1. #1
    AchillesTG
    AchillesTG's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-19-13
    Posts: 1,648
    Betpoints: 6000

    Saturday: I have to take Greinke -127

    I had to take Greinke -127 for tomorrow against Joe Kelly. If he loses for some reason, I will double down on Kershaw against Carlos Martinez.

    L.A. Dodgers -127 3U Play
    MLB [General] 07/19/14 03:05 PM ET

  2. #2
    RollinDo
    Pickin' up Momentum with every lost Bet!
    RollinDo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-04-13
    Posts: 13,322
    Betpoints: 5251

    You kidding me?
    Greinke at only -127 vs Kelly?
    What's the catch?
    Maybe Under 7.5 is worth a look too.

  3. #3
    RollinDo
    Pickin' up Momentum with every lost Bet!
    RollinDo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-04-13
    Posts: 13,322
    Betpoints: 5251

    Didn't these 2 face each other in like the 2nd or 3rd game in the playoffs last year?
    Can't remember who won.

  4. #4
    AchillesTG
    AchillesTG's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-19-13
    Posts: 1,648
    Betpoints: 6000

    I know, it seems odd. That is why I may have to double up on Kershaw.
    Hopefully, when you make the play the night before, you will get better odds before the Public hammers the hell out of it.

    Damn, Kershaw is a beast! I cannot really see Greinke and Kershaw losing back to back games.

  5. #5
    AchillesTG
    AchillesTG's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-19-13
    Posts: 1,648
    Betpoints: 6000

    Quote Originally Posted by RollinDo View Post
    You kidding me?
    Greinke at only -127 vs Kelly?
    What's the catch?
    Maybe Under 7.5 is worth a look too.
    They went into extra innings on that game. Greinke had 10 strikeouts and 1 BB. Kelly did not figure in the decision. Cards used 7 pitchers and Lynn got the win.

  6. #6
    RollinDo
    Pickin' up Momentum with every lost Bet!
    RollinDo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-04-13
    Posts: 13,322
    Betpoints: 5251

    I do not bet Sundays so Greinke best get it done tomorrow....hope Cards keep lead tonight though.

  7. #7
    RollinDo
    Pickin' up Momentum with every lost Bet!
    RollinDo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-04-13
    Posts: 13,322
    Betpoints: 5251

    Quote Originally Posted by AchillesTG View Post
    They went into extra innings on that game. Greinke had 10 strikeouts and 1 BB. Kelly did not figure in the decision. Cards used 7 pitchers and Lynn got the win.
    I remember that!
    I picked Cards to win too.

  8. #8
    RavensFan2k3
    Handicappin' like I'm Trappin'
    RavensFan2k3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-12
    Posts: 17,377
    Betpoints: 18710

    Quote Originally Posted by RollinDo View Post
    You kidding me?
    Greinke at only -127 vs Kelly?
    What's the catch?
    Maybe Under 7.5 is worth a look too.
    What do you expect the line to be?

  9. #9
    AchillesTG
    AchillesTG's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-19-13
    Posts: 1,648
    Betpoints: 6000

    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    What do you expect the line to be?
    Sagarin Ratings has Geinke at 2.03 RPG and Kelly at 6.03. I would think it could be -150 to -170, however; the Public may see Kelly as the winner and keep the line low and the line may not move very much.

    My Book is at -135 right now.
    Last edited by AchillesTG; 07-18-14 at 10:44 PM.

  10. #10
    RavensFan2k3
    Handicappin' like I'm Trappin'
    RavensFan2k3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-12
    Posts: 17,377
    Betpoints: 18710

    Quote Originally Posted by AchillesTG View Post
    Sagarin Ratings has Geinke at 2.03 RPG and Kelly at 6.03. I would think it could be -150 to -170, however; the Public may see Kelly as the winner and keep the line low and the line may not move very much.

    My Book is at -135 right now.
    I would never expect Greinke to be -150 to -170 on the road vs a team thats equal to his own team

  11. #11
    AchillesTG
    AchillesTG's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-19-13
    Posts: 1,648
    Betpoints: 6000

    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    I would never expect Greinke to be -150 to -170 on the road vs a team thats equal to his own team
    The line could go down, since they are on the road. I just grabbed it at -127 because I saw some value and my Book went to -135. Like I said, if it loses, I will double down on Kershaw if need be. I just can't see Greinke and Kershaw losing back to back, so I will be chasing.

  12. #12
    RavensFan2k3
    Handicappin' like I'm Trappin'
    RavensFan2k3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-12
    Posts: 17,377
    Betpoints: 18710

    Quote Originally Posted by AchillesTG View Post
    The line could go down, since they are on the road. I just grabbed it at -127 because I saw some value and my Book went to -135. Like I said, if it loses, I will double down on Kershaw if need be. I just can't see Greinke and Kershaw losing back to back, so I will be chasing.
    Goodluck

  13. #13
    whtsox13
    Update your status
    whtsox13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-02-12
    Posts: 1,401
    Betpoints: 13

    Like it

  14. #14
    AchillesTG
    AchillesTG's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-19-13
    Posts: 1,648
    Betpoints: 6000

    Quote Originally Posted by whtsox13 View Post
    Like it
    I am banking on Greinke or Kershaw to win one of the games. If for some odd reason they lose both games, I will be screwed on the Martingale!

  15. #15
    RollinDo
    Pickin' up Momentum with every lost Bet!
    RollinDo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-04-13
    Posts: 13,322
    Betpoints: 5251

    LAD ML and Under 7.5 both look good...banking on Kelly to have a solid start.

  16. #16
    AchillesTG
    AchillesTG's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-19-13
    Posts: 1,648
    Betpoints: 6000

    Quote Originally Posted by RollinDo View Post
    LAD ML and Under 7.5 both look good...banking on Kelly to have a solid start.
    I am so bad at O/U, no idea if it is good or not. I certainly hope you win both of them!

  17. #17
    RollinDo
    Pickin' up Momentum with every lost Bet!
    RollinDo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-04-13
    Posts: 13,322
    Betpoints: 5251

    Quote Originally Posted by AchillesTG View Post
    I am so bad at O/U, no idea if it is good or not. I certainly hope you win both of them!
    Well considering I'm much better at totals (62%) than sides (40%), would say my stronger play is the Under, and LAD is more of a safety net in case Kelly gets roughed up.

  18. #18
    whtsox13
    Update your status
    whtsox13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-02-12
    Posts: 1,401
    Betpoints: 13

    Quote Originally Posted by AchillesTG View Post
    I am banking on Greinke or Kershaw to win one of the games. If for some odd reason they lose both games, I will be screwed on the Martingale!
    Let's hope G wins, K will be premium odds for Sunday night game.

  19. #19
    sbrhedge
    sbrhedge's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-11
    Posts: 1,354
    Betpoints: 87

    I'm on STL - Greinke looks soft in this spot.

  20. #20
    Down_Goes Bookie
    Down_Goes Bookie's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-18-13
    Posts: 422

    I think Greinke looks strong here; the question is whether slumping LAD bats show up for him even against a suspect Kelly.

    Especially with Kemp creating a distraction with his whining about playing center field and now trade rumors. WTF. Play where the coach plays you, asshat!

  21. #21
    sbrhedge
    sbrhedge's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-11
    Posts: 1,354
    Betpoints: 87

    Quote Originally Posted by sbrhedge View Post
    I'm on STL - Greinke looks soft in this spot.
    I take that back .. Greinke looks REALLY SOFT.

Top