1. #1
    staf
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    staf's SDQL value bets

    Posted some plays in this thread:

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...-sdql-p57.html

    Started August 20th with post #1988 through yesterday August 26th with post #2150

    I have 6 MLB queries and expect to make over 800 predictions per season with a 54% winning expectation.

    MLB #1
    SU: 701-497 (0.65, 58.5%) avg line: -116.9 / 103.4 on / against: +$16,791 / -$22,914 ROI: +10.7% / -16.0%

    MLB #2
    SU: 461-406 (0.22, 53.2%) avg line: 119.1 / -130.0 on / against: +$13,874 / -$18,590 ROI: +15.7% / -16.5%

    MLB #3
    SU: 461-321 (0.74, 59.0%) avg line: -125.8 / 110.9 on / against: +$9,371 / -$13,689 ROI: +8.6% / -14.8%

    MLB #4
    RL: 721-589 (0.25, 55.0%) avg line: -101.2 / -112.9 on / against: +$16,424 / -$23,888 ROI: +10.0 / -13.8%

    MLB #5
    SU: 1487-1263 (0.24, 54.1%) avg line: -104.0 / -108.7 on / against: +$23,308 / -$37,581 ROI: +7.0% / -11.0%

    MLB #6
    SU: 871-798 (0.13, 52.2%) avg line: 111.4 / -124.5 on / against: +$17,063 / -$26,101 ROI: +8.9% / -11.6%

    I have 5 NBA queries and expect to make about 300 predictions per season with a 56% winning expectation against the spread.

    NBA #1
    ATS: 1184-932-35 (0.48, 56.0%)

    NBA #2
    ATS: 837-650-29 (0.39, 56.3%)

    NBA #3
    ATS: 548-405-13 (0.86, 57.5%)

    NBA #4
    ATS: 825-643-36 (0.70, 56.2%)

    NBA #5
    ATS: 429-296-14 (2.28, 59.2%)

    I have 3 NCAAB queries and expect to make about 400 predictions per season with a 56% winning expectation against the spread.

    NCAAB #1
    ATS: 717-556-27 (0.91, 56.3%)

    NCAAB #2
    ATS: 506-368-15 (1.30, 57.9%)

    NCAAB #3
    ATS: 749-591-27 (1.21, 55.9%)

    Overall I'm expecting to make over 1500 predictions a year with a 55% winning expectation and about 150 units of profit.
    Last edited by staf; 08-27-14 at 09:15 AM.

  2. #2
    staf
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    5-2 +3.09 units yesterday
    21-10 +11.28 units overall

    MLB #1
    Los Angeles Angels -141

    MLB #4
    Atlanta Braves -1.5 +135
    San Diego Padres +1.5 -135
    Los Angeles Angels -1.5 +150

    MLB #5
    Milwaukee Brewers -140

  3. #3
    Enjoi
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    Good stuff dude! Let's finish off this baseball season strong and make a killing in basketball. Best of luck

  4. #4
    staf
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    Quote Originally Posted by staf View Post
    5-2 +3.09 units yesterday
    21-10 +11.28 units overall

    MLB #1
    Los Angeles Angels -141

    MLB #4
    Atlanta Braves -1.5 +135
    San Diego Padres +1.5 -135
    Los Angeles Angels -1.5 +150

    MLB #5
    Milwaukee Brewers -140
    adding
    MLB #2
    Kansas City Royals -110

  5. #5
    Martinr
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    Will be good to keep an eye on this. Hope you stick with it.
    What's the strategy when situations bring up opposing plays, as in Pads and Brewers above?

  6. #6
    staf
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    Quote Originally Posted by Martinr View Post
    Will be good to keep an eye on this. Hope you stick with it.
    What's the strategy when situations bring up opposing plays, as in Pads and Brewers above?
    There aren't enough results at SDB to draw any conclusions. I've decided to just bet everything and not get caught up in over-thinking things. In this situation, both picks could win, as San Diego is +1.5 on the RL.

  7. #7
    staf
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    4-2 +2.1 units yesterday
    25-12 +13.38 units overall

    MLB #1
    New York Yankees -121

    MLB #2
    Texas Rangers +128

    MLB #5
    Chicago Cubs -123

    MLB #6
    Atlanta Braves -120

  8. #8
    figue
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    good luck

  9. #9
    staf
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    1-3 -2.44 units yesterday
    26-15 +10.94 units overall

    Today's looking like a pass.
    Has anybody gotten a response from Joe Meyer at SDB?

  10. #10
    staf
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    26-15 +10.94 units overall

    MLB 1
    Baltimore Orioles -180
    Boston Red Sox +157

    MLB 2
    Texas Rangers +129
    Boston Red Sox +157
    Detroit Tigers -107 game 1

    MLB 4
    Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 +165

    MLB 5
    St. Louis game 1 (waiting on line)

    MLB 6
    Colorado Rockies +138

    The duplicate prediction on Boston will be counted only once towards my record. This will be my policy for all duplicate predictions.

  11. #11
    staf
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    Quote Originally Posted by staf View Post
    26-15 +10.94 units overall

    MLB 1
    Baltimore Orioles -180
    Boston Red Sox +157

    MLB 2
    Texas Rangers +129
    Boston Red Sox +157
    Detroit Tigers -107 game 1

    MLB 4
    Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 +165

    MLB 5
    St. Louis game 1 (waiting on line)

    MLB 6
    Colorado Rockies +138

    The duplicate prediction on Boston will be counted only once towards my record. This will be my policy for all duplicate predictions.
    MLB 5
    St. Louis Cardinals -160 game 1

  12. #12
    staf
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    2-5 -3.29 units yesterday
    28-20 +7.65 overall

    MLB 4
    Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 -170

    MLB 5
    New York Mets -115

    MLB 6
    Miami Marlins +154

  13. #13
    staf
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    1-2 -1.7 units yesterday
    29-22 +5.95 units overall

    MLB 1
    Baltimore Orioles -135

    MLB 2
    Boston Red Sox +155

    MLB 3
    Baltimore Orioles -135

    MLB 5
    San Diego Padres -158
    Washington Nationals -111

  14. #14
    staf
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    2-2 -.35 units yesterday
    31-24 +5.6 units overall

    MLB 2
    Toronto Blue Jays +107
    Chicago White Sox +117

    MLB 3
    Baltimore Orioles -137
    New York Yankees -147

    MLB 6
    Washington Nationals +180

  15. #15
    staf
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    3-2 +.77 units yesterday
    34-26 +6.37 units overall

    MKB 2
    Toronto Blue Jays +125
    Chicago White Sox +111

    MLB 3
    Baltimore Orioles -153

    MLB 5
    Atlanta Braves -176

  16. #16
    staf
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    3-1 +2.25 units yesterday
    37-27 +8.62 units overall

    MLB 2
    Toronto Blue Jays +118

    MLB 3
    Baltimore Orioles -151
    Toronto Blue Jays +118

  17. #17
    staf
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    2-0 +2.18 units yesterday
    39-27 +10.8 units overall

    MLB 1
    Seattle Mariners -167

    MLB 2
    Baltimore Orioles +131

    MLB 3
    Houston Astros +210
    Toronto (no line)

    MLB 5
    Pittsburgh Pirates -118
    Philadelphia Phillies +205
    San Diego Padres +115

    MLB 6
    Los Angeles Dodgers -162

  18. #18
    Enjoi
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  19. #19
    staf
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    Quote Originally Posted by staf View Post
    2-0 +2.18 units yesterday
    39-27 +10.8 units overall

    MLB 1
    Seattle Mariners -167

    MLB 2
    Baltimore Orioles +131

    MLB 3
    Houston Astros +210
    Toronto (no line)

    MLB 5
    Pittsburgh Pirates -118
    Philadelphia Phillies +205
    San Diego Padres +115

    MLB 6
    Los Angeles Dodgers -162
    MLB 3
    Toronto Blue Jays -108

  20. #20
    staf
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    4-3 +3.07 units yesterday
    43-30 +13.87 units overall

    MLB 3
    Baltimore Orioles +117
    Kansas City Royals +112
    Houston Astros +193
    Toronto Blue Jays +120
    Seattle Mariners -144

    MLB 5
    St. Louis Cardinals +100

    MLB 6
    Pittsburgh Pirates -150

  21. #21
    FlyinAir
    SDQL
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    Pure cash

  22. #22
    staf
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    3-4 -1 unit yesterday
    46-34 +12.87 units overall

    MLB 3
    Cleveland Indians -205
    Toronto Blue Jays -105
    Baltimore Orioles -105
    Seattle Mariners -139
    Houston Astros +143

    MLB 5
    Detroit Tigers -106

  23. #23
    Enjoi
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    Thanks

  24. #24
    staf
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    Quote Originally Posted by staf View Post
    3-4 -1 unit yesterday
    46-34 +12.87 units overall

    MLB 3
    Cleveland Indians -205
    Toronto Blue Jays -105
    Baltimore Orioles -105
    Seattle Mariners -139
    Houston Astros +143

    MLB 5
    Detroit Tigers -106
    adding

    MLB 6
    Washington Nationals -150

  25. #25
    staf
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    6-1 +5.04 units yesterday
    52-35 +17.91 units overall

    Monday, September 8th
    Toronto Blue Jays -200
    Baltimore Orioles -110
    Milwaukee Brewers -171
    San Diego Padres (no line)

  26. #26
    Enjoi
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    Would you ever consider going against the system? I mean it's really hard to put money on the Padres with Kershaw dealing on the mound.

  27. #27
    staf
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    Quote Originally Posted by staf View Post
    6-1 +5.04 units yesterday
    52-35 +17.91 units overall

    Monday, September 8th
    Toronto Blue Jays -200
    Baltimore Orioles -110
    Milwaukee Brewers -171
    San Diego Padres (no line)
    San Diego Padres +265

    Quote Originally Posted by Enjoi View Post
    Would you ever consider going against the system? I mean it's really hard to put money on the Padres with Kershaw dealing on the mound.
    I try not to over think things. If the method says the value is on the Padres, I have to bet the Padres. Worked on Friday with Phillies and Astros.

  28. #28
    Enjoi
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    Yeh you're right but I'll pass on that game. Great day yesterday!

  29. #29
    staf
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    2-2 -.71 units yesterday
    54-37 +17.2 units overall

    Tuesday, September 9th
    Toronto Blue Jays -143
    Cleveland Indians -166
    Detroit Tigers -173
    Philadelphia Phillies +128
    Baltimore Orioles -136
    Cincinnati Reds +114

  30. #30
    Enjoi
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    You've been doing great, keep it up. Always appreciate your posts

  31. #31
    staf
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    5-1 +3.76 units yesterday
    59-38 +20.96 units overall

    Wednesday, September 10th
    Detroit Tigers -110
    Toronto Blue Jays -163
    St. Louis Cardinals -125
    Los Angeles Angels -163
    Oakland Athletics -184
    Arizona Diamondbacks +153

  32. #32
    staf
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    2-4 -3.19 units yesterday
    61-42 +17.77 units overall

    Thursday, September 11th
    Kansas City Royals -126

  33. #33
    staf
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    Quote Originally Posted by staf View Post
    2-4 -3.19 units yesterday
    61-42 +17.77 units overall

    Thursday, September 11th
    Kansas City Royals -126
    adding
    New York Yankees -102

  34. #34
    ch_theos
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    Any chance you could share the queries for bball? With you on Yankees but 1st 5 innings only, they are the worst scoring 6th-9th inning team. Yesterday was a fun 1st 5 inning win lol

  35. #35
    staf
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    1-1 -0.26 units yesterday
    62-43 +17.51 units overall

    Friday, September 12th
    Baltimore Orioles -120 game 1
    Pittsburgh Pirates -200
    Toronto Blue Jays -140
    New York Mets +145
    Texas Rangers +131
    Kansas City Royals -182
    San Diego Padres +125
    Seattle Mariners -133
    San Francisco Giants -126

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