Originally Posted by
gottimhimmel
Hi publicenemy, I'm going to apologize in advance for my lack of hard evidence. i'm a recreational bettor.
My dad played college ball at TCU and was offered to play in the minor leagues but turned it down to go to college. I asked him one time about any advice he could give me, and what he told me was that the ball gets heavier the colder it is, muscles aren't loose, etc. I'm in north texas (dfw are) so 74 degrees for me is pretty cool.
As a tennis player I can tell you that the biggest factor for me on this play is the humidity. Heavier air=more air resistance= less distance traveled.
And taking these factors and considering that any O/U bet is about 50/50, 2.05 is good value IMO