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Check out this ticket from 6/25 (Lincecum's No Hitter), What Gives?
As much as I'd like to claim this prediction, this IS NOT my ticket. A buddy of mine sent this to me via text on Wednesday, just after cashing thanks to Lincecum's no hitter. Part of me thought, "Well, good for him."
But the other part of me thought: "Is that not the worst number you've ever seen for a no hitter?" I mean odds like that assume a no hitter what... every other day??
Am I crazy in assuming that ticket should be more like 300 to 1?
Those are HORRENDOUS odds! But having said that, they do factor in who is pitching on that specific day. I think that Darvish and Tanaka were also pitching
Darvish, Tanaka, Lincecum, and Kershaw I think. Good point.
Also Vegas doesn't need to offer better odds. The same people who will take it at 100 to 1 will also take it at 30 to 1 most likely
Your right, horrible odds.
IDK, I think on any given full day of MLB, 3 or 4 aces will be pitching.Originally Posted by James Marques
So odds are pretty bad. You would have to see 6 no hitters per yr to break even, and the avg. is about 2 per year
Wow who would bet that? The Padres were marching out a AA lineup, but still
It was for all games on 6/25, not just Giants/PadresWow who would bet that? The Padres were marching out a AA lineup, but still
the odds of throwing a no-hitter is about 1 in 1548. there were 15 games that day. so roughly 1 in 100.
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i agree.Horrible number.
As much as I'd like to claim this prediction, this IS NOT my ticket. A buddy of mine sent this to me via text on Wednesday, just after cashing thanks to Lincecum's no hitter. Part of me thought, "Well, good for him."
But the other part of me thought: "Is that not the worst number you've ever seen for a no hitter?" I mean odds like that assume a no hitter what... every other day??
Am I crazy in assuming that ticket should be more like 300 to 1?
Bullshit. Kershaw was not pitching that day bro he threw the night befo
where is silver sevens??
Correct, terrible odds. But that is nothing new for props like this.
You're right. I was going just off memory, but he did indeed pitch the night before.
....
Last edited by SBR Jonelyn; 01-27-16 at 12:43 PM. Reason: image does not exist
There have been an average of 5 no-hitters the last 4 years.
2430 games played in the season.
10 games were played yesterday.
2430 / (5*10) = 48.6 odds
15 games played that day.There have been an average of 5 no-hitters the last 4 years.
2430 games played in the season.
10 games were played yesterday.
2430 / (5*10) = 48.6 odds
You don't have to call "Bullshit" when someone says "I think" you clown.
Why did you pick 4 years?
avg. of 2.7 last 10 years
avg. of 2.3 last 20 years
Either way bad odds
Great that he won, but horrible odds. I wonder how many Andrew Jackson's he's wasted on this type of bet? I'd need at least 100:1 to bet it.
you can bet -6000 that there is no no hitter if you think it is +EV
93-07 was the steroid years.
And yes, I wanted to just take a number from recent years, and not the last 140 years
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