1. #1
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    My Model Shows SF Has A 15% Chance Of Winning Today

    Do what you want with this info

  2. #2
    tony_come
    tony_come's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-31-10
    Posts: 21,695
    Betpoints: 1122

    So........they have a chance.

    Thx pal

  3. #3
    sweep
    USA! USA! USA!
    sweep's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-09-10
    Posts: 16,753
    Betpoints: 2457

    My model dosnt give a fukk

    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: A4K

  4. #4
    milwaukee mike
    milwaukee mike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-22-07
    Posts: 26,906
    Betpoints: 7585

    my model says sf has a 90% chance of winning because brock landers is on cincy

    that's the only variable i have to enter
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 2 times . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: PAULYPOKER, and Ellivennecq

  5. #5
    BigDeem5
    2013-2016 NBA: 461-378-24 +52.65u
    BigDeem5's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-26-11
    Posts: 17,190
    Betpoints: 2158

    I already pounded SF

  6. #6
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    You want to back Leake at -145, be my guest.

    This is a no-play game. Period.

  7. #7
    sweep
    USA! USA! USA!
    sweep's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-09-10
    Posts: 16,753
    Betpoints: 2457

    Quote Originally Posted by BigDeem5 View Post
    I already pounded SF
    Pounded meaning how much

  8. #8
    wantitall4moi
    wantitall4moi's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-17-10
    Posts: 3,063
    Betpoints: 3834

    total throw away game for Cinci, they throw this stiff out there, theyre just lucky Zito is a bigger stiff. Cinci will start their hammer to morrow and hope they can finish it off.

    But with these two guys on the mound I dont know why the total is only 8, only because neither team can hit even a little bit I guess.

    hard to bet zito at any price but if you can get +140 then you take a shot.

  9. #9
    BIGDAY
    angelman.org
    BIGDAY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-17-10
    Posts: 48,241
    Betpoints: 24854

    Pounding SanFran then!

  10. #10
    PAYTON20
    PAYTON20's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-02-10
    Posts: 5,217
    Betpoints: 770

    Nice model

  11. #11
    LizReed44
    LizReed44's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-11
    Posts: 831

    Cueto is off the Post Season Roster. Game 5 (if necessary) will be Latos/Cain......advantage SFG.

    Reds need this one. They've got 12 outs to get it.

  12. #12
    wantitall4moi
    wantitall4moi's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-17-10
    Posts: 3,063
    Betpoints: 3834

    Quote Originally Posted by wantitall4moi View Post
    total throw away game for Cinci, they throw this stiff out there, theyre just lucky Zito is a bigger stiff. Cinci will start their hammer to morrow and hope they can finish it off.

    But with these two guys on the mound I dont know why the total is only 8, only because neither team can hit even a little bit I guess.

    hard to bet zito at any price but if you can get +140 then you take a shot.

    smartest guy in the thread as usual...Over and giants

  13. #13
    Mr. Teaser
    Go Terps/Nats/Skins
    Mr. Teaser's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-16-09
    Posts: 1,667
    Betpoints: 6101

    Model changed when they pulled Zito after 2 plus

  14. #14
    milwaukee mike
    milwaukee mike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-22-07
    Posts: 26,906
    Betpoints: 7585

    Quote Originally Posted by milwaukee mike View Post
    my model says sf has a 90% chance of winning because brock landers is on cincy

    that's the only variable i have to enter

  15. #15
    CollegePro
    CollegePro's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-23-09
    Posts: 4,006

    what does your model shows on Orioles??

  16. #16
    milwaukee mike
    milwaukee mike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-22-07
    Posts: 26,906
    Betpoints: 7585

    Quote Originally Posted by CollegePro View Post
    what does your model shows on Orioles??
    my model says orioles 90%

  17. #17
    BigDofBA
    BigDofBA's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-30-09
    Posts: 19,311
    Betpoints: 2005

    I love when people reference their "model" like they know what the hell they're doing. LOL.

    Randomly throwing out some percentage that you think the other team has of winning isn't a model.

  18. #18
    milwaukee mike
    milwaukee mike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-22-07
    Posts: 26,906
    Betpoints: 7585

    Quote Originally Posted by BigDofBA View Post
    I love when people reference their "model" like they know what the hell they're doing. LOL.

    Randomly throwing out some percentage that you think the other team has of winning isn't a model.
    correct, but making a model that can be tweaked to spit out a number isn't any better

  19. #19
    delpiero7
    delpiero7's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-24-10
    Posts: 362
    Betpoints: 1720

    Quote Originally Posted by milwaukee mike View Post
    my model says orioles 90%
    Is your model Avril Lavigne? Cos I hear she's a boss at capping baseball, 90% may as well be 126% if so.

  20. #20
    milwaukee mike
    milwaukee mike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-22-07
    Posts: 26,906
    Betpoints: 7585

    Quote Originally Posted by delpiero7 View Post
    Is your model Avril Lavigne? Cos I hear she's a boss at capping baseball, 90% may as well be 126% if so.
    actually avril is a yankees fan, but can't take them cuz brock is on nyy





  21. #21
    Sam Odom
    Sam Odom's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-05
    Posts: 58,063
    Betpoints: 37

    All you need is 'Brock's Model'

    worth $100K easily

  22. #22
    BigDofBA
    BigDofBA's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-30-09
    Posts: 19,311
    Betpoints: 2005

    Quote Originally Posted by milwaukee mike View Post
    correct, but making a model that can be tweaked to spit out a number isn't any better
    Exactly. I laugh at all of these models and systems people "say" they have.

    There is a reason someone comes up with a new one every day. It's because none of them work. If there ever was a model that worked, everyone would be using it.

    Another things that cracks me up is when people say they "capped" a game at a certain number, I ask them before hand what they used to "cap", they can't provide an answer, and then after the game is over they couldn't have been any more wrong.

  23. #23
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    The 15% won

    It happens

  24. #24
    delpiero7
    delpiero7's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-24-10
    Posts: 362
    Betpoints: 1720

    Quote Originally Posted by Sam Odom View Post
    All you need is 'Brock's Model'

    worth $100K easily
    $100k, you having a laugh?

    If Brock's model ever hit the stock market it would be worth more than Apple and Facebook combined.

  25. #25
    BigDofBA
    BigDofBA's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-30-09
    Posts: 19,311
    Betpoints: 2005

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    The 15% won

    It happens
    The 15% didn't just win, it raped ass, looks like the better team, and has a great chance to win the series.

  26. #26
    Mantle7
    Death Stare
    Mantle7's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-05-12
    Posts: 3,138
    Betpoints: 73

    My model says I have a 15% chance of getting anal sex if I take her out to a nice Lobster dinner tonight.

  27. #27
    milwaukee mike
    milwaukee mike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-22-07
    Posts: 26,906
    Betpoints: 7585

    Quote Originally Posted by Mantle7 View Post
    My model says I have a 15% chance of getting anal sex if I take her out to a nice Lobster dinner tonight.
    anal sex is more a product of how drunk and/or loose she is than what kind of dinner you buy her

  28. #28
    wantitall4moi
    wantitall4moi's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-17-10
    Posts: 3,063
    Betpoints: 3834

    baseball is a bad sport for models anyway, simulators much better. Because they can be run through with a lot of scenarios, like Zito getting pulled early, lincecum going in in X inning and so on. Models are basically good for sports where specific indivuduals arent all that iportant. Although they are OK for the NBA unless you start trying to factor in injuries.

  29. #29
    BigDofBA
    BigDofBA's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-30-09
    Posts: 19,311
    Betpoints: 2005

    Giants win the series.

Top