1. #1
    jamt31
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    Chicago Cubs/White Sox O/U!?!

    Can someone explain to me why the over/under is 11? Both these pitchers are coming into this game with a sub 3 ERA. Wood pitches extremely well at home and Peavy has outstanding numbers at Wrigley. I feel like the 11 is really generous and it should be the under here all day. Just baffled by this number....

  2. #2
    Vinnie Paz
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    The Windy City

  3. #3
    Mr. Green
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    Totals at Wrigley....#1 rule is to look at the wind. The ball carries far when the wind is blowing out

  4. #4
    lesterdymond
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    The cubs bullpen can bring the best out of even the worst teams.

    Go Sox!

  5. #5
    LowRollin
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    wind or not I had to fire on this #. probably totals 17 or something though.

  6. #6
    jamt31
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    I understand that wind plays a factor, but only 4 games at Wrigley this year have gone over the 11 run mark. Not sure why the number would be 11 with this match-up on the mound today. Out of 19 starts this season between Wood and Peavy only one game has passed the 11 run mark and that was the White Sox at Wash. Ah well, I guess I'll just take the under and be confused all day.

  7. #7
    Yazworm91
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  8. #8
    Vinnie Paz
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    I remember there was a game last season with the fukkin padres (when they were batting like .180) and cubs and also had some ridiculous total and that shit. Hit like 20+ runs

  9. #9
    BigD46
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    I'm also on the under here but I was on it yesterday too...hopefully the outcome will be different.

    BOL

  10. #10
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vinnie Paz View Post
    I remember there was a game last season with the fukkin padres (when they were batting like .180) and cubs and also had some ridiculous total and that shit. Hit like 20+ runs
    5/28/2012 Wood v. Suppan. total 12.5, final 11-7 Cubs

  11. #11
    Benny Gold
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    I got sucked into the under too...chasing yesterdays under loss

  12. #12
    captrobey
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    Quote Originally Posted by jamt31 View Post
    Can someone explain to me why the over/under is 11? Both these pitchers are coming into this game with a sub 3 ERA. Wood pitches extremely well at home and Peavy has outstanding numbers at Wrigley. I feel like the 11 is really generous and it should be the under here all day. Just baffled by this number....
    I thought about doing the Over . Routine fly balls can go out. The wind is blowing pretty good out . I like the Rangers better though so went with them. If players strike out a lot not getting contact for fly balls that can go out with wind then it could go under.

  13. #13
    Hangoverblack
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    There is no question it is over or PASS.

    these threads always end the same at Wrigley

  14. #14
    jamt31
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    Crap LT Profits is on the under, I've been fading him all season. Shit, might buy myself into the over now.

  15. #15
    PorkChop
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    WhiteSox TT 0 5.5 +100 ?

  16. #16
    yisman
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    every year there are totals at Wrigley of 11-13

    some days this wind is gusting out

  17. #17
    yisman
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    You also get the biggest moves on MLB totals when the weather patterns shift.

    It's like CBB totals.

    This one opened at 12 and closed at 11, a full run lower.

  18. #18
    Hangoverblack
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    Over went from 11 EV to 11 -115 at my book last 15 minutes. 82% on under it seems. We will see.

  19. #19
    yisman
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    SportsOptions says 57% on the under, which makes more sense.

    Pinnacle line history:

    05/30/13 02:12:57pm 11 Over -109 Under -101
    05/30/13 02:12:46pm 11 Over -111 Under +101
    05/30/13 02:11:03pm 11 Over -107 Under -103
    05/30/13 02:10:57pm 11 Over -108 Under -102
    05/30/13 02:10:56pm 11 Over -107 Under -103
    05/30/13 02:10:21pm 11 Over -106 Under -104
    05/30/13 02:07:12pm 11 Over -109 Under -101
    05/30/13 02:03:58pm 11 Over -106 Under -104
    05/30/13 02:03:33pm 11 Over -101 Under -109
    05/30/13 02:00:31pm 11 Over -104 Under -106
    05/30/13 02:00:24pm 11 Over -106 Under -104
    05/30/13 01:57:47pm 11 Over +100 Under -110
    05/30/13 01:56:14pm 11 Over -101 Under -109
    05/30/13 01:55:55pm 11 Over -103 Under -107
    05/30/13 01:55:51pm 11 Over -104 Under -106
    05/30/13 01:55:05pm 11 Over -103 Under -107
    05/30/13 01:45:09pm 11 Over +102 Under -113
    05/30/13 01:45:01pm 11 Over -101 Under -109
    05/30/13 01:43:43pm 11 Over +106 Under -117
    05/30/13 01:43:36pm 11 Over +107 Under -118
    05/30/13 01:43:20pm 11 Over +105 Under -116
    05/30/13 01:43:15pm 11 Over +101 Under -111
    05/30/13 01:30:33pm 11 Over +108 Under -119
    05/30/13 12:39:05pm 11 Over +104 Under -115
    05/30/13 12:39:05pm 11 Over +105 Under -116
    05/30/13 12:03:31pm 11 Over +100 Under -110
    05/30/13 11:59:03am 11 Over +101 Under -111
    05/30/13 11:42:42am 11 Over +104 Under -115
    05/30/13 11:32:43am 11 Over +102 Under -113
    05/30/13 11:26:58am 11 Over +104 Under -115
    05/30/13 11:22:40am 11 Over +107 Under -118
    05/30/13 11:21:50am 11 Over +100 Under -110
    05/30/13 11:21:44am 11 Over -103 Under -107
    05/30/13 10:59:01am 11 Over -111 Under +101
    05/30/13 10:58:53am 11 Over -110 Under +100
    05/30/13 10:58:17am 11 Over -105 Under -105
    05/30/13 10:58:13am 11½ Over +111 Under -123
    05/30/13 10:58:04am 11½ Over +109 Under -120
    05/30/13 10:57:10am 11½ Over +108 Under -119
    05/30/13 10:57:04am 11½ Over +107 Under -118
    05/30/13 10:56:56am 11½ Over +105 Under -116
    05/30/13 10:51:40am 11½ Over +102 Under -113
    05/30/13 10:51:14am 11½ Over +101 Under -111
    05/30/13 10:51:06am 11½ Over -101 Under -109
    05/30/13 10:44:17am 11½ Over -105 Under -105
    05/30/13 10:43:33am 11½ Over -106 Under -104
    05/30/13 10:38:05am 11½ Over -109 Under -101
    05/30/13 10:37:49am 12 Over +105 Under -116
    05/30/13 10:36:49am 12 Over +102 Under -113
    05/30/13 10:36:40am 12 Over +100 Under -110
    05/30/13 10:36:33am 12 Over -103 Under -107
    05/30/13 10:33:01am 12 Over -107 Under -103

  20. #20
    baazigar
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    the size of that strike zone. watch this be a 3-2 game

  21. #21
    ses_d
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    take the under live.

  22. #22
    PaperTrail07
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    wind....id still take the under....its a lot of runs...Look out for errors as we saw

  23. #23
    Hangoverblack
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    On pace for 9, with 6 lob.

    early

    i read that a 20 mph wind blowing out at Wrigley adds 50-70 feet to routine fly balls.

    Castro flies out to end 2nd with 2 on.

  24. #24
    gasto
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    There is the reason why the total looked suspicious. If its suspicious , best option is to leave it alone, or definitely take the side that does not make sense. Its like its already decided before the game. One or both pitchers will be loose and give up many runs. Cant do much about it. Even if you pull him after a grand slam the total is decided.

    Or a few times, Detroit or Atlanta bats go to sleep and score no runs in games where they are heavily favored. Bottom line is Vegas is out to get our money. Best to look at them and kind of figure which side is likely to attract the majority of betters and go opposite or just run.

  25. #25
    captrobey
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    Just like that the Over is in play again. I went with Rangers instead though but almost went with the Over . You just never know with that wind blowing like it is.

  26. #26
    ufcmma36
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    ouch Grand Slam 6-1

  27. #27
    I/O
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    Quote Originally Posted by lesterdymond View Post
    The cubs bullpen can bring the best out of even the worst teams.

    Go Sox!
    The Wsox pen and defense can do the same

  28. #28
    jamt31
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    Well I guess it's a good thing I saw LT on the under. Cancelled out my under play.

  29. #29
    trendon
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    This is going to be an interesting game for me.

    I had no run scored in first at +125 and Sox -123 first five. They've scored in every inning BUT the first so I am escaping with a nice - and lucky - push.

  30. #30
    Hangoverblack
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    That's it boys, pull it to left.

  31. #31
    Hangoverblack
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    White sox ineptitude is the only reason this stays under 15

  32. #32
    Hangoverblack
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    I've got a feeling this lands right on the number. Sox have mailed it

  33. #33
    jamt31
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hangoverblack View Post
    I've got a feeling this lands right on the number. Sox have mailed it
    I was just thinking the same thing.

  34. #34
    Hangoverblack
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    Down 6 and he makes the second out at 2nd base.

    Sox on the under here? This is ridiculous how many they have left.

  35. #35
    captrobey
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    Going to be close hope it stays Under for you guys looks like most took it. My Rangers game was 9-0 now it's 9-5 B7th Rangers need them To hold On.

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