[JerseyShop101]

Testing the waters, focusing more on the Last 7 days Runs Scored and On Base Percentage for each time and their opponents averages.

DAY 1 - JUL 16th PLAYS:

Value Rating of 3:
SEA +180
PHI +105
LOS/HOU OVER 8.5 EV

Value rating of 2:
COL -133
LAA/OAK OVER 8.5 -110

Value rating of 1:
MILW EV
ATL -200
LOS -145


The Value rating is for tracking purposes only as I am flat betting 1 unit per play. The Value 3's are my top plays.

My top 3:
SEA +180 Stats point towards Seattle in this spot as a big dog. Cliff Lee, even though he's terrific against SEA, hasn't been getting any run support and I don't expect him to get any tonight. Indians are winless in his last 6 starts, it will be 7 after tonights game.

PHI +105 No brainer here, as hot Philly averaging 7.6 runs per game in last 7, and an awesome 40.8% OBP!

LOS/HOU OVER 8.5 EV Dodgers OBP OF 40.8% plus HOU 38.3%, = lots of base runners and 10 or more runs!

MAKE THAT MONEY!

[JerseyShop101]

Me and Overs just don't get along

(YTD) 1 DAY
SIDES 4-2 +1.60
OVERS 0-2 -2.10
Total 4-4 -0.50


DAY 2 - July 17th PLAYS:

COL (28%) -159
BOSTON (21%) -103
ATLANTA (14%) -230
LAA (13%) -112
MINN (11%) +111
CLE (9%) +132
ARI (8%) +185
MILW/CINN (49%) UNDER 10 -120

The percentage is the difference in the teams Last 7days Innings scored percentages.

Yesterdays 14% and up went 2-0, 8% and up went 4-0, for EVERY game it went 6-1. Evidently, OBP and Runs really took profits away yesterday, OUCH!

LAST 7 DAYS ONLY:

ARI 15 50 0.300
ATL 18 53 0.340
BAL 11 47 0.234
BOS 20 49 0.408
CIN 12 54 0.222
CLE 19 62 0.306
COL 27 60 0.450
CUB 14 61 0.230
CWS 23 52 0.442
DET 14 41 0.341
FLA 13 63 0.206
HOU 21 60 0.350
KAN 10 54 0.185
LAA 18 51 0.353
LOS 23 64 0.359
MIL 17 62 0.274
MIN 17 52 0.327
NYM 12 60 0.200
NYY 18 45 0.400
OAK 12 54 0.222
PHI 12 51 0.235
PIT 9 45 0.200
SDG 11 63 0.175
SEA 13 60 0.217
SFO 12 50 0.240
STL 14 63 0.222
TAM 18 54 0.333
TEX 12 54 0.222
TOR 10 50 0.200
WAS 13 54 0.241
458 1638 0.280

Good Luck Everyone!