Originally Posted by
Nickelicious
Here's another bit o' evidence that this game will be close: The O/U is at 8. Freakin' 8 runs in the game, Mr. Linesmaker? By golly, I'm gonna bet the over! Good old conventional wisdom says you have to bet the over, Parnell will get slaughtered!
Ah, but Mr. Linesmaker is no dope. He's pulling one of those sucker plays. He knows this game is a 4-3, 5-2 type game, maybe even a pitcher's duel.
Do you see how this O/U helps the Mets as a play? Can you see how getting +1.5 runs on the Mets at +150 odds might work out?
I think I will go pump some more money on that RL. Just to make sure I clear a profit even if the Mets lose by a run. Maybe I can parlay that RL with a good ML dog. Tampa Bay at +130? The White Sox at +160? The Orioles at +200? How about the Nationals at +160, playing at home against the Brewers?