Coming off back-to-back sweeps, SBR's Dustin Saracini looks to keep it rolling with his best No Run First Inning (NRFI) bets for Friday, July 11th (45-31, +7.43 YTD):
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers (-165 at FanDuel)
Luis Castillo (3.31 ERA) vs. Tarik Skubal (2.02 ERA)
NRFI record: Mariners (45-48) vs. Tigers (50-44)
"This should be a slam dunk as part of our best NRFI bets today, with two of the best pitchers in baseball going head-to-head.
If you've been following, you know we love large sample sizes here, and that's exactly what we're getting between Castillo and Skubal. The Tigers' lineup has posted 101 plate appearances against Castillo while managing just a .269 xBA and .298 xwOBA against him. He shouldn't struggle to get the best offense in baseball out in the first frame.
On the other side, I'd trust Skubal with pretty much anything in my life. He's striking out this Mariners lineup at a 25% clip across 83 plate appearances, which should be enough to get our fifth consecutive NRFI win."
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Minnesota Twins (-175 at DraftKings)
Paul Skenes (1.94 ERA) vs. Joe Ryan (2.76 ERA)
NRFI record: Pirates (55-39) vs. Twins (43-50)
"Paul Skenes vs. Joe Ryan is another wager that just needs to be played as part of our best NRFI bets today.
We don't get the same large sample size here, but Skenes has been downright dominant despite Pittsburgh's offense and its inability to back up his incredible numbers. It's quite a crime.
Skenes hasn't allowed a run in his last 10 innings, and we'll look for much of the same against the Twins.
As for Ryan against the Pirates? See the above tweet for further details. They can't score, and the Twins' ace has been dominating them over his career, striking out Pittsburgh's batters at a 25% clip. The projected top four of the lineup is also 2-for-10 against Ryan lifetime.
If you're looking for a more significant payout between these two NRFIs, I'd suggest parlaying them at +152 betting odds. A $10 wager will bring you a $15 return, which should get you an extra beer or two for the weekend."
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers (-165 at FanDuel)
Luis Castillo (3.31 ERA) vs. Tarik Skubal (2.02 ERA)
NRFI record: Mariners (45-48) vs. Tigers (50-44)
"This should be a slam dunk as part of our best NRFI bets today, with two of the best pitchers in baseball going head-to-head.
If you've been following, you know we love large sample sizes here, and that's exactly what we're getting between Castillo and Skubal. The Tigers' lineup has posted 101 plate appearances against Castillo while managing just a .269 xBA and .298 xwOBA against him. He shouldn't struggle to get the best offense in baseball out in the first frame.
On the other side, I'd trust Skubal with pretty much anything in my life. He's striking out this Mariners lineup at a 25% clip across 83 plate appearances, which should be enough to get our fifth consecutive NRFI win."
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Minnesota Twins (-175 at DraftKings)
Paul Skenes (1.94 ERA) vs. Joe Ryan (2.76 ERA)
NRFI record: Pirates (55-39) vs. Twins (43-50)
"Paul Skenes vs. Joe Ryan is another wager that just needs to be played as part of our best NRFI bets today.
We don't get the same large sample size here, but Skenes has been downright dominant despite Pittsburgh's offense and its inability to back up his incredible numbers. It's quite a crime.
Skenes hasn't allowed a run in his last 10 innings, and we'll look for much of the same against the Twins.
As for Ryan against the Pirates? See the above tweet for further details. They can't score, and the Twins' ace has been dominating them over his career, striking out Pittsburgh's batters at a 25% clip. The projected top four of the lineup is also 2-for-10 against Ryan lifetime.
If you're looking for a more significant payout between these two NRFIs, I'd suggest parlaying them at +152 betting odds. A $10 wager will bring you a $15 return, which should get you an extra beer or two for the weekend."