1. #1
    seaborneq
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    Kimbrel +600 saves leader, Strausburg +600 K's leader...Looks to good to be true

    One unit on each seems too easy.

    2013 Saves LeaderLeaders 2013 Saves Leader Regular Season Only

    11:00 PM 821 Jonathan Papelbon +700
    822 Craig Kimbrel +600
    823 Jim Johnson +675
    824 John Axford +700
    825 Fernando Rodney +650
    826 Sergio Romo +650
    827 Jason Motte +1200
    828 Rafael Soriano +1000
    829 Joel Hanrahan +1400
    830 Tom Wilhelmsen +1000
    831 Joe Nathan +1400
    832 Johnathon Broxton +2200
    833 Mariano Rivera +2200
    834 Addison Reed +3200
    835 Houston Street +4000
    836 Grant Balfour +3200
    837 Brandon League +3000
    838 Chris Perez +5000
    839 JJ Putz +5000
    840 Field (Any other) +1000

    Leaders
    Strikeout Leader (Pitchers)Leaders Strikeout Leader (Pitchers) Regular Season Only

    11:00 PM 801 Yu Darvish +550
    802 Justin Verlander +500
    803 Clayton Kershaw +500
    804 Stephen Strasburg +600
    805 Cole Hamels +900
    806 Felix Hernandez +800
    807 Max Scherzer +1100
    808 Cliff Lee +1200
    809 James Shields +1000
    810 David Price +1000
    811 Yovani Gallardo +1200
    812 Matt Moore +1700
    813 Tim Lincecum +2500
    814 Gio Gonzalez +2500
    815 CC Sabathia +3000
    816 Chris Sale +3000
    817 Zach Greinke +5000
    818 R.A. Dickey +5000
    819 Madison Bumgarner +7500
    820 Field (Any other)

  2. #2
    WvGambler
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    Gio Gonzalez at +2500 is better value.

  3. #3
    C-Gold
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    David Price +1000 looks good.
    Chris Sale +3000 looks like a good long shot.

  4. #4
    greenhippo
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    Grienke at 5000? No way you can't throw down $10 on that.

  5. #5
    seaborneq
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    King Felix's elbow mri plus big contract knocked him out of the top odds.

  6. #6
    KingJD31
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    hamels+900 best bet

  7. #7
    KingJD31
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    why not throw a few bucks on dickey +5000

  8. #8
    ttwarrior1
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    kimbrel had a great season last year, but it should be close, hell it could be motte or even soriano

    j johnson, then rodney had the most saves last year, not kimbrel. No reason J johnson won't lead again with a better team

  9. #9
    InTheDrink
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    closer is the most volatile position from season to season aside from mariano over the years

    choosing a favorite isnt +ev for saves

    case in point...a lot of people hadnt even heard of kimbrel at this point in the season last year

  10. #10
    justinsgiants
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    Verlander, Kershaw, and Price are all playing for new contracts. They should be good bets.

  11. #11
    rjt721
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    Pretty silly to tie your money up on that. As great as Kimbrel is, you're basically betting that Atlanta will give him more save opportunities than any other team. There's no doubt he's the best relief pitcher, but he wasn't close to leading the league in saves last season.

    With Strasburg, he'll likely be spotting Verlander and Kershaw 30+ innings.
    Points Awarded:

    Mikeyanks23 gave rjt721 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  12. #12
    Mikeyanks23
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    Quote Originally Posted by rjt721 View Post
    Pretty silly to tie your money up on that. As great as Kimbrel is, you're basically betting that Atlanta will give him more save opportunities than any other team. There's no doubt he's the best relief pitcher, but he wasn't close to leading the league in saves last season.

    With Strasburg, he'll likely be spotting Verlander and Kershaw 30+ innings.
    excellent post

  13. #13
    gryfyn1
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    Quote Originally Posted by rjt721 View Post
    Pretty silly to tie your money up on that. As great as Kimbrel is, you're basically betting that Atlanta will give him more save opportunities than any other team. There's no doubt he's the best relief pitcher, but he wasn't close to leading the league in saves last season.

    With Strasburg, he'll likely be spotting Verlander and Kershaw 30+ innings.
    true, but Kimbrell finished 2nd and 3rd in saves the last two years and has more saves than any other reliever over the last two years, so if you're going to back anyone he makes the most sense. But the general oddness of saves makes it a crap shoot anyways, Rivera is the best reliever in the history of baseball and he;s managed to lead the league just 3 times.

  14. #14
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by gryfyn1 View Post
    true, but Kimbrell finished 2nd and 3rd in saves the last two years and has more saves than any other reliever over the last two years, so if you're going to back anyone he makes the most sense. But the general oddness of saves makes it a crap shoot anyways, Rivera is the best reliever in the history of baseball and he;s managed to lead the league just 3 times.
    Hence the reason kimbrel is the odds on favorite. The most cumulative saves the past two seasons. Its worth a unit just to see how it plays out.

  15. #15
    Goat Milk
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    Look for Seaborque to bump this thread every 5-10 strikes that Strausburg throws

  16. #16
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    Look for Seaborque to bump this thread every 5-10 strikes that Strausburg throws
    Look for goat to rubberneck at this thread like its an 80 car pileup on the interstate every time the thread is bumped.

  17. #17
    Uprise
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    lock...

  18. #18
    Killer_Demo
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    Romo +650

  19. #19
    Ralphie Halves
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    I like Rodney at +650 if I had to take one. TB has great pitching and a below average offense. This equals the best opportunity for the most save ops more often than not. Just like Baltimore last year, and those years Gagne had with the Dodgers.

  20. #20
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ralphie Halves View Post
    I like Rodney at +650 if I had to take one. TB has great pitching and a below average offense. This equals the best opportunity for the most save ops more often than
    not. Just like Baltimore last year, and those years gagne had with the Dodgers.
    Joe maddening would outsmart himself and blow that one for you.

  21. #21
    Regul8er
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    seaborneq....dont think there is any value with either of those wagers. I'd feel more comfortable in the +1000 to +1500 range.
    Your being shortchanged.

  22. #22
    justinsgiants
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    Quote Originally Posted by Regul8er View Post
    seaborneq....dont think there is any value with either of those wagers. I'd feel more comfortable in the +1000 to +1500 range.
    Your being shortchanged.
    I agree. I think taking someone in the middle of the pack is a better value. I really like James Shields and David Price. Shields will be asked to lead the KC rotation and Price is playing for a new deal.

  23. #23
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by Regul8er View Post
    seaborneq....dont think there is any value with either of those wagers. I'd feel more comfortable in the +1000 to +1500 range.
    Your being shortchanged.
    Feel free to add a few names to those wonderful +1000-+1500 odds.

  24. #24
    konck
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    I like gio +2500 and Dickey +5000
    In saves I like Romo+650

  25. #25
    Regul8er
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    How about +1000 on the field for saves? You basically are getting 12 or 13 closers in that pool, which would include Janssen, Betancourt, Madson, etc.

  26. #26
    seaborneq
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    I have only seen one "field" entry win a prop like this. Maybe two if gagne wasnt listed a few years back. Jose Batista won the home run title when he wasn't listed. Came out of no where and hasn't led the majors since.
    Last edited by seaborneq; 03-19-13 at 08:41 AM.

  27. #27
    vikingfan101
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    Scherzer for K's seems pretty good. What site is offering these?

  28. #28
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by vikingfan101 View Post
    Scherzer for K's seems pretty good. What site is offering these?
    Sadly, betonline. I am making a withdrawal from them this week and leaving very few dollars in the account. I hope I get paid.

  29. #29
    Ralphie Halves
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    Quote Originally Posted by seaborneq View Post
    I have only seen one "field" entry win a prop like this. Maybe two if gagne wasnt listed a few years back. Jose Batista won the home run title when he was listed. Came out of no where and hasn't led the majors since.
    And that was probably Jim Johnson last year, no?

    Just remember, the juice is insane on these things. The books know nobody out there is gonna do the math, so they all price fix here.

  30. #30
    Regul8er
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    I bet almost anything that Jim Johnson was part of the field. It seems like every season a few gems come out of the closer spot, and I bet going back, the field always gets 2 to 3 guys top 10. That's where the value is.

  31. #31
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by rjt721 View Post
    Pretty silly to tie your money up on that. As great as Kimbrel is, you're basically betting that Atlanta will give him more save opportunities than any other team. There's no doubt he's the best relief pitcher, but he wasn't close to leading the league in saves last season.

    With Strasburg, he'll likely be spotting Verlander and Kershaw 30+ innings.
    Verlander threw 79 more innings but had only 42 more strikeouts than Stausburg last season. I'll take my chances with 30+ innings spotted to Justin Verlander.

  32. #32
    daneblazer
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    Romo is a sucker bet. He'll be one of the best RP's in the league but the Giants will limit his innings and amount of successive days he pitches like they always do.

  33. #33
    daneblazer
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    Saves are such a crap shoot. At least a third of those guys on the list won't be closing by years end. I'd probably just take "the field" and it wouldn't be for much.

  34. #34
    Killer_Demo
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    Quote Originally Posted by daneblazer View Post
    Romo is a sucker bet.
    Must be a pissy whining dodger fan

  35. #35
    daneblazer
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    http://www.mercurynews.com/giants/ci...romos-workload

    Romo is as much of an injury risk as anyone on that list. If they're worried about his workload now, they will still take it easy on him in the middle of the season. Like I said, he's going to be a top notch RP, but he will have some of his save opps vultured.

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