1. 04-18-07 12:59 PM #1
    mavs1978
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    Baseball..good then bad

    any insight here would help..the first two weeks of baseball were as good as they get.. i could hardly lose.. the last 10 days have been the exact opposite.. anyone else had this happen.. any theorys
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  2. 04-18-07 01:01 PM #2
    bigboydan
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    According to my numbers we will see more dogs start to cash starting on April 20th.
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  3. 04-18-07 01:10 PM #3
    mavs1978
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    that is a very specific time period
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  4. 04-18-07 02:46 PM #4
    Stumpage
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    Law of averages?
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  5. 04-18-07 03:18 PM #5
    capitalist pig
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    Me I cant seem to get ahead in baseball, win one, lose one seems to be my pattern right now. Of course it might be due to the fact that I havent done enough homework on the teams this year.

    later
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  6. 04-18-07 03:40 PM #6
    Sam Odom
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    Quote Originally Posted by mavs1978 View Post

    any theorys
    If an event of probability p is observed repeatedly during independent repetitions, the ratio of the observed frequency of that event to the total number of repetitions converges towards p as the number of repetitions becomes arbitrarily large.
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  7. 04-18-07 03:52 PM #7
    abacus30
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    what the fu*k? Sam - can you bring that down to a level where us idiots w/ an average IQ understand?
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  8. 04-18-07 03:58 PM #8
    Sam Odom
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    Quote Originally Posted by abacus30 View Post

    what the fu*k? Sam
    If you flip a coin 10x the "50-50 avg" may not hold true but flip it 100x the "avg" will move to 50-50 even more so at 1000 flips. "Law of Large Numbers"
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  9. 04-18-07 04:13 PM #9
    abacus30
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    gotcha, thanks... but don't you guys also think it has to do with the books not giving accurate value to certain pitchers/teams the first couple weeks?
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  10. 04-18-07 04:21 PM #10
    Sam Odom
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    No doubt the lines (Bookies) get better later into the season.

    My point, most bettors are no better than 50-50 (coin flip) picking gms. Thats why the vig will beat us, however, poor money management is our worse enemy. IMHO
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