[gregm]

2011 baseball thread (244-187 +51.21)
2012 baseball thread (587-512 +25.65)

Los Angeles Angels win AL West -160 risk 3.2

6307 LAA regular season wins -1 -115 risk 3.45
6308 LOS regular season wins +1 -115

26219 BAL regular season wins +13 -115
26220 WAS regular season wins -13 -115 risk 2.3

26403 TOR regular season wins -6½ -115 risk 2.3
26404 ARI regular season wins +6½ -115

still open

P.Humber & J.Saunders must start in Game 1 for action
5971 Houston Astros (3 Game Series)
5972 Seattle Mariners (3 Game Series) -200 risk 4

Nationals -1 -116 risk 1.16 heritage

Nationals -155 risk 1.55 5dimes reduced

Yankees -122 risk 1.22 5dimes reduced

Angels -147 risk 1.47 5dimes reduced

Angels -1 -116 risk 3.48 heritage

Houston/Seattle u7.5 -112 risk 1.12 5dimes reduced

Arizona -138 risk 2.76 5dimes reduced

Arizona -1 -105 risk 1.05 heritage

Love this game but we shall see, McCarthy didnt look good in his first start. Brandon McCarthy in last years ESPN analytics issue in espn. http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/76...-espn-magazine

I love this quote "McCarthy floats across the room to Queen's "Under Pressure." Like any self-respecting seventh-grader, he's added a wingman -- teammate and fellow pitcher Craig Breslow. Breslow, a Yale grad with a degree in molecular biophysics and a passion for sabermetrics. In other words, the ideal wingman for Mission: Bill James.

With Breslow by his side, McCarthy spends the next 30 minutes completely ignoring Pitt, Hoffman and Sorkin, not to mention his beautiful wife, Amanda, in favor of talking sabermetrics with the 62-year-old rumpled stathead, which is roughly equivalent to talking lightbulbs with Thomas Edison.

They talk about ground ball rates, strikeout-to-walk ratios and how McCarthy led the AL in something called FIP. If the music hadn't stopped and the lights hadn't come up, they'd still be talking. James and McCarthy. Stalkee and stalker. The savior and the saved."

[gregm]

Cincy/St Louis o8 -115 risk 1.15
Dodgers -130 risk 1.3
Phillies -1 -130 risk 3.9
Braves -1 -136 risk 1.36
Rays/Rangers o10.5 -125 risk 1.25
Dodgers Padres u3.5 ff -120 risk 2.4
Phillie/Mets u 4 ff -135 risk 2.7
White Sox/Nationals u3.5 ff -120 risk 2.4