1. 10-15-13 02:51 PM #1
    wagerjunkie
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    Detroit - Boston OVER 7.5 +107 (selling half point)

    can't even begin to describe how huge that come back was for the Boston line up. it's going to send a huge spark up and down the line up. proverbial firecracker up their asses.

    JV has never handled speed well on the base paths well and when Jacoby and Victorino get on they will reek havoc. Boston is one of the best teams in the league at working DEEP counts and not swinging at the pitchers pitch. Even though JV coasted past the A's. he fell behind in a lot of counts, constantly having to battling back from 2-1 or 3-1, he was rarely ahead 0-2 consistently, Oakland could not make him pay. If he falls behind like that today Boston will mash him

    I expect Verlander to go maybe 6..with 3-4 ER....then the Detroit bullpen to implode for even more, they have been over worked and their confidence is shot.

    now for John Lackey...yeah this guy had bounce back regular season but he got hit pretty good in his post season debut for the Sox, lasting just 5.1 innings against the then,lowly hitting Rays team on 7 hits and 4 earned runs. - This Tigers line up is seeing the ball better with each passing game that goes by and expect Lackey to be chased from this game early.

    this has all the makings a of a classic AL slug fest.
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  2. 10-15-13 03:02 PM #2
    boeing power
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    Never saw a guy selling off a key number before.

    But if I stay at SBR long enough I will see everything.

    Good luck.
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  3. 10-15-13 03:08 PM #3
    wagerjunkie
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    Quote Originally Posted by boeing power View Post
    Never saw a guy selling off a key number before.

    But if I stay at SBR long enough I will see everything.

    Good luck.
    a key number in baseball? lol
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  4. 10-15-13 03:11 PM #4
    wagerjunkie
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    Verlander working behind so far to both Ellsbury and Victorino just as i expected ...2 outs..but should be different as line up turns over..
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  5. 10-15-13 03:19 PM #5
    boeing power
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    Quote Originally Posted by wagerjunkie View Post
    a key number in baseball? lol
    Just what I thought,

    Fuk I wish I was a bookie sometimes.
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  6. 10-15-13 03:20 PM #6
    tatddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by boeing power View Post
    Just what I thought,

    Fuk I wish I was a bookie sometimes.
    Love BP.
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  7. 10-15-13 03:21 PM #7
    wagerjunkie
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    explain to me how the fuk there is a key number in baseball. lets hear this one....
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  8. 10-15-13 03:27 PM #8
    wagerjunkie
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    I am aware that some consider 7 and 9 "key numbers" in totals in baseball

    but i am an absolute non believer in that.
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  9. 10-15-13 03:29 PM #9
    wagerjunkie
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    especiallly in the AL.
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  10. 10-15-13 03:29 PM #10
    boeing power
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    Quote Originally Posted by wagerjunkie View Post
    explain to me how the fuk there is a key number in baseball. lets hear this one....
    7 runs is the most common number of runs in a baseball game.
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  11. 10-15-13 03:29 PM #11
    jayc88
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    Lower numbers are worth more than the higher ones; thats what he probably meant
    In generell selling points though is only a great move if you want to lose your money faster than betting the original line.
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  12. 10-15-13 03:31 PM #12
    boeing power
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    Quote Originally Posted by wagerjunkie View Post
    I am aware that some consider 7 and 9 "key numbers" in totals in baseball

    but i am an absolute non believer in that.
    You're a non believer in statistics?

    Maybe you should find a new hobby then.
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  13. 10-15-13 03:32 PM #13
    wagerjunkie
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    Quote Originally Posted by boeing power View Post
    7 runs is the most common number of runs in a baseball game.
    i get all that...I just don't buy into it, in this spot, and in the AL epsecially, is this bet right here and long term losing proposition bet? most likely. but this isn't something I would make on a daily bases. just a spot bet.
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  14. 10-15-13 03:34 PM #14
    wagerjunkie
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    Quote Originally Posted by boeing power View Post
    You're a non believer in statistics?

    Maybe you should find a new hobby then.
    actually i base all my plays on pure stats. strand rates. xERA, xFIP, LD% FB% GB%..ect ect
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  15. 10-15-13 03:34 PM #15
    boeing power
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    Quote Originally Posted by wagerjunkie View Post
    i get all that...I just don't buy into it, in this spot, and in the AL epsecially, is this bet right here and long term losing proposition bet? most likely. but this isn't something I would make on a daily bases. just a spot bet.
    This most definitely is a losing bet long term.

    i got no dog in the fight though and hope you win.
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  16. 10-15-13 03:35 PM #16
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by wagerjunkie View Post
    a key number in baseball? lol
    Face.

    Palm.
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  17. 10-15-13 03:36 PM #17
    You mad bro
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    lol KKKKKKKKKKKK
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  18. 10-15-13 03:40 PM #18
    wagerjunkie
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Face.

    Palm.
    relax there no coin...was some jest there...read the entire thread before u proceed wit that face palm
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  19. 10-15-13 03:40 PM #19
    boeing power
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    By my calculations you have a 41% of winning this bet.

    Those calculations were based on before the game started obviously.
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  20. 10-15-13 03:41 PM #20
    wagerjunkie
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    if Gomes kept that ball fair those odds would have been looking better
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  21. 10-15-13 03:43 PM #21
    boeing power
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    Good luck man,

    I'll always cheer for the player over the bookie any day.
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  22. 10-15-13 03:45 PM #22
    wagerjunkie
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    Quote Originally Posted by boeing power View Post
    Good luck man,

    I'll always cheer for the player over the bookie any day.
    thanks man. BTW. i didn't mean any disrespect towards ya.
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  23. 10-15-13 03:46 PM #23
    wagerjunkie
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    I like how Detroit is squaring this ball up off Lackey. JV looks like vintage JV.
    Last edited by wagerjunkie; 10-15-13 at 05:03 PM.
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  24. 10-15-13 04:35 PM #24
    jjgold
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    This bet is dead

    Nobody can hit in the playoffs
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  25. 10-15-13 05:02 PM #25
    wagerjunkie
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    This bet is dead

    Nobody can hit in the playoffs
    sure is.

    got something in my back pocket tho that could bail me out and profit. but yes this bet is dead and I apologize to those who tailed.

    Lackey and JV pitching like monsters.
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  26. 10-15-13 05:23 PM #26
    Ho Le Fuk
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    Quote Originally Posted by boeing power View Post
    7 runs is the most common number of runs in a baseball game.
    citation needed please
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  27. 10-15-13 05:40 PM #27
    milwaukee mike
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ho Le Fuk View Post
    citation needed please
    You don't have google?

    here's 1984 through 2005

    http://www.stat.ucla.edu/~david.zes/...anBaseball.pdf
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  28. 10-15-13 05:41 PM #28
    Powderguy
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    ouch
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  29. 10-15-13 06:09 PM #29
    pattymayo
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    zoo youk what else do you like tonight pal?
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  30. 10-15-13 06:11 PM #30
    Smoke
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    unrael
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  31. 10-15-13 06:15 PM #31
    jjgold
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    Never bet over's and these playoff games so hard to score
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  32. 10-15-13 06:20 PM #32
    wagerjunkie
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    sorry pals...i cant hit 95% lol
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  33. 10-15-13 06:29 PM #33
    Smoke
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    Quote Originally Posted by wagerjunkie View Post
    sorry pals...i cant hit 95% lol
    Neither could zoo youk. He hit less than 40% of time
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