays usually and i dont care what price i get as long as it wins.

[bet-clever]

@LT,

Well done for the Reds Yesterday but today, I do not understand why you pick Tigers and Twins.
Simon and Santana are both struggling and Santana has an ERA of 11 @home and Simon gives 4 or more run per game...

[LT Profits]

Any 60% teams today LT? And by the way thanks for this, very useful for me.

Blue Jays 69% (-223)
Astros 64% (-178) (after putting Miggy in for Detroit)
Cardinals 68% (-213)
Dodgers 69% (-223)

Already went against Astros at +205

[LT Profits]

@LT,

Well done for the Reds Yesterday but today, I do not understand why you pick Tigers and Twins.
Simon and Santana are both struggling and Santana has an ERA of 11 @home and Simon gives 4 or more run per game...

Cabrera back for Detroit and he comes back vs. southpaw (granted a very good one, but still). Santana is not pitching, it is Trevor May.

[Terps1993]

Any thoughts on Pirates/Mets Over 8? Colon and Happ very hittable and both teams bats are pretty hot right now.

[2buckluck]

Hey LT Great work, thanks for the picks keep it up!

I remember about a month back you posted your splits (win/loss) on Totals and Sides as part or your tracking, if you get a chance (today or whenever) can you provide that again? I remember they were pretty close at the time, just wondering if one is out-performing the other now...

[eddycash]

Twins+1 or tigers +1.5 for my streak play?

[LT Profits]

Twins+1 or tigers +1.5 for my streak play?

I almost never take runs, loses too much value vs. ML.

[eddycash]

5Dimes betting contest doesn't offer ml

[eddycash]

Do u like either total you played better than the other?

[LT Profits]

5Dimes betting contest doesn't offer ml

Then if one is +1.5 and one is +1 and the juice does not matter, take the +1.5.

[LT Profits]

Do u like either total you played better than the other?

No, I rarely do.

[eddycash]

Thanks LT Bol

[BlueJaysNation]

Hey LT! What % do you get on CHC vs CWS if you dont mind me asking?

Do you see value on Cubs ml?

[LT Profits]

Hey LT! What % do you get on CHC vs CWS if you dont mind me asking?

Do you see value on Cubs ml?

My model likes the Cubs a lot. Cubs 55% (-122)

I have not pulled the trigger though.

[bet-clever]

@LT,

Thanks for the return.
However, do you play before knowing the line-up? I know you use a system but it still dangerous according to me of course.
I do not trust Simon but the value is on Tigers.
You don't like the Nats cause Pagan and Aoki are both injured?

[Jayvegas420]

Cubs/Sox total just went from 8 to 9.
Anyone know why?

[LT Profits]

@LT,

Thanks for the return.
However, do you play before knowing the line-up? I know you use a system but it still dangerous according to me of course.
I do not trust Simon but the value is on Tigers.
You don't like the Nats cause Pagan and Aoki are both injured?

I have default lineups for every team. They are available at http://www.rosterresource.com/

And I don't like Nats because model has value on Giants side with Washington only 55% (-122).

[bet-clever]

And I don't like Nats because model has value on Giants side with Washington only 55% (-122).

Even without Aoki and Pagan? Don't forget Panik who still on the DL.
Cain returns from a long injury. It is a public bet I know but Giants do not score runs atm...

[LT Profits]

7 MLB Plays Friday

Yankees / Blue Jays UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)
Mariners / Red Sox OVER 9.5 +100 (Bookmaker)
Diamondbacks / Braves UNDER 7 +100 (Heritage)
Diamondbacks UNDER 3.5 +105 (Team Total) (5 Dimes)
Phillies / Brewers UNDER 8.5 -115 (5 Dimes)
Twins +130 (Heritage)
Tigers +205 (5 Dimes)

[Ralphie1412]

Alfredo is trash LT

[crackerjack]

Cubs/Sox total just went from 8 to 9.
Anyone know why?

Two sucky pitchers

[Slanina]

So this is a system? If so, is there a link explaining it somewhere?

[JJJ]

yes bet what LT posts and don't ask any questions

So this is a system? If so, is there a link explaining it somewhere?

[mth61]

yes bet what LT posts and don't ask any questions

hahahaha its a proven track record and if you've been tailing, you have turned $500 ($25 unit) into $2500... thats the explanation.

[mth61]

That being said from my understanding LT uses a model based on analytics and lineups that spits out totals and winning %'s and handicaps them from those numbers.

For example on a side. Take the Tigers. His model gave them a 36% chance of winning while oddsmakers had them at 32.75% of winning at that time. That 3.5% is the edge and if betting that 100 times you win. I think thats an okay explanation.

LT please feel free to correct me if I am way off lol

[LT Profits]

That being said from my understanding LT uses a model based on analytics and lineups that spits out totals and winning %'s and handicaps them from those numbers.

For example on a side. Take the Tigers. His model gave them a 36% chance of winning while oddsmakers had them at 32.75% of winning at that time. That 3.5% is the edge and if betting that 100 times you win. I think thats an okay explanation.

LT please feel free to correct me if I am way off lol

Good general explanation.

Now don't expect an exact detailed explanation of what the model involves.

[Big Bear]

Blue Jays 69% (-223)
Astros 64% (-178) (after putting Miggy in for Detroit)
Cardinals 68% (-213)
Dodgers 69% (-223)

Already went against Astros at +205

all those look good.

[Big Bear]

So this is a system? If so, is there a link explaining it somewhere?

LT has a "model" he is a fukkin genius. This model is worth millions.

I am considering going back to school just so i can learn how to make my own model.

[mth61]

Good general explanation.

Now don't expect an exact detailed explanation of what the model involves.

Thats why I say analytics..

[mth61]

phils moved to 8 on 5d. Wiser to play 8.5 at -123, or 8 at +101 or no value?