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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Pittsburgh (Volquez) @ LA Dodgers (Greinke)-----I like the Dodgers in this game laying the -1.5 runs.
They will have a reliable pitcher : Zack Greinke who is 4-0 on the season at home with a 46/6 K/BB mark.
In these 4 wins, Greinke and the Dodgers are a PERFECT 4-0 covering the 1.5 runs as they have won these 4 games by an average score of 6-2. This guy simply gets the job done when he is on the mound. Greinke is coming off his first start of the season allowing more than 2 ER, as he gave up 3 ER vs. the Reds. It was not a problem though as the Dodgers won the game 6-3. It does not concern me either as Greinke struck out 11 batters which tells me he is still in great form.
According to accurescore :
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 12-16 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 9-17 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers\' starter Zack Greinke is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates\' starter Edinson Volquez. Zack Greinke has a 63% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Edinson Volquez has a 46% chance of a QS. If Zack Greinke has a quality start the Dodgers has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 65%. In Edinson Volquez quality starts the Pirates win 50%. He has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 50% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Yasiel Puig who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Andrew McCutchen who averaged 1.85 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 27% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 56% chance of winning.
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Originally Posted by AntGualdieri1
