Good afternoon all, I found two games that I very like in regards to the over. SF and Pitt is sitting at 6.5 and the Cubs game is at 7.5. I am looking to parley both and buy down to 6 and 7. Or do you think I should just do individual games? My reasoning:
Pitt: Worley has one complete game in 70 games started for his career. He has a career ERA over 4 against SF. I am leaning on SF getting at least 3 runs off of him before he is pulled in the 6th inning.
SF: Bumgardner is hot. he dominated July and always goes deep in the game. His ERA against Pitt is just a little over 1.6. Pitt will get 2 runs off of him as he has been horrible at home this year.
Relievers: This is where i am looking to make some money. Looking to tag the relievers for 2 runs. Putting the total at 7.
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Col: Flande ERA is over 7!?! He has not lasted longer then 6 innings this year. Cubs will get 4 runs off of him before he is pulled.
Cubs: Wada is facing the Rockies for the first time and will get tagged for at least 3 runs.
Relievers: Good god, both are in the bottom of the league. If both SPs are out by the 6 inning, i am looking for 3 more runs.
I LOVE THE CUBS OVER, and LIKE THE SF OVER. Looking for thoughts before i punch the ticket. I will post my ticket before 3PM.