1. 06-19-13 05:38 PM #1
    Jago2008
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    Pitt. Pirates v. Cinn. Reds 'Under' 8

    I just think the books are being exposed a little on this line, personally I think this line should be set around the key number of 7, so we are getting a point of value and/or a push for insurance.

    -Jeff Locke has been outstanding lately, 6-1 record, 2.19 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 60/36 K/BB ratio in 82 1/3 innings, he limited the Dodgers to two hits in seven scoreless innings and a walk in his last outing. Cincinnati have struggled against Locke, Cozart is the only Cinn. batter to record a HR off Locke, and even then the split stats are small w/ the edge to Locke.

    - Bronson Arroyo has been as solid and dependable as ever this season, posting a 6-5 record, 3.27 ERA and 1.15 WHIP through his first 93 2/3 innings, he's posted good numbers at home, besides his matchups with STL - who has essentially owned him this year.

    -The public is relatively split on this total so far, I'm seeing more buy-orders to the 'under' and I think we are in a strong position with this total set @ 8, especially with the WHIP both pitchers have demonstrated recently. If control is strong early, this game could go to the 4th scoreless, those 1st three frames are important, setting up a position for the bullpen, of which both are strong.

    GL w/ you picks

    Some Avicii:

    8-2-0 on posted Totals.
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  2. 06-19-13 05:48 PM #2
    rawzay
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    Cincy bats is the reason why it's a 8. It should go under though. I got the first 5 under.
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  3. 06-19-13 08:42 PM #3
    Jago2008
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    Well we are looking good so far, abt as low scoring as possible 1-0 top of the Pirates 9th.
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  4. 06-19-13 08:47 PM #4
    drfunkmaster
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    i missed this.
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  5. 06-19-13 08:49 PM #5
    No coincidences
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    Locke is the new Sandy Koufax.

    Don't ask me how, but he is.
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  6. 06-19-13 08:57 PM #6
    scotty555
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    Good Call!
    Last edited by scotty555; 06-19-13 at 09:00 PM.
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  7. 06-19-13 09:01 PM #7
    Jago2008
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    Lol the inevitable jinx prior to Bruce's game tying HR in the 9th. First blown save by Jason Grilli all year, I still like our chances however.
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  8. 06-19-13 09:10 PM #8
    Jago2008
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Locke is the new Sandy Koufax.

    Don't ask me how, but he is.
    He's been incredible this year, not exactly sure why, he does walk batters, but hitters are avg'ing .200 off of him w/ a slg pct of .304, among the leagues lowest, and also allowed 5 HR so far, among the league lowest.

    He was in trouble several times today and managed to get out of it, not 1 run allowed...
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  9. 06-19-13 09:13 PM #9
    Jago2008
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    Quote Originally Posted by scotty555 View Post
    Good Call!
    I saw what you wrote previously bro, haha - you still have a chance of winning this - hopefully you do. I just want that under
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  10. 06-19-13 10:56 PM #10
    Jago2008
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    9-2-0 on Total posted plays:

    6-2-0 in 'over' bets, 3-0-0 in 'under' bets, 1 NBA 'over' total bet. (approx +~16.5 units. @1u$50)

    Small sample size, I understand. I'll keep posting some winners, lets keep it going gentlemen, all opinions are welcome plz, plz, plz.
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  11. 06-20-13 12:39 AM #11
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jago2008 View Post
    9-2-0 on Total posted plays:

    6-2-0 in 'over' bets, 3-0-0 in 'under' bets, 1 NBA 'over' total bet. (approx +~16.5 units. @1u$50)

    Small sample size, I understand. I'll keep posting some winners, lets keep it going gentlemen, all opinions are welcome plz, plz, plz.

    good job. Just stay modest and you will have great success. If you
    become cocky your career at SBR will be cut short. Trust me.

    Great job so far. Keep it up.
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  12. 06-20-13 12:49 AM #12
    Jago2008
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    good job. Just stay modest and you will have great success. If you
    become cocky your career at SBR will be cut short. Trust me.

    Great job so far. Keep it up.
    Thanks man, I appreciate those compliments, really. I hope I don't come off as cocky or a douche, if anything I'd like to create an atmosphere where people aren't shy to share their opinions, and plays. I'm here to make $$$.
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  13. 06-20-13 01:01 AM #13
    ses_d
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    Great call!

    Do you like anything for the early games? I like the Reds but you never know with the Bucs and Baileys been roughed out his last few outings.
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  14. 06-20-13 01:31 AM #14
    drfunkmaster
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    good job buddy..
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  15. 06-20-13 03:15 AM #15
    Jago2008
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    Quote Originally Posted by ses_d View Post
    Great call!

    Do you like anything for the early games? I like the Reds but you never know with the Bucs and Baileys been roughed out his last few outings.
    I have some initial leans but nothing I would suggest a bet on now, I wouldn't feel right suggesting anything at this time. Thank you tho, once I have accumulated some more data and reviewed matchups I will post more.

    Quote Originally Posted by drfunkmaster View Post
    good job buddy..
    Thanks bro
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  16. 06-20-13 03:28 AM #16
    Aussiefalconfan
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    Nice call mate
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  17. 06-20-13 08:33 AM #17
    BigPete55
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    Great call again bro.....tailed once again!
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  18. 06-20-13 08:36 AM #18
    lvillecards01
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    What do you think today? I like under 4.5 in the first 5. Pitt pitcher makes me alittle nervous
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  19. 06-20-13 05:16 PM #19
    Jago2008
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    Quote Originally Posted by Aussiefalconfan View Post
    Nice call mate
    Hell yes, love to have some Aussy opinions in here, thank you.

    Quote Originally Posted by BigPete55 View Post
    Great call again bro.....tailed once again!
    Thank Pete, #do-damage.

    Quote Originally Posted by lvillecards01 View Post
    What do you think today? I like under 4.5 in the first 5. Pitt pitcher makes me alittle nervous
    Honestly bro I don't have much today in baseball, all the attention is being put towards Miami and this game 7. Sorry for the late response.

    If you guys have any leans feel free to post some.
    Last edited by Jago2008; 06-20-13 at 05:25 PM.
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  20. 06-20-13 05:29 PM #20
    BigPete55
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    Im leaning Yankees & Yankees TT over 4.....
    Moore has been absolutely brutal last couple of games! I like Yankees bullpen much better as well....
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  21. 06-20-13 08:12 PM #21
    Jago2008
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigPete55 View Post
    Im leaning Yankees & Yankees TT over 4.....
    Moore has been absolutely brutal last couple of games! I like Yankees bullpen much better as well....
    You are close bro, lets go Yanks.
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  22. 06-20-13 08:15 PM #22
    BigPete55
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    Time is running out.....let's bring it in
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  23. 06-20-13 08:43 PM #23
    BigPete55
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    Can't win em all......
    Any thought on the late games?
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  24. 06-20-13 10:29 PM #24
    Jago2008
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigPete55 View Post
    Can't win em all......
    Any thought on the late games?
    NYY catcher Chris Stewart, player has a wRAA-Rbat of -3, meaning he -3 less than the average batter in terms of runs generated, grounds in the double play and fielders choice which took away the lead runner essentially in both tries, in lamens terms that dude is a penetrating fail.


    Should have @ least pushed, going to look over some MLB lines tomorrow, lets do damage. That was not a bad pick.
    Last edited by Jago2008; 06-20-13 at 10:33 PM.
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  25. 06-20-13 11:14 PM #25
    BigPete55
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    Hit a small 3 teamer....
    Get em tomorrow bud!
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