1. #1
    keel44
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    Keel44's Hard Rockin' System

    Keel44's Hard Rockin' System

    I have a new system that I am confident will be profitable. We all know that chases invest a lot of your money. You can win 15-20 in a row and have all your profits wiped out with a single chase loss.

    I have devised a strategy where you "press" the chase. You integrate the profits into your next chase.

    We need to assume maximum odds per game for a 3 game chase. I like to use -200. So we have the following 3 risked amounts to profit $10: $20, $60, $180. Add them all together and you have $260. You can say whatever dollar amount you want to profit is multiplied by 26.

    Let's assume we win this chase. We add back in the $10 to our total risk amount which is $260. Now we have $270. Divide by 26 and we get $10.38. Now multiply by (2) which is -200 odds and you have your next "risk" amount. Each bet thereafter will also assume -200 odds no matter what. *Obviously most games will not be -200, but much lower. That means extra profits. If a game is higher, it means a little less profits. No matter what, this strategy will add back in the profits and assume all games will be -200.

    It would be wise to put a cap on how many times you want to press and rake in the profits.

    I am going to start at $10 profit.
    I am going to follow/fade one team consecutively.
    I am going to follow/fade 2 teams at once.
    I am going to chase for 3 games.
    I am going to assume -200 odds for every game.
    I am going to rake in the profits after 10 chase wins

    These are my preferences. You can choose your own.

  2. #2
    tbird509
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    heres a winner starting 2mor for you,det will be my play...gl

  3. #3
    keel44
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    Assume all bets -200 (using that risk amount)

    Attempt #1: Fade Indians Bet-A (-127) $20 to win $15.75 - chase #1
    Attempt #2: Ride Rays Bet-A (-128) $20 to win $15.63 - chase #1

    Starting Bankroll $1300

  4. #4
    keel44
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    Attempt #1: Fade Indians Bet-A (-127) $20 to win $15.75 - chase #1
    Attempt #2: Ride Rays Bet-A (-128) $20 to win $15.63 - chase #1

    On to tomorrow

  5. #5
    keel44
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    Attempt #1: Fade Indians Bet-B (-125) $60 to win $48 - chase #1
    Attempt #2: Ride Marlins Bet-A (-108) $21.20 to win $19.63 - chase #2

  6. #6
    keel44
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    Attempt #1: Fade Indians Bet-B (-125) $60 to win $48 - chase #1
    Attempt #2: Ride Marlins Bet-A (-108) $21.20 to win $19.63 - chase #2


    So far: profit of $28 for attempt 1 and $35.26 for attempt 2

  7. #7
    keel44
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    Attempt #1: Fade Cubs Bet-A (-133) $22.15 to win $16.65 - chase #2
    Attempt #2: Ride Dodgers Bet-A (-180) $22.71 to win $12.62 - chase #3

  8. #8
    keel44
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    Attempt #1: Fade Cubs Bet-A (-133) $22.15 to win $16.65 - chase #2
    Attempt #2: Ride Dodgers Bet-A (-180) $22.71 to win $12.62 - chase #3

  9. #9
    keel44
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    Attempt #1: Fade Cubs Bet-B (-105) $66.45 to win $63.29 - chase #2
    Attempt #2: Ride Rockies Bet-A (-165) $23.68 to win $14.35 - chase #4

  10. #10
    keel44
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    Attempt #1: Fade Cubs Bet-B (-105) $66.45 to win $63.29 - chase #2
    Attempt #2: Ride Rockies Bet-A (-165) $23.68 to win $14.35 - chase #4


    My hard rockin' system just played a ballad today. Usually a rocker comes next.

  11. #11
    keel44
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    Attempt #1: Fade Cubs Bet-C (-150) $199.35 to win $132.90 - chase #2
    Attempt #2: Ride Rockies Bet-B (-136) $71.05 to win $52.24 - chase #4

  12. #12
    keel44
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    Attempt #1: Fade Cubs Bet-C (-150) $199.35 to win $132.90 - chase #2
    Attempt #2: Ride Rockies Bet-B (-136) $71.05 to win $52.24 - chase #4


    Attempt 1 has profited $72.30 (2 chases won)
    Attempt 2 has profited $76.44 (4 chases won)
    Total: +148.74 (6 chases won)

    A chase loss will equal a $260 net loss, no matter when it happens in my press.

  13. #13
    agendaman
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    doomed to fail kiddo

  14. #14
    keel44
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    Yes it will fail. There is the hope for me to win 10 of these chases with pressing each one before I lose 1. Then I could rake in the profits. This is a kamikaze style of money management for sure, but I say its worth a shot once in a while.

  15. #15
    keel44
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    Attempt #1: Ride Braves Bet-A (-143) $25.56 to win $17.87 - chase #3
    Attempt #2: Ride Pirates Bet-A (-210) $25.88 to $12.32 - chase #5

  16. #16
    keel44
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    Attempt #1: Ride Braves Bet-A (-143) $25.56 to win $17.87 - chase #3
    Attempt #2: Ride Pirates Bet-A (-210) $25.88 to $12.32 - chase #5


    Attempt #1 profit: $90.17
    Attempt #2 profit: $88.76
    $178.93 (8 chases won)

  17. #17
    Yazworm91
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    So you are trying to complete ten chases on each attempt before you collect the profits? Or just ten chases total?

    this is a very aggressive approach. Could see yourself getting some good profits since you are always playing as if your odds are -200. Especially if you decided to chase some dogs in some 3 game series. May try a scaled down version of this.
    Last edited by Yazworm91; 06-30-13 at 03:03 AM.

  18. #18
    keel44
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    Quote Originally Posted by Yazworm91 View Post
    So you are trying to complete ten chases on each attempt before you collect the profits? Or just ten chases total?

    this is a very aggressive approach. Could see yourself getting some good profits since you are always playing as if your odds are -200. Especially if you decided to chase some dogs in some 3 game series. May try a scaled down version of this.
    The main idea is to incorporate the profits back into the pool your going to use in your chases. I have profited close to $90 for each attempt so far, but 1 loss will put me at -$260. I think I'll pull the plug after 10 chase wins total. I should not have ran 2 chases at once. If I lose them both, I am out $560.

    What I originally was going to do was follow 1 team consecutively, saying that a team will win 10 before they lose 3 in a row. I was going to pick the Orioles and Rays. The O's would have had 4 wins and the Rays would have 3 wins. I found that to be too risky.

  19. #19
    keel44
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    Attempt #1: Ride Pirates Bet-A (-143) $26.93 to win $18.83
    Attempt #2: Fade Brewers Bet-A (-143) $26.83 to win $18.76

    yes I know they are against each other

  20. #20
    khaden
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    This isn't really that bad- your loses aren't that big if you go bust in comparison to other chase systems. I'd like to see you continue this
    Last edited by khaden; 06-30-13 at 12:04 PM. Reason: spelling

  21. #21
    keel44
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    Attempt #1: Ride Pirates Bet-A (-143) $26.93 to win $18.83
    Attempt #2: Fade Brewers Bet-A (-143) $26.83 to win $18.76


    I am done. 10 chases won at -200 odds when the games really weren't. Profits rolled back in.

    Attempt #1 profit $109 - 4 chases won
    Attempt #2 profit $107.52 - 6 chases won
    Total profit $216.52 - 10 chases won

    7 chases won on the A bet
    2 chases won on the B bet
    1 chase won on the C bet

    10-4 straight up
    avg odds -142

    starting bankroll $1300
    current bankroll $1516.52


    stayed tuned for another thread and another money management strategy
    Last edited by keel44; 07-01-13 at 12:32 AM.

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