1. 03-02-13 11:39 PM #1
    Louisvillekid1
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    Is there a must read Book for Handicapping Baseball?

    Last season was the first time I tracked and capped bases. (besides a few spot plays over the years).

    I went 50 % after over 600 plays and basically broke even, playing mostly dogs.

    Just trying to learn as much as possible, love the sport and have always followed it.

    But additional info I get my hands on I like to have in my toolbox.

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  2. 03-03-13 09:47 AM #2
    ebbearsfb1
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    lkid,

    should me a pm with your email

    got something with baseball info in it.

    pretty useful if your willing to do some leg work
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  3. 03-03-13 10:54 AM #3
    vrksayy
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    Read the book 'Free Basing: A Successful Guide to Handicapping Major League Baseball' by 'R.J. Hinkle'. Amazon sells it for $9.99, or if you got that Kindle you can download it and read it off there.
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  4. 03-03-13 12:47 PM #4
    Chi_archie
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    I don't think i've ever read a gambling book that dealt soley with baseball but I read alot of the stuff Baseball Prospectus puts out and it really helped shaped by baseball capping post 2009

    one of my favs is Baseball Between the Numbers: Why Everything You Know About the Game is Wrong
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  5. 03-03-13 01:52 PM #5
    vrksayy
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    Baseball betting is a marathon. Read stats, follow trends and trust your gut; you don't need a book.
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  6. 03-03-13 02:23 PM #6
    Brock Landers
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    I go on tremendous streaks in baseball. It can be mindnumbing though. When bullpens blow leads and shit. Its definitely a marathon and not a Sprint
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  7. 03-03-13 02:26 PM #7
    Dirty Sanchez
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brock Landers View Post
    I go on tremendous streaks in baseball. It can be mindnumbing though. When bullpens blow leads and shit. Its definitely a marathon and not a Sprint
    Yeah...I consider your handicapping as "mindnumbing" as well
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  8. 03-03-13 02:28 PM #8
    Brock Landers
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dirty Sanchez View Post
    Yeah...I consider your handicapping as "mindnumbing" as well
    whatever that means
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  9. 03-03-13 02:29 PM #9
    koz-man
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    now, that there is funny....lol
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  10. 03-03-13 02:31 PM #10
    Mikeyanks23
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brock Landers View Post
    I go on tremendous streaks in baseball. It can be mindnumbing though. When bullpens blow leads and shit. Its definitely a marathon and not a Sprint
    brocks advice: take the biggest fav on the board. Bet against the cubs in day games. Find a pitcher whos 1-6 even though his era is 2.32 and gets no run support and Rubberband the other team
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  11. 03-03-13 02:31 PM #11
    tto827
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    Fade the Cubs every game is probably a good bet.
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  12. 03-03-13 03:36 PM #12
    Brock Landers
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    Quote Originally Posted by tto827 View Post
    Fade the Cubs every game is probably a good bet.
    Astros this year...they WILL lose 100+ games
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  13. 03-03-13 03:39 PM #13
    CanuckG
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    No must read book exists.
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  14. 03-03-13 04:50 PM #14
    Louisvillekid1
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    Fukkin pumped for bases!
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  15. 03-03-13 08:12 PM #15
    Mikeyanks23
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brock Landers View Post
    Astros this year...they WILL lose 100+ games
    doubt it would be profitable when your gonna be laying -200 + on alot of those games
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  16. 03-03-13 08:19 PM #16
    DrStale
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    Quote Originally Posted by vrksayy View Post
    Read the book 'Free Basing: A Successful Guide to Handicapping Major League Baseball' by 'R.J. Hinkle'. Amazon sells it for $9.99, or if you got that Kindle you can download it and read it off there.
    Quote Originally Posted by vrksayy View Post
    Baseball betting is a marathon. Read stats, follow trends and trust your gut; you don't need a book.
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  17. 03-03-13 08:25 PM #17
    broadway6
    on to the next one
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    i lose at all sports these days....currently looking for a ne hobby.


    kid- read the newspaper
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  18. 03-03-13 09:11 PM #18
    tatddy
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    Buy one of these. Randomly throw 20 teams on every day. Blindfold yourself. Grab 3 darts. Throw darts. Make 1 unit plays on each team.

    Do this all year and prob end up better than 90% of the free world.

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  19. 03-03-13 09:13 PM #19
    Louisvillekid1
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    sbrdarts.com
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  20. 03-03-13 09:21 PM #20
    The Giant
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    Play underdogs and favorites on the runline (if they're + money). If you can handle a game winning by one, and you losing, you'll be fine. Long-term + money is better.

    Use a book that offers 10 cent lines, anything above that is robbery. Your best bet is probably fivedimes.

    Lay off the smack.

    Good luck.
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  21. 03-03-13 09:21 PM #21
    tatddy
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    'Viller I've never listened to or read anything on the subject but my buddy used to swear by this podcast. I think it was The Betting Dork with Gill Alexander. My bro said lots of relevant stat work and I remember that 75% of the season team totals he mentioned they predicted hit in 2012.

    I can't be 100% that was the right podcast. Unfortunately my buddy passed this past year. Check it out though.
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  22. 03-03-13 09:33 PM #22
    Louisvillekid1
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    Thanks ^

    I've don't a quite a bit of prep already, I'm excited for the season.
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  23. 03-03-13 11:35 PM #23
    BeatingBaseball
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    Quote Originally Posted by CanuckG View Post
    No must read book exists.
    Agreed.

    Sad but true.
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  24. 03-04-13 04:13 AM #24
    davidmiru
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chi_archie View Post
    I don't think i've ever read a gambling book that dealt soley with baseball but I read alot of the stuff Baseball Prospectus puts out and it really helped shaped by baseball capping post 2009

    one of my favs is Baseball Between the Numbers: Why Everything You Know About the Game is Wrong
    that mine favorite too.
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  25. 03-04-13 05:06 AM #25
    Grits n' Gravy
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    LK- Fade Brock all season and you will make money. Baseball too much of a grind if you have a life outside of gambling. Plus it is extremely boring to watch. Find streaking teams, both winning and losing, and ride them out.
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  26. 03-04-13 01:00 PM #26
    greenhippo
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    Fade Astros RL on the road. Tail the great teams RL at home, especially against the Astros and Twins of baseball (except Giants bc they don't normally blow out teams)
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  27. 03-04-13 03:29 PM #27
    LowRollin
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    I totally disagree with above poster^. home favorites will cover less often since either there is no bottom 9th or they hit a walk off single or something and win by 1. MLB is a grind for me but I had a lot of success late last season when I started betting underdog RLs.
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  28. 03-04-13 06:16 PM #28
    BeatingBaseball
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    Quote Originally Posted by Grits n' Gravy View Post
    ...Baseball too much of a grind if you have a life outside of gambling. Plus it is extremely boring to watch...
    Anyone who thinks baseball is boring knows little about the game.
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  29. 03-28-13 03:21 AM #29
    greenhippo
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    Quote Originally Posted by LowRollin View Post
    I totally disagree with above poster^. home favorites will cover less often since either there is no bottom 9th or they hit a walk off single or something and win by 1. MLB is a grind for me but I had a lot of success late last season when I started betting underdog RLs.
    Take out first two weeks of season and last two weeks of the season Yanks only went 4 series last year without winning at least one game on the RL at home, same with the Tigers. Rangers only went 3 series. Nationals went 4.

    Me thinks the strong teams at home, like what I said, win by several runs at home more often than occasionally. But then I'm using stats to make this claim.
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  30. 03-28-13 03:23 AM #30
    greenhippo
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    Should be real easy to handicap which series to avoid to get a number like that down to 2 or 3. One of the series lost was a sweep at home to the Yanks which isn't too surprising although another loss was to the Twins.
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  31. 03-28-13 04:50 AM #31
    Cuse0323
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    Baseball makes my brain cry.
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