Because I do. Zito is obviously very hittable and Verlander is on a weeks rest. Anything can happen, it's the game of baseball. I say Verlander comes out flat and Zito gives up a pair. Also you have to factor in Game 1 jitters, Pitchers get a bit rattled and hitters prevail !!
everytime theres a 6.5 line on the O it always GOES OVER, the bookies seem to respect the pitchers too much, this post season has had alot of high scorin games due to one team