I love the story of the Pirates, but I think this is a very good spot for St. Louis. They are a dominant home team and have been as hot as anyone in baseball for the past month. Both Wainwright and Lynn are coming off very strong starts to end the year, and I love the Kelly vs Morton match up that we're likely to see in game 3. Kelly has been nails on the road all season and Charlie Morton, regardless of how he somehow allowed his ERA to stay under 3.50, is not someone I can back in the playoffs. On offense, the Cardinals have a very balanced lineup and are at their best with RISP, which is one of the biggest facets to success in the playoffs. The bullpens are a wash to me, but I give a slight edge to St. Louis because Rosenthal has electric stuff and I don't know that Grili is quite the same pitcher he was before the injury. I will be putting the trigger for 4 units on St. Louis in this series, just want to see how the early line movement is. Your thoughts?