Originally Posted by
No coincidences
Arizona +152 at Pittsburgh: Cahill pitching for the first time in nearly two months. Is it just me or does Locke never have to go against any good/peak pitching? Anyway, I'm fading him at this price. He's given up 30 hits and walked 15 in his last four starts (22 IP), yet Houdini is still somehow managing to escape relatively unscathed. Worried about Cahill's limited pitch count and Arizona's awful bullpen, but honestly, you wouldn't get +152 if it was otherwise.
Washington +105 at Atlanta: Really getting tired of the Braves and all of their narrow wins. They're long overdue here and I'm going to ride Stras at + money because you just don't get him at a nice price like this very often, even though it's somewhat justifiable given the teams and the fact that the Nats struggle vs. southpaws. Yes, Minor is very solid. Yes, the Braves are borderline unbeatable at home. Yes, the Braves own the Nats. Yes, the Braves are on a roll. So why are they a virtual PK here? Because they're going to lose.
White Sox -118 at Minnesota: Sale is long overdue for a good backing and this Albers kid's 15 minutes is just about up. Great low price on a true ace in a total SP mismatch. Up until his last start, Sale absolutely owned Minnesota. Still does in his career, at 3-1 with a 1.85 ERA. White Sox suck vs. lefties, but I think they eek one out here.