1. #1
    Boner_18
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    What are the odds that the Yankees go 24-16 in their last 40?

    Stros
    White Sox
    Tigers
    Jays
    Redsox
    Royals
    Rays
    O's
    Rays
    Jays
    O's
    Redsox

    20% chance? If they did would they take the 2nd wildcard?

  2. #2
    pattymayo
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    Zero chance , that schedule is brutal

  3. #3
    Boner_18
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    50% against teams with under .500 records is brutal? And another 2 series against the Jays (same win % as yanks). Ive seen a lot of rankings putting thier remaining schedule as one of the easiest... I agree the chances are slim, but more b/c the yanks suck than the schedule...

  4. #4
    jjgold
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    zero

    nobody going 24-16 in mlb now

    too much parity

  5. #5
    MoneyLineDawg
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    We've seen teams get hot and rip off 14 of 15 before so anything is possible

    Still think they can get a wildcard without winning that many

  6. #6
    Chi_archie
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    i'd give them 12-16% chance

  7. #7
    Ratzz
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    ZERO. i would be surprised if they went 21-19

    they logistically need to go 27-13.

    it's over. Yanks missed playoffs again.

    i think it's hilarious that the Yanks still think
    that all they have to do is run out and spend half a Billion dollars,
    and automatically earn a trip to the World Series

    when they will not even earn a watered down extra wild-card position

  8. #8
    Boner_18
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    Now i need 20-14 in the last 34... A better avg than this first post (.588 vs .600) but they also just played two of the worse competition of the remainder of the season.

    Think the odds are still %12-16.. Btw i dont really care about WC.. Looking for o87 wins, and ill be happy with a push.

  9. #9
    winz
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    yanks very hard team to cap..

  10. #10
    Pauulzcappin
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    4-2 so far

    facing porcelo, price and verlander next after a visit against shields

    very tough 4 days

  11. #11
    winz
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    they keep trotting out price well over a 100 pitches every start..eventually that will catch up with him.

  12. #12
    Boner_18
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    Next 4 will for sure be tough. Even verlander.

    When i think about it as winning 2.25 more games than their average dictates over the next 34 it doesn't sound so bad... But when i actually look at the schedule i have to have them win way to many series...

  13. #13
    winz
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    just need them to turn it up and have one hot streak..they can easily do it.

  14. #14
    Dirty Sanchez
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    Depends on which of the teams in front of them lay down like dogs and make it easy on them. Getting on a plane this afternoon for an overnight trip for a 1 gamer in KC on Monday doesn't help for the old dudes

  15. #15
    Pauulzcappin
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dirty Sanchez View Post
    Depends on which of the teams in front of them lay down like dogs and make it easy on them. Getting on a plane this afternoon for an overnight trip for a 1 gamer in KC on Monday doesn't help for the old dudes
    they rested mccann ellsbury and gardner... they were just in the game to PH so they should be ok

  16. #16
    winz
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    its an early luxury flight...good food, a lil music.. feeling upbeat after the nice win..should be just fine for tomorrow.

  17. #17
    benjy
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    Throwing .523 as chance of success into a binomial distribution with >= 24 wins over 40 trials yields:

    20.7%

    It's a gross oversimplification but it's the only number based answer here.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: asdf21

  18. #18
    asdf21
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    It's extremely unlikely

  19. #19
    jjgold
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    good start

    yanks with some clutch hitting

  20. #20
    You mad bro
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ratzz View Post
    ZERO. i would be surprised if they went 21-19

    they logistically need to go 27-13.

    it's over. Yanks missed playoffs again.

    i think it's hilarious that the Yanks still think
    that all they have to do is run out and spend half a Billion dollars,
    and automatically earn a trip to the World Series

    when they will not even earn a watered down extra wild-card position
    who spent $500,000,000.00 ?

  21. #21
    TheLock
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    You're one of 850,000 white male NYC residents who homer bet the over on NYY season win total.

    Salud.

  22. #22
    Boner_18
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    Quote Originally Posted by benjy View Post
    Throwing .523 as chance of success into a binomial distribution with >= 24 wins over 40 trials yields:

    20.7%

    It's a gross oversimplification but it's the only number based answer here.

    Benjy winning.

  23. #23
    Boner_18
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    Locker... I doubt 1 of every 2 white males in the city bets (there are ~1.74MM) let alone on Yankees season wins. But yes, yankees fans are white and are homers. HAH!

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