St.Louis/N.Y. Mets over 8, laying $119 to win $100
Reasoning:
Warm night in NY, so there are favorable hitting conditions and there is no reason why the ball shouldn't carry a little. John Maine is a rookie and it is asking a lot for him to shut down the Cardinals tonight. Carpenter scares me, because he can toss a gem on any given night, but this Mets' lineup can get to him and already have in this series. I think there is a reasonable chance that one of these teams puts up 6 tonight, so I just need the losing team to put up 2 or 3 to be ok here.