1. 07-27-14 05:23 PM #1
    bruenc
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    Has anyone tried this?

    Has anyone tested in game betting on heavy road favorites after a shutout top of the first inning? I figure you would get better much better odds if u really so like a specific game/team.
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  2. 07-27-14 05:25 PM #2
    jayc88
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    You will obviously get better odds since the home Team still has 9 Innings to play.
    This will not be profitable lt .
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  3. 07-27-14 06:19 PM #3
    KVB
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    My thoughts...you would need exceptionally good odds, which you won't get, and you will likely be paying a lot of vigorish for what you do get, which counts in the long run.
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  4. 07-27-14 07:15 PM #4
    sportsguy4
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    Just tried it. Took the Dodgers at -105 instead of -123 before the game. Still believe the Dodgers will win tonight. Played 3.5 U on it.
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  5. 07-27-14 10:35 PM #5
    KVB
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    Nice hit.


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  6. 07-27-14 11:12 PM #6
    krk1030
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    This may make sense if the team is heavy chalk mainly because of their starting pitcher.
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  7. 07-28-14 09:53 AM #7
    bruenc
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    Played both oak and lad after top of first and got better odds, but as mentioned above it is still a lot of juice to be playing on games like Oakland.
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  8. 07-28-14 11:26 AM #8
    asdf21
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    Where is the edge... you get better odds but less probability of winning
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  9. 07-28-14 11:41 AM #9
    upscope
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    I don't like it. Rather pay the xtra vig & give me that xtra inning of offense to jump on the favorable pitching match-UP. that's what you're paying the vig for anyhow.
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  10. 07-28-14 11:44 AM #10
    TheCentaur
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    Only works if the opposing pitcher is left handed coming off a loss and the weather is partly cloudy
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  11. 07-28-14 02:36 PM #11
    BasesLoaded314
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    L10 years, road faves that fail to score in the 1st are 2683-2735. average pregame odds were -135. so, a rough estimate says you would need to be offered approx 35 cents for this to be practical. the problem is that when the road fave DOES score in the top 1st, they go on to win 68.6% of the time (1669-765)..... except that you probably weren't on those games, because they got even more expensive than u wanted
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  12. 07-28-14 03:02 PM #12
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by asdf21 View Post
    Where is the edge... you get better odds but less probability of winning
    How does the probability of winning change?
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  13. 07-28-14 03:17 PM #13
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheCentaur View Post
    Only works if the opposing pitcher is left handed coming off a loss and the weather is partly cloudy
    this.
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  14. 07-28-14 03:46 PM #14
    asdf21
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    How does the probability of winning change?
    Home team has 9 innings left to score, away team only 8. See the post above yours for statistics.
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  15. 07-28-14 05:08 PM #15
    bruenc
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    Quote Originally Posted by BasesLoaded314 View Post
    L10 years, road faves that fail to score in the 1st are 2683-2735. average pregame odds were -135. so, a rough estimate says you would need to be offered approx 35 cents for this to be practical. the problem is that when the road fave DOES score in the top 1st, they go on to win 68.6% of the time (1669-765)..... except that you probably weren't on those games, because they got even more expensive than u wanted
    Thank you that is the info I was looking for
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  16. 07-28-14 07:26 PM #16
    sweethook
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    takes to big of a roll so slow your roll , gl
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