im trying to make a system , using projected wins posted in fangraphs , i use pythagoras formula to see expected win% of every team ... and them i use Log5 formula to calculate expected win between 2 facing teams ...


I use WAR to make changes in RS and RA and recalculate Pyhtagoras expected win ... here is my problem how to convert WAR on RS and RA , im taking fangraph expected position player WAR i *10 to convert it in Runs then substract from RS team Example : Y.Puig WAR is 4.4 every time he wont play its 44 runs less in total team RS .. I just want to know if that calculation its correct , same with Pitcher WAR , exmple : Z. Greinke WAR its 3.3 (x5) that supouse to be a 5 rotation player = 16.5 then i used total SP WAR that is 11.8 ... (16,5 - 11,8) = 4,7x10 = 47 RA total team less every time he pitch ..


Any suggestion on this System or if im using wrong WAR to calculate WP% ???