1. #1
    stevenash
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    Nash's 2014 All things MLB Talking Baseball Thread

    Last week Opie asked me to give him a fair assessment of his favorite team, the Texas Rangers.
    Drinker wanted to know if I was going to do a thread this year, Smokey too and a few others.

    OK fellas, here it is, I will post my plays here, I will post my thoughts here, I will post everything MLB in this thread, some of you said it was hard tracking down my spot plays because I don't always wager every day in MLB, you will find it here.

    Play ball !

    First Opie:
    Four teams can win the AL West
    Angels, Rangers, Seattle, and Oakland

    Oakland will win the division in a neck and neck battle with Texas.


    American League West is probably the most interesting out of all the divisions in baseball.
    All five teams have flawes, and with the exception of the Houston Astros, who have less than
    a one percent chance of winning that division, can win it.

    The good about the Rangers:
    Very scary one through five top of the order.

    I love the Choo signing, he's a proven 20/20 guy, a guy who can lead off with a homer, which he has done
    several times last season with the Reds, or get on with a single and steal second. Extremely high OBA, which
    to me is the most important statistic, and plays a very good outfield.
    The bad about Choo is he cannot hit lefties. Pretty much an automatic out against the better lefties.
    Never could hit Liriano, never could hit Cliff Lee, or Kershaw, or David Price. Hell, he's 0 for 8 against Corbin.
    But the good far outweighs the bad

    I guess Washington bats Andrus second, he is what he is, .275/.345 no pop, terrific speed, and a steady glove.

    Prince will hit third, at first I wasn't big on the Detroit deal, I like it a little better now, if Price stays healthy and doesn't break down,
    will hit 30 home runs, drive in 100, with 40 home runs not out of the question. Plays a serviceable first base.

    Beltre is my guy, he's a beast, behind Miggy, who will move to first the best third baseman in the American League,
    you can argue Longoria, but for my money, give me Beltre.
    Monster bat, good glove, tremendous work ethic, how can you not love Beltre?
    Expect .300/.350 30-100 from Adrian

    With Rios hitting fifth, you got another 20/20 guy. Capable of hitting 20 home runs, and can steal you 20 bags.
    Will he? Don't know, but he can easily steal 20 if Washington let's him go.

    That first five at the top of the order is one of the best in baseball.

    Moreland is going to DH according to my sources, he's an OK bat, don't hate him, don't love him.

    Not in love with Soto batting seventh, he could hit some when he was with the Cubs, but don't expect more than .240.
    Same with Arencebia, he's got 20 home run pop, but no average, no OBA. Not in love with the catching platoon.

    Which brings us to Jurickson Profar......
    Some of you think he's the next big thing, I am not sold on Profar.
    I am fully aware of his potential and all that, just not sold on him.
    He's got pop for a middle infielder, and speed, not sure if he can hit prime time pitching.
    Now he's got a bum shoulder, I would have preferred if Texas kept Kinsler, but that ship has sailed.
    If that shoulder doesn't bother him all season, he should hit .250 10 homers, 10 steals.
    If that shoulder keeps him out of the lineup, Texas is up shit's creek, good luck going to war with Adam Rosales at second base.
    Rosales can't hit his weight, really, he's a .190 hitter.

    Leonys Martin will hit ninth, don't like the guy's attitude, but he'll give you .260, with a little power.

    Yu Darvish is a beast,
    Not just a staff ace, a bonafide MLB ace.
    Top five MLB starter.

    Rest of the rotation is just OK

    Holland is hurt
    Alexi Ogundo - average starter
    Matt Harrison - don't give me he's a former 18 game winner, he has issues and he's, just my opinion, overrated.
    Tommy Hanson - his better days are gone
    Martin Perez - He's a five earned runs given up in the third inning waiting to happen.

    The four other potential starters are not very good.

    Joe Nathan will be missed,
    but late game relievers aren't that bad.
    Nafalfi Perez I kind of like and Tanner Sheppers has plenty of upside who I think will be a good one.

    Bench is paper thin Opie.

    Second place, will be a division contender all season, very real wild card chance.


    AL East - Tampa (best pitching in that division)
    AL Central - Detroit ( will not miss Prince and monster four man rotation)
    AL West - Oakland (wide open division except for Houston) A's get nod because of pitching and balanced 1 though 9 lineup

    NL East - Nationals (best piching in division, lineup solid
    NL Central - Reds (Cards will miss Beltran, expecting big drop off from Molina as well)
    NL West - Dodgers. Well duh, most complete team in baseball



    Points Awarded:

    opie1988 gave stevenash 10 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 5 times . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Chi_archie, Cuse0323, opie1988, InTheDrink, and I/O

  2. #2
    You mad bro
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    Opening day cant come soon enough

  3. #3
    Monitor-Tan
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    Nice write up. Only thing I have a different POV with is for NL East, I like the Braves as the beset pitching in division and line up.

  4. #4
    benjy
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    Yay! Good write up. I'll be checking in for (hopefully) more. Cheers.

  5. #5
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by You mad bro View Post
    Opening day cant come soon enough
    You know it.

    It's going to be a great one.
    Looking forward to see who will be the next big thing.
    Archie Bradley? Jose Abreu? Alex Guerrero?

  6. #6
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by Monitor-Tan View Post
    Nice write up. Only thing I have a different POV with is for NL East, I like the Braves as the beset pitching in division and line up.
    Got Braves two games back.

    Dislike Nationals as a baseball fan, however that rotation is a monster.

    Stras
    Gio
    Zimm
    Fister

    YIKES !

  7. #7
    Monitor-Tan
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    I expect Stras to bounce back nicely but, I like the Braves bullpen better then the Nationals. It's neck and neck, I actually expect Gio to go down a bit this year

  8. #8
    greenhippo
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    Quote Originally Posted by You mad bro View Post
    Opening day cant come soon enough
    went to about 10 games last season, ballpark always 70% empty, look forward to it again.

  9. #9
    billysink
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    Looking forward to participating in this thread.

    Made my shits and giggles play on the KC Royals to win the Central. Not sure about my Tigers this year.

  10. #10
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by billysink View Post
    Looking forward to participating in this thread.

    Made my shits and giggles play on the KC Royals to win the Central. Not sure about my Tigers this year.
    Don't discount KC, that lineup can rake, Hosmer and Butler and Gordon can crush lefties, that 3-4-5 meat of the order can mash.
    Don't forget, they have Aoki and Infante on top now, very nice lineup

    if KC gets any pitching behing Price, they'll be in it to win it.
    They need Vargas and company to step up

  11. #11
    opie1988
    I have a MAJOR fukkin clue..
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    Awesome stuff, nashy

    This right here is why SteveNash is one of SBR's very best posters. No question.

    Thanks for the info, pal.

    SBR
    Poster of
    Year 2011


  12. #12
    You mad bro
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    You know it.

    It's going to be a great one.
    Looking forward to see who will be the next big thing.
    Archie Bradley? Jose Abreu? Alex Guerrero?
    who knows man .. kids could come up and be studs like trout or totally suck

    we will see this year

    hope the yanks stay healthy

    Quote Originally Posted by greenhippo View Post

    went to about 10 games last season, ballpark always 70% empty, look forward to it again.
    i went to like 35-40 games last year

    still love it

  13. #13
    Cuse0323
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    Good stuff Nasher.

  14. #14
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by You mad bro View Post
    hope the yanks stay healthy

    You know i am a Yankee fan as well, baseball fan first, Yankee fan second, the whole infield is a giant question mark.

  15. #15
    broadway6
    on to the next one
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    i have Nats in the WS....

  16. #16
    easyliving
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    can't wait till bases start. Any rankings out their on bullpens of teams? Knowing which team has the better bullpen in a matchup especially early in the season is very useful.

  17. #17
    You mad bro
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    You know i am a Yankee fan as well, baseball fan first, Yankee fan second, the whole infield is a giant question mark.
    yeah their outfield is good .. just their infield needs to try to stay healthy lol

    pitching should be pretty decent this year ...i hope

  18. #18
    Chi_archie
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    Quote Originally Posted by easyliving View Post
    can't wait till bases start. Any rankings out their on bullpens of teams? Knowing which team has the better bullpen in a matchup especially early in the season is very useful.
    I feel like Bullpens are extremely volatile from year to year.

    sometimes a team gets a bunch of scrubs together and for a year they just have magic

    see the Pirates from last year.

    other times a team has some big name proven guys in the bullpen and they just suck.


    tough to preview how they will do

  19. #19
    easyliving
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chi_archie View Post
    I feel like Bullpens are extremely volatile from year to year.

    sometimes a team gets a bunch of scrubs together and for a year they just have magic

    see the Pirates from last year.

    other times a team has some big name proven guys in the bullpen and they just suck.


    tough to preview how they will do
    thats true too, takes about a month into the season to get an idea of each teams bullpen.

  20. #20
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by easyliving View Post
    can't wait till bases start. Any rankings out their on bullpens of teams? Knowing which team has the better bullpen in a matchup especially early in the season is very useful.
    I'll talk bullpens tomorrow.

  21. #21
    benjy
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    I'll talk bullpens tomorrow.
    I'd especially appreciate it if you discussed any modelling approach you have with regards to bullpens when you post.

  22. #22
    billysink
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Don't discount KC, that lineup can rake, Hosmer and Butler and Gordon can crush lefties, that 3-4-5 meat of the order can mash.
    Don't forget, they have Aoki and Infante on top now, very nice lineup

    if KC gets any pitching behing Price, they'll be in it to win it.
    They need Vargas and company to step up
    Dan Duffy is the wild card on that staff. I think we learn something about that kid this year one year now removed from Tommy John.

  23. #23
    InTheDrink
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    Quote Originally Posted by opie1988 View Post
    Awesome stuff, nashy

    This right here is why SteveNash is one of SBR's very best posters. No question.

    Thanks for the info, pal.

  24. #24
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by Monitor-Tan View Post
    I expect Stras to bounce back nicely but, I like the Braves bullpen better then the Nationals. It's neck and neck, I actually expect Gio to go down a bit this year
    Gio had an off year last year. He should be better this year.

    The Braves bullpen is great but their line-up strikes out way too much.

    That starting pitching staff on the Braves is kinda overrated IMO

  25. #25
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by billysink View Post
    Dan Duffy is the wild card on that staff. I think we learn something about that kid this year one year now removed from Tommy John.
    Yordano Ventura is the wild card

    Vargas may win 20

  26. #26
    easyliving
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    really like the Nationals in the NL as well, but they might get in as a wild card. The Braves had multiple players that underperformed last year and they still won the division with ease. If the Upton brothers perform as they should and their pitching continues to be solid they will continue to win games, however as they showed once again last year their no threat to go anywhere in the playoffs.

  27. #27
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by easyliving View Post
    really like the Nationals in the NL as well, but they might get in as a wild card. The Braves had multiple players that underperformed last year and they still won the division with ease. If the Upton brothers perform as they should and their pitching continues to be solid they will continue to win games, however as they showed once again last year their no threat to go anywhere in the playoffs.
    i agree with that. Braves always choke in the playoffs

  28. #28
    tatddy
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    Nasher it's almost here! I'm heading to Scottsdale tomorrow.

  29. #29
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    Nasher it's almost here! I'm heading to Scottsdale tomorrow.
    Have a blast !

  30. #30
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by benjy View Post
    I'd especially appreciate it if you discussed any modelling approach you have with regards to bullpens when you post.
    1. Royals
    2. Athletics
    3. Dodgers
    4. Braves
    5. Reds
    6. Cardinals
    7. Rays
    8. Pirates
    9. Diamondbacks
    10. Reds

  31. #31
    El Nino
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    Nasher it's almost here! I'm heading to Scottsdale tomorrow.
    Lame storm ruined Saturday for me Going to be nice this week.

  32. #32
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    1. Royals
    2. Athletics
    3. Dodgers
    4. Braves
    5. Reds
    6. Cardinals
    7. Rays
    8. Pirates
    9. Diamondbacks
    10. Reds
    Yeah the Royals bullpen is awesome. It makes the starters jobs so much easier.

    Gonna be so frustrating for teams seeing crafty lefties like Chen and Vargas for 6 to 7 innings and then
    those 3 right handed beast throwing 97-100mph in the 7,8,9th
    Hocheaver, Crow, and Holland

  33. #33
    tatddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by El Nino View Post
    Lame storm ruined Saturday for me Going to be nice this week.
    We meeting up for a beer? Woman and I are meeting a buddy tomorrow night in old town so can meet then if you want. Free Wed and Thurs night too I think since games are during the day.

    Lemme know...and bring the fukking ketchup.

  34. #34
    El Nino
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    We meeting up for a beer? Woman and I are meeting a buddy tomorrow night in old town so can meet then if you want. Free Wed and Thurs night too I think since games are during the day.

    Lemme know...and bring the fukking ketchup.
    Shoot me a pm.

  35. #35
    Pete0
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    very glad u got this thread running for bases season nasher ! , i will def. be keeping tabs.

    altho i wonder, just like some others here- how soon will u crack and say ur done for good when u read a few negative comments on the internet ?

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