1. 05-17-14 03:49 AM #1
    Pauulzcappin
    Pauulzcappin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-23-10
    Posts: 20,295
    Betpoints: 568

    I'm fading Shelby Miller and the St. Louis Cardinals in the early game.

    Shelby Miller is a way worse pitcher than his ERA actually shows. He walks a lot of batters which is a huge red flag. His FIP and xFIP numbers are way above his actual ERA and all the signs show that a regression is coming real soon, he won't be able to keep getting out of jams.

    Harang isn't historically a good pitcher but he's been doing very well this season getting a lot of strikeouts.

    My only concern is that Atlanta's ofense is dreadful but I think they can give Harang some support.

    Braves ML +110 and some on the RRL once it's up.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 05-17-14 06:51 AM #2
    Bullywully
    Bullywully's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-16-14
    Posts: 215
    Betpoints: 0

    I understand your reasoning here, and your concern about the lack of run support for Atlanta Braves. It's still a bit of a gamble to assume they will score runs, but the price is nice and their pitcher is decent enough. Small thing i'm also worried about is that st louis cardinals is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings, and especially at home they owned Atlanta big time. I know it's another day, but these trends are always somewhat indicating how these teams match up. Good luck though
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 05-17-14 07:04 AM #3
    robbeduagain
    robbeduagain's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-25-12
    Posts: 1,248
    Betpoints: 11170

    I think both of these pitchers are due to regress. I look for a more high scoring game. I'm playing the over 7. Gl
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 05-17-14 10:23 AM #4
    Pauulzcappin
    Pauulzcappin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-23-10
    Posts: 20,295
    Betpoints: 568

    3 unit play and if I can get +115 again I'm adding another most likely. Laying off the RRL.

    Kinda worried it's a bit of a trendy pick but I'll ride with it.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 05-17-14 10:44 AM #5
    RollinDo
    Pickin' up Momentum with every lost Bet!
    RollinDo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-04-13
    Posts: 13,322
    Betpoints: 5251

    Cards find ways to win when Miller pitches.
    Just a heads up
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 05-17-14 11:06 AM #6
    Ro0k
    Ro0k's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-04-14
    Posts: 678
    Betpoints: 2492

    Miller is much better at home than he is on the road. Miller does walk a lot of guys, but vs RHP the braves are ranked 22nd in drawing walks and 4th in K's.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 05-17-14 11:10 AM #7
    nickcruz60
    nickcruz60's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-11-14
    Posts: 353
    Betpoints: 4380

    What about braves FF? Anyone like that
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 05-17-14 02:22 PM #8
    Pauulzcappin
    Pauulzcappin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-23-10
    Posts: 20,295
    Betpoints: 568

    LOL.

    pastornicky has a nice throwing arm. can't throw a guy out from 3rd from like almost the infield.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 05-17-14 02:31 PM #9
    alamo
    Why R.E.M. and not The Go-Betweens
    alamo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-09
    Posts: 7,131
    Betpoints: 10890

    Horrible call by the umpire at the top of the fifth. A foul ball called fair and leads to a DP.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 05-17-14 02:46 PM #10
    Pauulzcappin
    Pauulzcappin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-23-10
    Posts: 20,295
    Betpoints: 568

    Quote Originally Posted by alamo View Post
    Horrible call by the umpire at the top of the fifth. A foul ball called fair and leads to a DP.
    It was pretty fukking bad. Miller hasn't been all over the place like he normally is today. That double by simmons is a homer in a lot of parks as well.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 05-17-14 02:51 PM #11
    Pauulzcappin
    Pauulzcappin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-23-10
    Posts: 20,295
    Betpoints: 568

    that's game
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 05-17-14 03:05 PM #12
    Cappinpicks
    Cappinpicks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-11-10
    Posts: 14,986
    Betpoints: 48

    All he does is win win win no matter what
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | Baseball Betting | Next Thread »