1. 06-25-13 12:25 AM #1
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Pinny somehow always knows

    Look specifically at what happened to the lines late tonight with SD/PHI and Saturday night with SEA/OAK.

    Incredible. Two miracle comebacks and the book basically called both shots beforehand.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 06-25-13 12:26 AM #2
    TwoWays
    TwoWays's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-24-10
    Posts: 13,145
    Betpoints: 3608

    you forgot, was it a full moon yesterday?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 06-25-13 12:27 AM #3
    Gus Fring
    Gus Fring's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-21-13
    Posts: 3,423
    Betpoints: 745

    Guy can't make up his mind. He said this when Phil's were up 3-0 heading to the 9th

    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Can't believe I didn't just go ahead and take Philly. Seemed to make all the sense in the world. Have no idea what the late line drop at Pinny was all about; Phils went from -122 to -110 in less than 10 minutes before first pitch at Pinny. SD closed at +102 there vs. +114 at Bovada.


    Giants strand another runner in scoring position. Unreal.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 06-25-13 12:28 AM #4
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Quote Originally Posted by TwoWays View Post
    you forgot, was it a full moon yesterday?
    Are you telling me it's just a coincidence that they're closing anywhere from 10-14 cents more favorable to the underdog home winner than rec. books? They're either sharp as hell or someone sharp as hell is hammering the right side late. Either way, track Pinnacle's moves vs. other books and you will win. Period.

    Same was true today for Tampa -- Pinny was regularly moving the Rays to a higher number and practically begging for Toronto money. Whenever Pinny's line is moving and other books follow vs. the other way around, you should pay attention.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 06-25-13 12:29 AM #5
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Quote Originally Posted by Gus Fring View Post
    Guy can't make up his mind. He said this when Phil's were up 3-0 heading to the 9th
    Exactly -- and pinnacle was right, like usual. I said I had no idea what the late line drop was all about, and then my question was answered.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 06-25-13 12:30 AM #6
    DeezusWINSTREAKT
    DeezusWINSTREAKT's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-03-13
    Posts: 1,598
    Betpoints: 0

    For sure I get it. Post a thread and track this action Cuz I noticed u pointed this out before dude!!! Good way to get paid lately
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 06-25-13 12:31 AM #7
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Quote Originally Posted by DeezusWINSTREAKT View Post
    For sure I get it. Post a thread and track this action Cuz I noticed u pointed this out before dude!!! Good way to get paid lately
    It won't always work, but in the long run, it cashes a hell of a lot more often than not.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 06-25-13 12:32 AM #8
    Hotnicks
    Hotnicks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-04-10
    Posts: 423
    Betpoints: 10519

    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Are you telling me it's just a coincidence that they're closing anywhere from 10-14 cents more favorable to the underdog home winner than rec. books? They're either sharp as hell or someone sharp as hell is hammering the right side late. Either way, track Pinnacle's moves vs. other books and you will win. Period.

    Same was true today for Tampa -- Pinny was regularly moving the Rays to a higher number and practically begging for Toronto money. Whenever Pinny's line is moving and other books follow vs. the other way around, you should pay attention.
    You Also have to look at % on sportsbook spy. I think it was in the 70's RL and ML for Philly. ESPN SFTC also had this game to choose from and SD was about 7%. Perfect storm.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 06-25-13 12:33 AM #9
    DeezusWINSTREAKT
    DeezusWINSTREAKT's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-03-13
    Posts: 1,598
    Betpoints: 0

    Line on favs + public bet , moving into a more buyable number (down Or better value) has been losing a lot!!!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 06-25-13 12:34 AM #10
    DeezusWINSTREAKT
    DeezusWINSTREAKT's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-03-13
    Posts: 1,598
    Betpoints: 0

    Also huge favs being at a buyable number then moving upwards like -180 into -220 has been losing often also
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 06-25-13 02:30 PM #11
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 06-25-13 02:51 PM #12
    Vasco
    Vasco's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-16-12
    Posts: 315
    Betpoints: 3356

    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Look specifically at what happened to the lines late tonight with SD/PHI and Saturday night with SEA/OAK.

    Incredible. Two miracle comebacks and the book basically called both shots beforehand.



    Pinny knew nothing. If anything they were wrong because 99% of the time Philly holds that 3-0 lead. Pinny couldn't predict a passed ball with 2 outs in the 9th. The Pinny line movement means nothing in relation to how the 9th played out.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 06-25-13 02:51 PM #13
    OhMyEli
    OhMyEli's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-17-12
    Posts: 1,164
    Betpoints: 0

    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Exactly -- and pinnacle was right, like usual. I said I had no idea what the late line drop was all about, and then my question was answered.
    Call me crazy but the book is right and wrong about plays very often! I know its crazy that a sportsbook doesnt dictate what happens hundreds of miles away but I have this theory that maybe you don't notice the movement when it doesnt matter, than when it does all of a sudden the books are the illuminati.

    It's a working theory but perhaps you can post 2000 more times on the same bewilderment you have with how bookmaking works.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 06-25-13 03:07 PM #14
    Vinnie Paz
    Vinnie Paz's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-27-12
    Posts: 12,177
    Betpoints: 3413

    Quote Originally Posted by Vasco View Post
    Pinny knew nothing. If anything they were wrong because 99% of the time Philly holds that 3-0 lead. Pinny couldn't predict a passed ball with 2 outs in the 9th. The Pinny line movement means nothing in relation to how the 9th played out.
    This^ just pure luck really. If the pads just manhandled philly then ok, they knew what was what but let's be real here this was a bullshit win that nobody had playing out the way it did.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 06-25-13 03:08 PM #15
    freakydave
    freakydave's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-23-11
    Posts: 1,106
    Betpoints: 589

    Quote Originally Posted by Vasco View Post
    Pinny knew nothing. If anything they were wrong because 99% of the time Philly holds that 3-0 lead. Pinny couldn't predict a passed ball with 2 outs in the 9th. The Pinny line movement means nothing in relation to how the 9th played out.
    Not to mention Young striking out with Rollins on 3rd in the top of the tenth or the philly reliever walking 2 guys & hitting Quentin before giving up the game winning single. It's a joke if you bet based on line movement & nothing more in the long run you won't have much to show for it.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 06-25-13 03:16 PM #16
    freakydave
    freakydave's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-23-11
    Posts: 1,106
    Betpoints: 589

    on a side note- if a passed ball is an error on the catcher why was the game tieing run a an earned one?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 06-25-13 03:25 PM #17
    joco
    joco's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-24-11
    Posts: 3,242
    Betpoints: 8045

    or maybe the game was fixed and pinny knew the whole time....hmmmm
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 06-25-13 03:31 PM #18
    freakydave
    freakydave's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-23-11
    Posts: 1,106
    Betpoints: 589

    Quote Originally Posted by freakydave View Post
    on a side note- if a passed ball is an error on the catcher why was the game tieing run a an earned one?
    So it was an unearned run--nvm
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 06-25-13 04:09 PM #19
    Gus Fring
    Gus Fring's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-21-13
    Posts: 3,423
    Betpoints: 745

    Quote Originally Posted by Vasco View Post
    Pinny knew nothing. If anything they were wrong because 99% of the time Philly holds that 3-0 lead. Pinny couldn't predict a passed ball with 2 outs in the 9th. The Pinny line movement means nothing in relation to how the 9th played out.
    Finally, someone with a brain. NoCoin is the most paranoid poster in all of forum land
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 06-26-13 10:25 AM #20
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by OhMyEli View Post
    Call me crazy but the book is right and wrong about plays very often! I know its crazy that a sportsbook doesnt dictate what happens hundreds of miles away but I have this theory that maybe you don't notice the movement when it doesnt matter, than when it does all of a sudden the books are the illuminati.

    It's a working theory but perhaps you can post 2000 more times on the same bewilderment you have with how bookmaking works.
    lol anybody got a " Pinny Lean" today?

    LMFAO
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | Baseball Betting | Next Thread »