1. 07-11-14 02:39 PM #1
    azsportswin
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    Brewers -140 vs Cardinals tonight?

    I get that Molina is out for Cardinals, but Brewers just got swept by Phillies and Cards just took 3 of 4 from Pirates. Also, Gallardo is 1-11 career vs Cardinals. Brewers -140?????
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  2. 07-11-14 03:05 PM #2
    BigDofBA
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    Brewers just lost as -195 and -181 favorites.

    They've also lost 8 of 9 overall.

    I think they win but in no way would I pay -140 here
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  3. 07-11-14 03:08 PM #3
    KRIT
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    Yeah not worth the juice, especially with how bad they've been. Gallardo is 1-11 with a 6.34 era lifetime vs the Cards.
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  4. 07-11-14 03:12 PM #4
    sballen
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    Cards have value. I also researched this and can't figure out why the line is like this. I put a little on the cards at +130 but this fishy line has me thinking trap. Number fire gives the cards a 48% chance of winning which suggests this is a +ev play.
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  5. 07-11-14 03:16 PM #5
    azsportswin
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    I wasn't even considering playing the Brewers, I want to play the Cardinals @ +130 (actually pound it!), but wondering what am I missing here?????
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  6. 07-11-14 03:19 PM #6
    bluetooth3
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    I think the Brew crew win this game. I really do. But with that said, there is no way I would lay -140 on them. I think the better play would be the u8 with the over getting pounded at 78% and juice on the under. RollinDo liked the u4.5 ff in that game with both offenses struggling and both needing a big game from their starters.
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  7. 07-11-14 03:22 PM #7
    BigDofBA
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    The Cards are my team and I think they probably lose tonight.

    Just seems like a bad spot off a good series against Pif and losing Yadi
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  8. 07-11-14 03:40 PM #8
    farmhouse1
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    Both teams sucking right now. Why not just pass bro?
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  9. 07-11-14 05:12 PM #9
    Allure
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    Brewers suck suck suck

    Cardinals it is
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  10. 07-11-14 05:23 PM #10
    broadway6
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    Joe Kelly back for the cards tonight. Not sure how he will do. Line is puzzling.
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  11. 07-11-14 06:16 PM #11
    sballen
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    Quote Originally Posted by farmhouse1 View Post
    Both teams sucking right now. Why not just pass bro?
    While I can't speak for OP, for me both teams sucking doesn't male it a necessary pass. I would say that this game is a coin toss or maybe the brew crew should be slight faves (like 52-54% chance of winning). However, stl is sitting at +130 which implies the brewers have a 56.5% chance of winning, thus making the cards a +ev play. If I think I can find a +ev play I will always bet it regardless of the teams current performance.
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