Originally Posted by
trobin31
mia/phi- fernandez pitched in Philly last year and had a very poor outing. His numbers on the road are much more shaky esp against lefties but Phillies having trouble hitting, but maybe less at home. Fernandez does not tend to forget poor outings and I can see him throwing a lights out game. Biggest factor for me is marlins pounding LHP but the rookie prolly gonna look better at home compared to his recent blow up on the road. Prolly looking at -220 spread here and a -110 runline, if you get + rl on philly runline I think that might be the play. Not gonna lie I'm partial to marlins being from Ft lauderdale and I feel if anybody gonna come after the nats it could be the Marlins assuming Gordon and Gian Carlo come back healthy, Fernandez, Alvarez, Haren sure ain't bad front of lineup but I suspect Haren gonna become fade material soon. Koehler and Phelps also good plays at home esp as dogs but fade that ass on the road would be my biggest advise on the marlins. They seem to have tightened up the bullpen and if for some reason they go out and get some more pen help it might be wise to ride them during homestands. So for this gm I'm saying either philly +0.5 ff or runline, also phi tt un, could be looking at u3 with extra juice or under 6-7. Of course the simplest play is marlins rl since if you fading Phillies on the runline all yr you are way ahead.