1. #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Monday, 7/6/15

    6 MLB Plays Monday

    Reds +138 (Heritage)
    Padres +142 (Heritage)
    Twins +104 (Heritage)
    Blue Jays / White Sox UNDER 7 -110 (Bookmaker)
    Tigers / Mariners UNDER 7 +108 (5 Dimes)
    Mets +141 (Heritage)


    YTD: 296-271-14, +54.28
    Points Awarded:

    zero86ea gave LT Profits 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Ra77er gave LT Profits 7 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  2. #2
    jeffjam_
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    LT, do you have ML/RL/Totals splits of your record? Do you expect some kind of regression given how well you've been doing? Thanks.

  3. #3
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by jeffjam_ View Post
    LT, do you have ML/RL/Totals splits of your record? Do you expect some kind of regression given how well you've been doing? Thanks.
    Unfortunately no and I don't feel like taking the time to get the splits. Instinctively I think I am doing well in totals. Also I do not think I have played more than three Run Lines all year, so that part of it is irrelevant. As for regression, I don't know because this is the first year after tweaking my model.

  4. #4
    jeffjam_
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    All right, thanks. Anyway, for your own sake, I think it would be wise to start recording those splits, after all how else you would know in which department your model is flawed if that would happen.

  5. #5
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Unfortunately no and I don't feel like taking the time to get the splits. Instinctively I think I am doing well in totals. Also I do not think I have played more than three Run Lines all year, so that part of it is irrelevant. As for regression, I don't know because this is the first year after tweaking my model.
    Gotta love these guys questioning success. LOL.

  6. #6
    dirtycash66
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    6 MLB Plays Monday

    Reds +138 (Heritage)
    Padres +142 (Heritage)
    Twins +104 (Heritage)
    Blue Jays / White Sox UNDER 7 -110 (Bookmaker)
    Tigers / Mariners UNDER 7 +108 (5 Dimes)
    Mets +141 (Heritage)


    YTD: 296-271-14, +54.28
    Under & Underdog monday. I'm all in. I can see a profit being made today.

  7. #7
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by jeffjam_ View Post
    LT, do you have ML/RL/Totals splits of your record? Do you expect some kind of regression given how well you've been doing? Thanks.
    what a fukkin asshole you are for asking LT if he expects a regression.

    dude WTF

  8. #8
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    what a fukkin asshole you are for asking LT if he expects a regression.

    dude WTF
    Hey Bear, tell us how you really feel???

  9. #9
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    Hey Bear, tell us how you really feel???
    Lol you have to admit that was a pretty ignorant question to ask.

  10. #10
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Lol you have to admit that was a pretty ignorant question to ask.
    Didn't I allude to the same thing in post #5 ???? Just wasn't as "diplomatic" as Bear. LOL.

  11. #11
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    Didn't I allude to the same thing in post #5 ???? Just wasn't as "diplomatic" as Bear. LOL.
    Lmao, didn't see that post

  12. #12
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Lmao, didn't see that post
    Hope you took the "reverse jinx" last night ??? I saw this morning a bunch of guys questioning that under wager in the LAA game after I signed off. You guys know damn right well I couldn't hit an under play if I had to. LOL. I even posted the same thing Friday and Saturday, when I wgare under, QUICK, go the other way.

  13. #13
    PorkChop
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    Padres have zero business being anything at +130 or over.

    P.O.D. Padres +142

  14. #14
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by jeffjam_ View Post
    All right, thanks. Anyway, for your own sake, I think it would be wise to start recording those splits, after all how else you would know in which department your model is flawed if that would happen.
    OK splits are on the way and you will see that unit-wise, it is just about an even split ignoring RLs.

  15. #15
    LT Profits
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    Because jeffjam_ asked for it :

    Code:
    ML	166	171	3	27.10
    Total	129	98	11	27.56
    RL	1	2	0	-0.38
    Total	296	271	14	54.28
    Code:
    Game	286	262	9	53.19
    5-inn	10	9	5	1.09
    Total	296	271	14	54.28
    Code:
    Game ML    	163	167	0	27.65
    Game Ttl	122	93	9	25.92
    Game RL     	1	2	0	-0.38
    Total          	286	262	9	53.19
    Code:
    5-inn ML	3	4	3	-0.55
    5-inn Ttl	7	5	2	1.64
    Total          	10	9	5	1.09

  16. #16
    jjgold
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    I never realized LT a technician bettor

    I thought this guy was just an action shooter

    Great work LT

  17. #17
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    I never realized LT a technician bettor

    I thought this guy was just an action shooter

    Great work LT
    you can't be serious. He's the most technical of all technicians lol

  18. #18
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    you can't be serious. He's the most technical of all technicians lol

  19. #19
    BeanTownClown88
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    Quote Originally Posted by jeffjam_ View Post
    All right, thanks. Anyway, for your own sake, I think it would be wise to start recording those splits, after all how else you would know in which department your model is flawed if that would happen.

    He's up 50+ units..maybe he should just focus on what he's doing lol

  20. #20
    dirtycash66
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    What I'm trying to figure out is why all you pole smokers and chicken lickers are so damn interested in LT's formula just sit back, tail him and make this money……Too easy, thats what i'm doing.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: emoney

  21. #21
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by dirtycash66 View Post
    What I'm trying to figure out is why all you pole smokers and chicken lickers are so damn interested in LT's formula just sit back, tail him and make this money……Too easy, thats what i'm doing.
    NIce talk !!! I liked your Halle Berry avatar better than this one. LOL.

  22. #22
    ridindirty
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    Hey Lt, how about Houston. Keuchel has been a beast in his last few starts

  23. #23
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by ridindirty View Post
    Hey Lt, how about Houston. Keuchel has been a beast in his last few starts
    I get Cleveland 52% (-108) at home so really see no value either way.

  24. #24
    James Marques
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    Nice work LT!

  25. #25
    dirtycash66
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    NIce talk !!! I liked your Halle Berry avatar better than this one. LOL.
    lol i just might bring her back, i think this new avatar brings out the worst in me.

  26. #26
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by dirtycash66 View Post
    lol i just might bring her back, i think this new avatar brings out the worst in me.

  27. #27
    ridindirty
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I get Cleveland 52% (-108) at home so really see no value either way.
    Ok

    How about the Tigers? I know Simon has been shacky last couple of sharts but there has to be some sort of value at +150ish?

  28. #28
    PaperTrail07
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    Please dont bet the Reds LT...there is no Value there at +138....Dont say i didnt try to warn you lol

  29. #29
    PaperTrail07
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    Against Seattle....100%.....they dont see him often
    Quote Originally Posted by ridindirty View Post
    Ok

    How about the Tigers? I know Simon has been shacky last couple of sharts but there has to be some sort of value at +150ish?

  30. #30
    Matty Mo
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    I'd stay away from the Padres... take a look at Shields last couple starts on the road and get back to me. Pirates all day, but will be a close one most likely.

  31. #31
    Alex Vaile
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    Hey LT question for you. What's up with Eric Surkamp being -225? What does your model say about the Dodgers tonite?

  32. #32
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by PaperTrail07 View Post
    Please dont bet the Reds LT...there is no Value there at +138....Dont say i didnt try to warn you lol
    Yeah I see alot of people on Reds, and I just don't get it all. I'm actually leaning Washington

  33. #33
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by ridindirty View Post

    Ok

    How about the Tigers? I know Simon has been shacky last couple of sharts but there has to be some sort of value at +150ish?
    Quote Originally Posted by PaperTrail07 View Post
    Against Seattle....100%.....they dont see him often
    PLus, I posted in my thread, don't get the 7 for a total??? If these guys keep pitching that way, the over looks like a gift, unless someone thinks Seattle can't hit ??? I don't know, it looks awful appetizing, of course LT is smarter than I am ???? Maybe he will weigh in on the subject for us.




  34. #34
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by ridindirty View Post
    Ok

    How about the Tigers? I know Simon has been shacky last couple of sharts but there has to be some sort of value at +150ish?
    Model favors Seattle heavily at 65% (-186), Iwakuma grades out light years better than Simon. So Mariners actually show a bit of value in the -160s, but I do not lay those kinds of odds.

  35. #35
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by PaperTrail07 View Post
    Please dont bet the Reds LT...there is no Value there at +138....Dont say i didnt try to warn you lol
    Washington is now -125 at Pinny so I crushed the line as of now. Let's see what happens.

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