1. 05-16-15 06:58 AM #1
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    MLB - Saturday, 5/16/15

    3 MLB Plays Saturday

    Phillies +104 (Heritage)
    Blue Jays +106 (5 Dimes)
    Rockies +222 (Heritage)


    YTD: 128-127-6, +13.31
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 05-16-15 07:04 AM #2
    DIXONBETS
    DIXONBETS's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-31-11
    Posts: 19
    Betpoints: 12

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    3 MLB Plays Saturday

    Phillies +104 (Heritage)
    Blue Jays +106 (5 Dimes)
    Rockies +222 (Heritage)


    YTD: 128-127-6, +13.31

    Like the ROCKIES Today!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 05-16-15 07:19 AM #3
    RavensFan2k3
    Handicappin' like I'm Trappin'
    RavensFan2k3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-12
    Posts: 17,377
    Betpoints: 18710

    Quote Originally Posted by DIXONBETS View Post
    Like the ROCKIES Today!
    Goodluck with that
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 05-16-15 07:52 AM #4
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Goodluck with that
    They are worth the price. Greinke is just not the same yet this year despite the record. Not that he is bad or anything, but his strikeout rate is down from last year, his walks are slightly up and he has benefited from a .220 BABIP and 87.6% strand rate. His xFIP is 3.62, way above the 1.52 ERA. De La Rosa is the opposite, he is a lot better than his early stats. Yeah he's only gone 16 innings but he has 23 strikeouts (12.94 per 9) and he's allowing a .468 BABIP with a 47.6% strand rate. And he IS supposed to be the Rockies ace after all.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 05-16-15 07:54 AM #5
    RavensFan2k3
    Handicappin' like I'm Trappin'
    RavensFan2k3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-12
    Posts: 17,377
    Betpoints: 18710

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    They are worth the price. Greinke is just not the same yet this year despite the record. Not that he is bad or anything, but his strikeout rate is down from last year, his walks are slightly up and he has benefited from a .220 BABIP and 87.6% strand rate. His xFIP is 3.62, way above the 1.52 ERA. De La Rosa is the opposite, he is a lot better than his early stats. Yeah he's only gone 16 innings but he has 23 strikeouts (12.94 per 9) and he's allowing a .468 BABIP with a 47.6% strand rate. And he IS supposed to be the Rockies ace after all.
    Very good points. What percentage do you have Rockies of winning?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 05-16-15 07:57 AM #6
    posey
    posey's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-23-14
    Posts: 1,112
    Betpoints: 1250

    Additionally Dodgers are (normally) worse against LHP than against RHP. But Greinke he has a bombastic record against the NL West since joining the Dodgers. There are some things I like about the Rockies and some about the Dodgers. But all in all I think I will pass since somehow I think it's quite realistic that the Rockies don't win more than 33% in this constellation. Maybe I will pick the over in the end.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 05-16-15 08:00 AM #7
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by posey View Post
    Additionally Dodgers are (normally) worse against LHP than against RHP. But Greinke he has a bombastic record against the NL West since joining the Dodgers. There are some things I like about the Rockies and some about the Dodgers. But all in all I think I will pass since somehow I think it's quite realistic that the Rockies don't win more than 33% in this constellation. Maybe I will pick the over in the end.
    I know, something like a 16-0 run? But I don't care about stuff like that generally, it's mostly just variance,
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 05-16-15 08:02 AM #8
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    I like your card so far LT

    Phils starting to play better

    Tor and Col can score runs so you always have a shot
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 05-16-15 08:04 AM #9
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Very good points. What percentage do you have Rockies of winning?
    Quote Originally Posted by posey View Post
    Additionally Dodgers are (normally) worse against LHP than against RHP. But Greinke he has a bombastic record against the NL West since joining the Dodgers. There are some things I like about the Rockies and some about the Dodgers. But all in all I think I will pass since somehow I think it's quite realistic that the Rockies don't win more than 33% in this constellation. Maybe I will pick the over in the end.
    My model actually has Rocks at 36%, +178. It is sabre heavy so the BABIP variance may have something to do with it.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 05-16-15 08:17 AM #10
    posey
    posey's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-23-14
    Posts: 1,112
    Betpoints: 1250

    Don't know about a streak but Dodgers are 26-6 with him against NL West.

    Do you run a programm or do you use Excel or whatever? Just curious.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 05-16-15 08:30 AM #11
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by posey View Post
    Don't know about a streak but Dodgers are 26-6 with him against NL West.

    Do you run a programm or do you use Excel or whatever? Just curious.
    It is a program, I enter pitchers and some other stuff and it fetches stats, mostly sabre ones, to create the line. I did NOT set it up myself, if I remember I will ask the programmer later what language he used to set it up. I want to say R, but not 100% certain.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 05-16-15 09:17 AM #12
    PorkChop
    PorkChop's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-18-08
    Posts: 8,193
    Betpoints: 601

    Jays finally get their win today. My play of day. And plus money .
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 05-16-15 09:20 AM #13
    posey
    posey's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-23-14
    Posts: 1,112
    Betpoints: 1250

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    It is a program, I enter pitchers and some other stuff and it fetches stats, mostly sabre ones, to create the line. I did NOT set it up myself, if I remember I will ask the programmer later what language he used to set it up. I want to say R, but not 100% certain.
    Thanks. BOL.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 05-16-15 10:18 AM #14
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    1 MLB Addition

    4 MLB Plays Saturday

    Pirates / Cubs UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)
    Phillies +104 (Heritage)
    Blue Jays +106 (5 Dimes)
    Rockies +222 (Heritage)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 05-16-15 10:31 AM #15
    Conqueror
    Conqueror's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-08-13
    Posts: 16,125
    Betpoints: 5700

    Are the Blue Jays paying you to always bet on them?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 05-16-15 10:35 AM #16
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by Conqueror View Post
    Are the Blue Jays paying you to always bet on them?
    I have amnesia, every game is unique to me.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 05-16-15 10:37 AM #17
    lucasdawg
    pro as sometimes
    lucasdawg's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-19-13
    Posts: 3,399
    Betpoints: 5519

    might take that under, leaning tampa? any suggestions?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 05-16-15 10:42 AM #18
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by lucasdawg View Post
    might take that under, leaning tampa? any suggestions?
    No opinion, line seems right on.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 05-16-15 10:51 AM #19
    RavensFan2k3
    Handicappin' like I'm Trappin'
    RavensFan2k3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-12
    Posts: 17,377
    Betpoints: 18710

    Quote Originally Posted by PorkChop View Post
    Jays finally get their win today. My play of day. And plus money .
    Hmm, hope you're right
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 05-16-15 10:59 AM #20
    lucasdawg
    pro as sometimes
    lucasdawg's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-19-13
    Posts: 3,399
    Betpoints: 5519

    tailed you parlay, philli, jays and tampa
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 05-16-15 11:07 AM #21
    Jayvegas420
    Vegas Baby!
    Jayvegas420's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-09-11
    Posts: 28,154
    Betpoints: 14709

    I like over in the Angels game.

    Jays are always tough to cheer for. I am on Houston.
    Jays game look d like an over to me.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 05-16-15 11:12 AM #22
    cankid
    cankid's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 7,103
    Betpoints: 10364

    thanks gl today, like jays also
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 05-16-15 11:13 AM #23
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    2 More MLB Additions

    6 MLB Plays Saturday

    Pirates / Cubs UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)
    Phillies +104 (Heritage)
    Angels +116 (Heritage)
    Brewers +130 (5 Dimes)
    Blue Jays +106 (5 Dimes)
    Rockies +222 (Heritage)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 05-16-15 04:53 PM #24
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    1 Last MLB Play

    7 MLB Plays Saturday

    Pirates / Cubs UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)
    Phillies +104 (Heritage)
    Angels +116 (Heritage)
    Brewers +130 (5 Dimes)
    Blue Jays +106 (5 Dimes)
    Rockies +222 (Heritage)
    Red Sox +153 (Heritage)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 05-16-15 05:06 PM #25
    44 Mag
    44 Mag's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-14-13
    Posts: 34,470
    Betpoints: 13182

    Quote Originally Posted by Conqueror View Post
    Are the Blue Jays paying you to always bet on them?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 05-16-15 05:07 PM #26
    44 Mag
    44 Mag's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-14-13
    Posts: 34,470
    Betpoints: 13182

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    7 MLB Plays Saturday

    Pirates / Cubs UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)
    Phillies +104 (Heritage)
    Angels +116 (Heritage)
    Brewers +130 (5 Dimes)
    Blue Jays +106 (5 Dimes)
    Rockies +222 (Heritage)
    Red Sox +153 (Heritage)
    Rockies & Red Sox ??? Good Luck with those two. I know you like dogs, but really???
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 05-16-15 05:29 PM #27
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    Rockies & Red Sox ??? Good Luck with those two. I know you like dogs, but really???
    Rockies are actually my DOD in your thread.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 05-16-15 08:21 PM #28
    RavensFan2k3
    Handicappin' like I'm Trappin'
    RavensFan2k3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-12
    Posts: 17,377
    Betpoints: 18710

    Quote Originally Posted by PorkChop View Post
    Jays finally get their win today. My play of day. And plus money .
    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Hmm, hope you're right
    Welp, I shoulda known
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 05-16-15 10:29 PM #29
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    3 MLB Plays Saturday

    Phillies +104 (Heritage)
    Blue Jays +106 (5 Dimes)
    Rockies +222 (Heritage)


    YTD: 128-127-6, +13.31
    nice hit with the Rockies pal
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 05-16-15 11:51 PM #30
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    Rockies & Red Sox ??? Good Luck with those two. I know you like dogs, but really???
    Turned out OK.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 05-17-15 12:02 AM #31
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    LT you're crushing it
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | Baseball Betting | Next Thread »