Originally Posted by
2daBank
well off to a shity start...hit the under but lost on tribe who stranded a unreal amount of runners,,,what did we have a 3 inning stretch where tribe had bases juiced 1 out no runs, next inning 1st and 3 rd no out, no runs, then again in the 7th same thing..gotta score some damn runs in those spots...so in summary, i liked buccos but played the under for more, liked tribe moe than underr last night so of coarse the under cashes,,on bright side just been smaller bets so plenty of time to fix and no where to go but up...shouldnt come as a shock to anyone who knows me what time it is today...
still have this parlay carried over
tb/cle un 7/cards rl .15 to .55
now the rest..
cards ff/ ff un 3.5 1 to 1.8
cards -155..3.1 to 2
pit/stl un 6.5 +105 .5 to .55
yes i am a homer and while yes during the reg season you can count on me not betting like 1, playoffs is a different animal as my disgusting homer roots do shine thru, that said i will be pounding pit in gm 3 so i guess im still less of a homer than most..
ok far as the ff under and gm under the biggest thing here is if memory serves me right guys have hated playing this weird matinee time in stl cause the shadows are a issue , prob why the ff un 3.5 is juiced to hell so parlaying that with cards ff, cant pass the +105 on the gm under as i fully expect waino to be on his gm and both teams to struggle scoring early, with these pens if we at 3 runs or less thru 5 feel confident that they wont hit 7 in a gm i think cards win 4-2...
cards have smashed burnett in his last 2 starts in stl and while the dude is very good im not sold on him being a big game pitcher which is exactly what waino is..both pitchers been on top of their gms the last month, being in stl is huge when you consider cards are 11-6 in waino's home starts and 10-2 during the day! on the other side pit is 5-11 in AJ's starts away from home including 2 ass whippings in stl and 5-7 during the day...waino's last 2 vs pit in stl he has went 14 innings and allowed 3 runs with 14 ks..really all we need out of him is another 7 strong then he can hand it off to the power arms in the pen and bottom line there is no reason not to expect just that as he has been on top of his gm the last month after going thru a little slump in the dog days...home/road splits huge adv cards, big gm warrior vs a talented but flaky AJ adv cards.. cards rake righties hitting .275 as a team and scoring 5.27 rpg, on the other hand pit hits .238 vs righties and scores less than 4 rpg...give me one of the best big gm pitchers who has regained his form vs a guy who has struggled on the road, in stl in particualr where we also get the better lineup and more experianced team..yes buccos have been hot but cards have been on fire down the sretch to secure home field throughout the nl playoffs and they wanted that honor for a reason as they are incredibly tough at home..card will fnd a way to gt 4 runs in this gm and with waino and our pen that should be more than enough.....