1. 05-02-13 04:27 PM #1
    stevenash
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    Brewers (Peralta) -102 over Cardinals (Westbrook) my play tonight

    I can hear some of you in SBR nation right now...

    "Nashy, your'e fading Westbrook against Peralta? Nashy, you get into the sour mash already dude?"

    I hate to throw the words "sqaure" or, "public" around too much, but after doing the homework, Brews eat Westbrook up for dinner, and even though no doubt Westbrook is the better pitcher, the (I hate this word, but it applies) the 'squares are going to look at Westbrook's 0.98 ERA, and 1.37 WH/IP ratio, pick up the phone, call Buzzy the local bookie, and say "Gimme the Cards, 20 times tonight"
    And get barreled in.
    Seen it 1000 times.

    Here's a big reason why Wily Peralty, at home, is a pick 'em

    MILWAUKEE BREWERS CAREER STATISTICS VS. JAKE WESTBROOK
    BATTER AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO AVG OBP SLG OPS
    Norichika Aoki 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .250 .000 .250
    Yuniesky Betancourt 22 8 2 1 0 2 0 1 .364 .364 .545 .909
    Jeff Bianchi 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .500 .000 .500
    Ryan Braun 19 10 0 1 1 3 2 2 .526 .571 .789 1.361
    Mat Gamel 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
    Carlos Gomez 5 1 0 0 0 2 0 1 .200 .200 .200 .400
    Alex Gonzalez 18 7 2 0 0 0 3 2 .389 .500 .500 1.000
    Taylor Green 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 .500 .500 .750 1.250
    Corey Hart 19 6 1 0 2 4 3 2 .316 .409 .684 1.093
    Jonathan Lucroy 10 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 .300 .300 .300 .600
    Aramis Ramirez 12 7 2 0 0 4 3 0 .583 .625 .750 1.375
    Rickie Weeks 16 3 0 0 1 1 0 4 .188 .188 .375 .563
    Totals 132 47 8 2 4 16 13 14 .356 .415 .538 .953


    This is not a 15 at bat, 1 game cross section, this is a huge 132 AB cross section.
    Brews mash Westbrook on a regular basis. Especially at home.
    The slap hitters in the line up smack Westbrook, big boy Braun smacks Westbrook, they all do.

    Break it down further, Westbrook, away from St. Louis, is pretty much an average pitcher.

    Peralta has won his last 3 starts, despite giving up 3 run in his last against a good LA line up, was good.
    (3 runs, 6 hits, 1 walk)

    This is a spot play, if this game is in St. Louis, I pass, but it's not, I really, really think, at home, Brews continue to hurt Westy, Peralta keeps the Cards to 3 or under, and win in rather easily fashion tonight.

    Like the Brews, at home, at pickem, a lot tonight.
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  2. 05-02-13 04:38 PM #2
    tto827
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    Last edited by tto827; 05-02-13 at 04:46 PM.
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  3. 05-02-13 04:41 PM #3
    No coincidences
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    I like this play nasher. I was just going to add it to my card.

    Good luck.
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  4. 05-02-13 04:42 PM #4
    No coincidences
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    What he said.
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  5. 05-02-13 04:43 PM #5
    tatddy
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    Haha who the hell is saying "you're fading Westbrook?". Westbrook stinks bro. Career 1.4 whip guy tossing in Mil.
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  6. 05-02-13 04:45 PM #6
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    Haha who the hell is saying "you're fading Westbrook?". Westbrook stinks bro. Career 1.4 whip guy tossing in Mil.
    It's because of his anomalistic stats so far this year.
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  7. 05-02-13 04:46 PM #7
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    Haha who the hell is saying "you're fading Westbrook?". Westbrook stinks bro. Career 1.4 whip guy tossing in Mil.
    He's brutal there
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  8. 05-02-13 04:48 PM #8
    tatddy
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    I have no play on the game and I hate totals but I really want to bet the overs. GL with your play.
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  9. 05-02-13 04:48 PM #9
    You mad bro
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    just dont like the fact how peralta sucked vs san fran and col at home .... but ill prob play it hoping they win in a slugfest
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  10. 05-02-13 05:01 PM #10
    You mad bro
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    vs milwaukee for a career
    G GS W L SV BS HLD CG SHO IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP BAA
    8 8 2 4 0 0 0 0 0 50.0 55 20 17 5 13 31 3.06 1.36 .288

    and at miller park for a career
    G GS W L SV BS HLD CG SHO IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP BAA
    5 5 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 30.0 31 13 10 4 7 15 3.00 1.27 .272

    looking at these stats and how he really isnt that bad vs them for a career is making me wonder why mil is only a pk here .. these are just stats i found on yahoo but its nothing to make me wanna play stl here also ... still lookin into the over
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  11. 05-02-13 05:38 PM #11
    Jago2008
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    Nice write-up

    Ironic, on a personal note I remember the last time I bet against Westbrook in Mil. :http://mlb.mlb.com/video/play.jsp?content_id=18665081

    But GL to u Nash, Brewers have 26 HRs at home leading the NL.
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  12. 05-02-13 06:39 PM #12
    Ratpack
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    cards here you got to take how bad brewers bullpen is here if the cards can get to their bullpen they blow this wide open
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  13. 05-02-13 07:54 PM #13
    rumple
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    Thanks for the garbage pick, just brutal.
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  14. 05-02-13 07:56 PM #14
    Ratpack
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    sorry nash tried to tell ya maybe next time
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  15. 05-02-13 07:58 PM #15
    BennyBigNuts
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    We both got buried on this game together Nasher. I'm ice cold last 2 days 0-3 now. Fk the brewers.
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  16. 05-02-13 08:01 PM #16
    NardVa
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    Well the game is basically over...6-0..
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  17. 05-02-13 08:02 PM #17
    NardVa
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    Brewers have been awful these last 2 games.
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  18. 05-02-13 08:03 PM #18
    stevenash
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    ^
    Doneski

    When I am wrong, I am wrong.
    I was wrong.

    We'll get it back Friday.

    Peace all
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  19. 05-02-13 08:03 PM #19
    Mikeyanks23
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    Quote Originally Posted by rumple View Post
    Thanks for the garbage pick, just brutal.

    cap your own games

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  20. 05-02-13 08:05 PM #20
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by rumple View Post
    Thanks for the garbage pick, just brutal.
    Dude, I've been turning a major profit on these boards for the last 2 years now. Documented!
    I'm not going to win every wager. I'll lose some.

    Thanks for the garbage post by the way
    Points Awarded:

    Mikeyanks23 gave stevenash 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    JayLA gave stevenash 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

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  21. 05-02-13 08:10 PM #21
    downsouth
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    At least its done early. I had them as well.
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  22. 05-02-13 08:15 PM #22
    Ghenghis Kahn
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    i had milwacky 1st 5.

    at least it wasn't a sweat.

    oh well we move on...
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  23. 05-02-13 08:15 PM #23
    Ghenghis Kahn
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Dude, I've been turning a major profit on these boards for the last 2 years now. Documented!
    I'm not going to win every wager. I'll lose some.

    Thanks for the garbage post by the way
    no need to explain to the clueless.
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  24. 05-02-13 08:17 PM #24
    samgurt
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    Pretty unlucky honestly....all with 2 outs.

    3 bloop singles, 2 plays at the plate that were extremely close. Coulda gotten outta the inning with 0 runs
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  25. 05-02-13 08:26 PM #25
    TankHankerous
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    Stop whining and put on your rally caps. There's no crying in baseball.
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  26. 05-02-13 08:29 PM #26
    BennyBigNuts
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    I gotta think me and you on the same game is gonna be 70% most times in MLB Nasher. I'm gonna chase my loss here with the Orioles over Blanton right now. He's so bad
    Ill take the plus money even though Tillman isn't that great either.
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  27. 05-02-13 10:30 PM #27
    tatddy
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    Total fukking coinflip like I thought. Wish I trusted my gut and hit the over.
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  28. 05-02-13 10:37 PM #28
    vikingfan101
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    Bad beat on the Crew. Cardinals has no XBH and 2 in the 6 run inning were bloop lame duck hits on broken bats. Tough break tonight.
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  29. 05-03-13 12:01 AM #29
    BennyBigNuts
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    Nash clean your inbox out brah. Won't let me send you a PM cuz it's full.
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  30. 05-03-13 12:26 AM #30
    tavesims
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    0-3 you counting brewers, marlins FF and then brewers again? I didn't see your 2nd brewers play or did I?
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  31. 05-03-13 12:28 AM #31
    JayLA
    On to the next one...
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    Nash sharper than most on SBR, these haters i swear.....it's annoyin.
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  32. 05-03-13 11:44 AM #32
    DiamondBack
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    Quote Originally Posted by JayLA View Post
    Nash sharper than most on SBR, these haters i swear.....it's annoyin.
    +1

    Always read what Steve has to say.
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  33. 05-03-13 02:01 PM #33
    ShivaBowl
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Dude, I've been turning a major profit on these boards for the last 2 years now. Documented!
    I'm not going to win every wager. I'll lose some.

    Thanks for the garbage post by the way
    You and I have on finish business so let's get it over with. You once call me a loser.
    Just don't do it again and don't ignore my PMs.
    Have a little respect for us long time posters.
    gl
    Last edited by ShivaBowl; 05-03-13 at 02:11 PM.
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  34. 05-03-13 02:04 PM #34
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by ShivaBowl View Post
    You and I have on finish business so let's get it over with. You once call me a loser.
    Get over it.
    Have a nice weekend

    You can have the last word in this thread brah.
    Make it good.
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