I believe if Scherzer is going to lose, it's going to be against a divisional opponent, Cleveland is playing with house money after that win on Sunday, I'm pretty sure they approach this game with patience and a better approach than their recent 4-game losing streak.
-if this doesn't occur - or does I definitely believe the 'over' could come into play as both these teams seem to be hitting (Cleveland 5 runs avg. over their last 5, and Detroit 7.8 runs avg. last 5) coupled w/ the fact that Scherzer is receiving close to 8 runs of support every start (which is ridiculous hence the 13-0) just some thoughts.....
I expect a strong outing from Scherzer. I doubt the Cleveland bats can touch him up for more than 2 runs. Kazmir is the wild card. Gave up 1 hit to Baltimore over 7 IP a couple of starts ago. Surrendered 1 run to the Reds in late May. Issued just 1 BB in his last 19 IP, which is way out of character for Kazmir. He can get torched pretty good, but he can also show up and deal.
Putting my bucks on the Tigers and hoping it's not a 1-1 nailbiter in the 8th.
I just think situationally we are in a good position for an upset, its not like this is the first time this Cleveland lineup has seen scherzer - remember he was winless in his previous 3 starts with an ERA close to 7 before winning consecutive starts.
As for my lean to the 'over' just a lot of run support for both pitchers, given the atmosphere of this game - who knows it could turn into a pitchers duel, both pitchers receive ample run support in a relatively large sample size, and Scott Kazmir has been receiving close to 8 runs of support in his starts in progressive field.