OK, this is the first year really betting much MLB so would like your guy's opionion on my thought process for a few games this week. First up STL Vs. NYM. -145. I really like stl here at -145 you are getting one of the best MLB teams vs one of the worst. I guess its heavily discounted due to wacha(0-0 pitched 2 games which stl lost giving the lose to the bullpen) pitching for STL. But is hefner(1-5 bull pen is 0-6 games he started but did not get disc) really that much better? But then agian maybe im fooling myself in thinking -145 for stl on road is cheap. But they are consistenly year after year one of the best road teams in MLB and actually a better road record than home record this year so far. So after i make my mind up about wacha being better for laying my money on than hefner, lets asume im wrong and they both pitch there avg game. Mets have to out bat stl! mets could not even out bat the Marlins! So after debating this one over night i dont see a downside for taking cards ML. except for saying oh NYM and Hefner are due.
Once agian any opionion about my thought process are welcome even if you just want to call me a complete idiot lol
thanks!
Thinking of hedging this bet alittle with another play I could easily win as well.
350 on STL ML -145
125 on STL/METS over 7.5
Thinking stl could easily get 5+ runs this game and stl might give a few up. If they end up loosing hard seeing the score being under.