Hey Guys,

Relatively new to baseball betting, need help here. I regularly see people on this forum say something like "I see x pick at -140 and I think it should be -180" or something similar. I'm wondering for those of you who use models, how do you go from a score projection to figuring out what the proper line should be.

For instance, I have a model that gives me a projected score, lets say Royals 3 Marlins 2 in last nights game. But I don't know if the 1 run score differential equates to a -133 line for KC (or something better or worse).

Thanks for your help with this fellas.