1. #36
    HappyKane
    HappyKane's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-11
    Posts: 1,623
    Betpoints: 3999

    1-1 on Wednesday. No action on Thursday. 3-1 on Friday. 2-0 on Saturday.

    63-57 YTD. Up $1,309.01.

    63-1 on the chase.

    Updated ROI = 24.2%, annualized return = 145.7%

    Sunday's card:

    CHASE 65, 1st of 5
    Tigers -117
    $60 to win $51.28

    CHASE 66, 1st of 5
    Athletics -144
    $65 to win $45.14

  2. #37
    fitguy67
    blessed be the cheesemakers
    fitguy67's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-13-11
    Posts: 5,082
    Betpoints: 3358

    hap, here's the complete record of all the plays till end of yesterday's action...included is everything u'v either posted here at SBR or referred us to at blubird...they were "fade the public" only from May20 to Jul30...after which i started including everything that showed up on your google-sheet (including those that yoiu stated clearly u were passing on for one reason or another)

    for example, today, in addition to the two plays u've made official, i've also taken the TOR/CHW o9 and the NYM as well (i hear the voice of Obi-Wan echoing "use the sheet, Luke", lol...and I'm always afraid that the wrong ones will be "filtered out"...even by the inventor of the system)...
    so my results below reflect all the plays your spreadsheet has singled out since Jul30, whether u'v made them official or not (on Wed & Thu, for example there were 7 such "unofficial plays" that went 4-3, +1.2846u)...i designate your "unofficial plays" as category "UP" and so far have noticed that that's the direction in which they (and the official series-numbered ones) have been affecting my bankroll

    each and every play is TO WIN (not risk...TO WIN) a single $100 unit

    result: 71-61, +14.607u

    this is an amazing 11.54% of the 126.5791u risked in total (attempting to win the 132u total...at average odds of +104.28)


    ___________________

    note that no crazy "white knuckle" bets required...

    i noted that a few days ago your spreadsheet called for an "E" play on series 59 (but you neither posted nor tweeted it...and instead officially called off everything due to a busy day of medical stuff)...but i was able to take it, along with whatever plays you posted that day...without any anxiety...cuz to me they're all the same...but what could have easily been designated the 59E-play lost...and it could have easily evaporated damn-near all your profits if you hadn't been tied up that day with health matters..

    ______________

    when u have a solid method for finding value, it's counter-productive to risk it all by turning it into a bet against losing "5 in a row" of an arbitrarily-defined "series"...

    note that i've made a good handful of units more than a chase-follower...AND risked a lot fewer units doing so...AND because i don't have to keep tons of gun-powder dry for the occasional D/E bets (whether they win or lose is immaterial to this argument)...my bullets (units) can be much bigger...

    thanks for the $ (and congrats on your recent luck of being too busy a few days ago to take the first 59E that lost...and then having the second crack at 59E hit nicely on a +123 dog)...i just don't understand why you configure your bet sizes this way, apparently more for "excitement" than $-profit...

    in MLB, over the long-haul and measured in the actual $ generated from any actual starting balance...the flat-betting tortoise kicks the rabbit's ass...and just ask their doctor which of the two has the lower blood pressure
    Last edited by fitguy67; 08-17-14 at 05:07 PM.

  3. #38
    HappyKane
    HappyKane's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-11
    Posts: 1,623
    Betpoints: 3999

    0-2 on Sunday.

    63-59 YTD. Up $1,184.01.

    CHASE 65 & 66 will both go for 2nd tries.

    Monday's card:

    CHASE 65, 2nd of 5
    Cubs +111
    $105 to win $116.55

    CHASE 66, 3rd of 5
    Braves/Pirates Under 7 -110
    $110 to win $100

  4. #39
    HappyKane
    HappyKane's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-11
    Posts: 1,623
    Betpoints: 3999

    Bartolo Colon scratched. Bump the total play.

  5. #40
    HappyKane
    HappyKane's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-11
    Posts: 1,623
    Betpoints: 3999

    0-1 on Monday.

    63-60 YTD. Up $1,074.01.

    Tuesday's card:

    CHASE 65, 3rd of 5
    Rays +116
    $190 to win $220.40

    CHASE 66, 2nd of 5
    Giants/Cubs Over 8 -120
    $120 to win $100

    CHASE 67, 1st of 5
    Blue Jays +147
    $50 to win $73.50

  6. #41
    HappyKane
    HappyKane's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-11
    Posts: 1,623
    Betpoints: 3999

    0-2 on Tuesday.

    63-62 YTD. Profits down to $834.01

    For Thursday, going against some tough pitchers:

    CHASE 65, 4th of 5
    Twins +135
    $325 to win $438.75

    CHASE 66, 2nd of 5
    Rays +110
    $115 to win $126.50

First 12
Top