1. #1
    JerseyShop101
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    Tracking "Number of Innings in which a Run is Scored In" SYSTEM

    I'm making this thread to see if this "system" can be profitable, by taking (hopefully) advantage of teams scoring slumps.

    I'm tracking each teams "Number of Innings in which a Run is Scored In" for their recent games, as an indicator on how productive they are in scoring each inning. I'm using a minimum of their last 4 games in which they have only scored in 2 or less innings as a basis.

    Baltimore is currently the worst at having scored in only 9 separate innings (13 runs) in its last 8 games (72 innings).

    Kansas City has only scored in 8 separate innings (17 runs) in its last 7 games (63 innings)

    San Diego has only scored in only 8 separate innings (21 runs) in their last 6 games (62 innings).

    Florida has only scored in only 5 separate innings (12 runs) in their last 4 games (34 innings).


    Today's plays (All 1 unit) are:

    San Francisco +124
    San Francisco Scores First -145
    Florida Team Total Under 4.5 -120

    Arizona +153
    Arizona Scores First -115
    San Diego Team Total Under 4 -125



    NIRSI SYSTEM
    0-0 0.00

  2. #2
    themajormt
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    What about Atlanta? They have had some serious draughts this year also... Is that how you spell draught by the way??

  3. #3
    JerseyShop101
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      07-Jun06-Jun05-Jun04-Jun03-Jun02-JunATL4(8=8)00 2--113--12

    Atlanta scored in 4 separate Innings yesterday, scoring 8 runs in 8 innings, thereby ending their drought


    The hottest team is Colorado:
     07-Jun06-Jun05-Jun04-JunCOL3(7=9)4(10=9)3(11=9)4(10=9)

    Colorado has scored in 14 separate innings (38 runs) in their last 4 games (36 Innings)

    And today is no exception as they've already scored in 3 separate innings already today (4 runs), and lead STL 4-1 in the bottom of the 6th right now.

  4. #4
    G's pks
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    2-4...but interesting...

  5. #5
    JerseyShop101
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    REVISED:

    Here are the June games (Innings Scored in divided by Innings played)

    1-9 Jun 09
    KAN 8--63 13%
    BAL 10--62 16%
    SDG 13--79 16%
    WAS 12--63 19%
    DET 17--82 21%
    ATL 16--73 22%
    CIN 17--79 22%
    CWS 20--90 22%
    MIN 14--63 22%
    SEA 14--63 22%
    STL 18--81 22%
    TEX 16--72 22%
    LOS 17--74 23%
    FLA 19--78 24%
    OAK 19--80 24%
    PIT 19--78 24%
    ARI 18--72 25%
    MIL 19--72 26%
    SFO 19--72 26%
    BOS 17--62 27%
    CUB 18--66 27%
    NYM 17--62 27%
    TAM 17--63 27%
    LAA 18--63 29%
    NYY 21--71 30%
    HOU 23--74 31%
    CLE 20--62 32%
    PHI 21--66 32%
    TOR 23--72 32%
    COL 19--54 35%
    519--2111 25%


    Today's Plays: (6% or more difference)

    Colorado +120
    Toronto +149
    BEST BET - CLEVE -149
    Seattle -116
    Dodgers -230

    Last edited by JerseyShop101; 06-10-09 at 06:11 PM. Reason: stats came out scrambled :(

  6. #6
    JerseyShop101
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    Quote Originally Posted by JerseyShop101 View Post
    REVISED:

    Here are the June games (Innings Scored in divided by Innings played)

    1-9 Jun 09
    KAN 8--63 13% Won 9-0 KC Over 8.5
    BAL 10--62 16% Lost 4-1 Sea Under 8.5
    SDG 13--79 16% Won 3-1 LOS Under 8.5
    WAS 12--63 19% Lost 4-2 Cin Under 9
    DET 17--82 21% Won 2-1 CWS Under 8.5
    ATL 16--73 22%
    CIN 17--79 22%
    CWS 20--90 22%
    MIN 14--63 22%
    SEA 14--63 22%
    STL 18--81 22%
    TEX 16--72 22%
    LOS 17--74 23%
    FLA 19--78 24%
    OAK 19--80 24%
    PIT 19--78 24%
    ARI 18--72 25%
    MIL 19--72 26%
    SFO 19--72 26%
    BOS 17--62 27%
    CUB 18--66 27%
    NYM 17--62 27%
    TAM 17--63 27%
    LAA 18--63 29% Lost 9-5 TB Over 9
    NYY 21--71 30% Lost 6-5 Bos Push 11
    HOU 23--74 31% Won 2-1 Cubs Under 8.5
    CLE 20--62 32% Lost 9-0 KC Over 8.5
    PHI 21--66 32% Won 5-4 NYM Over 8.5
    TOR 23--72 32% PP
    COL 19--54 35% Won 4-2 Milw Under 8.5
    519--2111 25%


    Today's Plays: (6% or more difference)

    Colorado +120 Won 4-2 Milw
    Toronto +149 PP
    BEST BET - CLEVE -149 Lost 9-0 KC
    Seattle -116 Won 4-1 Balt
    Dodgers -230 Lost 3-1 SD
    6% went 2-2 -1.59 units

    The totals for the lowest and the highest teams did well.
    If you cancel out the KC/CLE game (because a low and high), the LOWEST TEAMS Under went 4-0
    HIGHEST TEAMS Over went 2-2-1
    finishing 6-2-1 together.

    I'll track this, testing the waters to see if any works well.


  7. #7
    JerseyShop101
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    Updated thru 6/10.

      #RunScInn Tot Inn %
    KAN 11 72 0.15
    BAL 11 71 0.15
    SDG 15 88 0.17
    WAS 13 75 0.17
    CIN 19 91 0.21
    DET 19 91 0.21
    CWS 21 99 0.21

    LOS 18 83 0.22
    ATL 18 82 0.22
    TEX 16 72 0.22
    OAK 21 89 0.24
    MIN 17 72 0.24
    SEA 17 72 0.24
    PIT 21 87 0.24
    ARI 20 81 0.25
    MIL 20 81 0.25
    CUB 19 75 0.25
    NYM 19 73 0.26
    FLA 23 87 0.26
    STL 24 90 0.27
    SFO 22 81 0.27
    LAA 20 72 0.28
    CLE 20 71 0.28
    TAM 20 71 0.28

    BOS 21 70 0.30
    HOU 25 83 0.30
    PHI 24 77 0.31
    NYY 25 80 0.31
    TOR 23 72 0.32
    COL 22 63 0.35
    584 2371 0.25

    6/11 PLAYS:

    KC/CLEV UNDER 8
    BAL/SEA UNDER 9
    WAS/CINN UNDER 8.5 EV BEST BET
    DET/CWS UNDER 8.5 EV BEST BET

    BOS/NYY OVER 9.5 -115 BEST BET
    HOU/CUBS OVER 9.5 -105
    PHILLY/METS OVER 9.5 -105
    TOR/TEX OVER 10
    COL/MILW OVER 7.5 -105

    COLORADO +165
    SEATTLE +140
    CLEVELAND +118
    TORONTO +145


  8. #8
    JerseyShop101
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    6/11 PLAYS:

    KC/CLEV UNDER 8 WON
    BAL/SEA UNDER 9 PUSH
    WAS/CINN UNDER 8.5 EV BEST BET WON
    DET/CWS UNDER 8.5 EV BEST BET WON
    6/11 Unders 3-0-1 +3.00
    6/10 Unders 4-0 +4.00
    Total Unders 7-0-1 +7.00

    BOS/NYY OVER 9.5 -115 BEST BET LOST
    HOU/CUBS OVER 9.5 -105 LOST
    PHILLY/METS OVER 9.5 -105 LOST
    TOR/TEX OVER 10 LOST
    COL/MILW OVER 7.5 -105 WON
    6/11 Overs 1-4 -3.35
    6/10 Overs 2-2-1 -0.20
    Total Overs 3-6-1 -3.55

    COLORADO +165 WON
    SEATTLE +140 WON
    CLEVELAND +118 WON
    TORONTO +145 LOST
    6/11 6% Plays 3-1 3.23
    6/10 6% Plays 2-2 -1.59
    Total 9% Plays 4-2 +2.94
    Total 6% Plays 5-3 +1.64 (big diff is the LOS -230 loss)


    Overall 15-9-2 +5.09

    The Unders are doing great, the Overs might be a fade. 6% Plays on the winning track Thursday.

  9. #9
    JerseyShop101
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    Updated thru 6/11.
      #RunScInn Tot Inn %
    KAN 13 82 0.16
    BAL 13 80 0.16
    SDG 15 88 0.17
    WAS 15 84 0.18
    ATL 19 91 0.21
    TEX 17 81 0.21
    CIN 21 100 0.21
    DET 21 100 0.21

    LOS 18 83 0.22
    MIN 18 81 0.22
    CUB 20 88 0.23
    CWS 25 108 0.23
    ARI 21 90 0.23
    OAK 23 97 0.24
    PIT 23 96 0.24
    NYM 20 82 0.24
    MIL 22 90 0.24
    SEA 20 81 0.25
    SFO 23 90 0.26
    LAA 21 81 0.26
    STL 26 99 0.26
    HOU 26 96 0.27
    FLA 27 96 0.28
    CLE 23 81 0.28
    TOR 23 81 0.28

    BOS 23 79 0.29
    NYY 26 89 0.29
    PHI 27 86 0.31
    TAM 26 80 0.33
    COL 26 72 0.36
    641 2632 0.24

  10. #10
    JerseyShop101
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    6/12 PLAYS:

    KC/CINN UNDER 8.5 -110 BEST BET
    BAL/ATL UNDER 9.5 +110 BEST BET
    SD/LAA UNDER 9 +100
    TEX/LOS UNDER 10 -105
    DET/PITT UNDER 9 -120

    BOS/PHILLY OVER 9.5 +105 BEST BET
    NYY/NYM OVER 10.5 +100
    COL/SEA OVER 9 -105

    TAMPA BAY (15% diff) -245
    COLORADO (11% diff) -152
    LA ANGELS (9% diff) -144


    Total Unders 7-0-1 +7.00
    Total Overs 3-6-1 -3.55
    Total 9% and Up Plays 4-2 +2.94
    Total 6% and Up Plays 5-3 +1.64

    Overall 15-9-2 +5.09


  11. #11
    JerseyShop101
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    6/12 RESULTS:

    KC/CINN UNDER 8.5 -110 BEST BET 4-1 WINNER
    BAL/ATL UNDER 9.5 +110 BEST BET 2-7 WINNER
    SD/LAA UNDER 9 +100 6-11 LOST
    TEX/LOS UNDER 10 -105 6-0 WINNER
    DET/PITT UNDER 9 -120 3-1 WINNER

    BOS/PHILLY OVER 9.5 +105 BEST BET 5-2 LOST
    NYY/NYM OVER 10.5 +100 9-8 WINNER
    COL/SEA OVER 9 -105 6-4 WINNER

    TAMPA BAY (15% diff) -245 4-3 WINNER
    COLORADO (11% diff) -152 6-4 WINNER
    LA ANGELS (9% diff) -144 11-6 WINNER

    A GREAT DAY!
    Unders 4-1 +3.10
    Overs 2-1 +1.00
    Total 9% and Up Plays 3-0 +3.00
    Total 6% and Up Plays 3-0 +3.00
    Overall 9-2 +7.10

    YTD:

    Unders 11-1-1 +10.10
    Overs 5-7-1 -2.55
    Total 9% and Up Plays 7-2 +5.94
    Total 6% and Up Plays 8-3 +4.64
    Overall 24-11-2 +12.19

    The Unders are just tearing it up 11-1-1 92%!!!!!


  12. #12
    Sawyer
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    Looks VERY interesting mate.

    Nice work!

  13. #13
    JerseyShop101
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    #Scored Inn Tot Innings %
    ATL 12 100 0.12
    BAL 15 89 0.17
    WAS 16 92 0.17
    KAN 16 90 0.18
    LOS 18 92 0.20
    SDG 19 97 0.20
    CIN 22 109 0.20
    OAK 23 107 0.21
         
    DET 24 109 0.22
    CWS 26 117 0.22
    TEX 20 89 0.22
    CUB 22 97 0.23
    PIT 24 105 0.23
    MIL 24 98 0.24
    SFO 24 98 0.24
    MIN 23 90 0.26
    SEA 23 90 0.26
    HOU 28 105 0.27
    ARI 26 97 0.27
    STL 29 108 0.27
    TOR 25 90 0.28
    NYM 26 92 0.28
         
    BOS 26 91 0.29
    FLA 30 105 0.29
    PHI 29 100 0.29
    LAA 26 89 0.29
    CLE 27 90 0.30
    NYY 31 98 0.32
    TAM 30 88 0.34
    COL 30 80 0.38
    714 2902 0.25


    6/13 PLAYS:

    ATL/BAL UNDER 9.5 -115 BEST BET
    KC/CINN UNDER 8.5 -110 BEST BET
    LOS DODGERS/TEXAS UNDER 10 -120
    OAK/SF UNDER 7.5 -120

    BOS/PHILLY OVER 9.5 -115 BEST BET
    FLA/TOR OVER 9 -110
    CLE/STL OVER 10.5 +100
    NYY/NYM OVER 11 -110
    COL/SEA OVER Line not out yet

    TAMPA BAY (17%) -155
    COLORADO (12%) Line not out yet
    LA ANGELS (9%) Line not out yet

    YTD:
    Unders 11-1-1 +10.10
    Overs 5-7-1 -2.55
    Total 9% and Up Plays 7-2 +5.94
    Total 6% and Up Plays 8-3 +4.64
    Overall 24-11-2 +12.19


    I love these Unders!!!


  14. #14
    JerseyShop101
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    Correction:

    ATL is 23 100 0.23

    Therefore ATL (6%) -117 is a play.
    The Under remains a play also.

  15. #15
    Sawyer
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    I love these Unders as well!

    GL Tonight!

  16. #16
    JerseyShop101
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sawyer View Post
    I love these Unders as well!

    GL Tonight!
    The Unders and the 9% difference and Up plays are working well, I hope it continues.


  17. #17
    JerseyShop101
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    6/13 RESULTS:

    ATL/BAL UNDER 9.5 -115 BEST BET LOST
    KC/CINN UNDER 8.5 -110 BEST BET LOST
    LOS DODGERS/TEXAS UNDER 10 -120 WINNER
    OAK/SF UNDER 7.5 -120 WINNER

    BOS/PHILLY OVER 9.5 -115 BEST BET WINNER
    FLA/TOR OVER 9 -110 WINNER
    CLE/STL OVER 10.5 +100 LOST
    NYY/NYM OVER 11 -110 LOST
    COL/SEA OVER 10 -110 LOST

    TAMPA BAY (17%) -155 WINNER
    COLORADO (12%) -181 WINNER
    LA ANGELS (9%) -230 WINNER
    ATLANTA (6%) -117 LOST

    6/13 Results Breakdown:
    Unders 2-2 - 0.25
    Overs 2-3 -1.20
    9% and Up Plays 3-0 +3.00
    6% and Up Plays 3-1 +1.83
    Overall 7-6 +0.38


    YTD:
    Unders 13-3-1 81% +9.85
    Overs 7-10-1 41% -3.75
    9% and Up Plays 10-2 83% +8.94
    6% and Up Plays 11-4 73% +6.47
    Overall 31-17-2 65% +12.57

    If I dropped the Over Plays, I'd be 24-7-1 77% +16.32 in just 4 days.


  18. #18
    JerseyShop101
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    Re: Tracking "Number of Innings in which a Run is Scored In" SYSTEM

    Four days in and I'm very happy with the results so far, especially on the UNDERS and 9% and Higher PLAYS (A combined 23-5-1 82% +18.79).

    Doing some fine tuning and making a change on my System OVER Plays, I will only take the OVER if the line is 9 or less. In my Overs where the line was 9 or less it went 5-2 (where the line was 9.5 and higher it went a terrible 2-8-1). I'll have to think about fading the 9.5s and up, but I will wait and see.

    Colorado is still tearing it up, scoring in 33 of their last 88 innings, an incredible 38%!

    YTD (4 DAYS)
    UNDERS 13-3-1 81% +9.85
    OVERS where line is 9 or less 5-2 71% +2.80
    OVERS where line is 9.5 or higher 2-8-1 20% -6.55
    All OVERS 7-10-1 41% -3.75
    9% and Up Plays 10-2 83% +8.94
    6% and Up Plays 11-4 73% +6.47
    Overall 31-17-2 65% +12.57

    Stats through 6/13:

    #Scored Inn Tot Innings %
    BAL 17 97 0.18
    WAS 19 101 0.19
    SDG 20 106 0.19
    KAN 19 98 0.19
    LOS 20 101 0.20
    CIN 24 118 0.20
    CUB 22 106 0.21

    OAK 25 116 0.22
    TEX 21 97 0.22
    ATL 24 109 0.22
    CWS 28 126 0.22
    DET 27 118 0.23
    MIL 25 107 0.23
    PIT 27 113 0.24
    SFO 26 106 0.25
    MIN 25 99 0.25
    SEA 25 99 0.25
    HOU 30 114 0.26
    ARI 28 106 0.26
    STL 32 117 0.27
    TOR 28 99 0.28
    CLE 28 99 0.28

    NYM 29 101 0.29
    FLA 34 114 0.30
    BOS 30 100 0.30
    PHI 33 109 0.30
    NYY 33 107 0.31
    TAM 32 96 0.33
    LAA 33 97 0.34
    COL 33 88 0.38
    797 3164 0.25

    DAY 5
    6/14 PLAYS:

    BAL/ATL UNDER 9 -105
    KC/CINN UNDER 8.5 -120 BEST BET
    LOS DODGERS/TEX UNDER 9.5 -115
    CUBS/MINN UNDER 8 -105

    NYM/NYY OVER 9 -110 BEST BET
    FLA/TOR OVER 8.5 -110
    BOS/PHILLY OVER 8.5 -120 BEST BET

    * COL/SEA LINE would be an OVER Play but line is more than 9 (line is 10) therefore a NO PLAY. Posting here to track to see if these plays are a good FADE to take the UNDER. (2-8-1)

    LA ANGELS (15%) -200
    TAMPA BAY (14%) -270
    COLORADO (13%) -135

    I hate laying this large juice, but it is a system play and they should win easily.

    LETS MAKE SOME MONEY!!!!


  19. #19
    peterpan19
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    how many days do you go back for your calc. .... I think maybe something 10 days would be good a idea ?!?!

    GL and kill the books

  20. #20
    JerseyShop101
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    Quote Originally Posted by peterpan19 View Post
    how many days do you go back for your calc. .... I think maybe something 10 days would be good a idea ?!?!

    GL and kill the books
    Just from 1 June, I'm still contemplating using last 100 or 150 innings, but still undecided. Might go to 1 July, and then backtrack. Have a few ideas, hopefully good results continue. Thanks!

  21. #21
    JerseyShop101
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    DAY 5
    6/14 PLAYS:

    BAL/ATL UNDER 9 -105 LOST
    KC/CINN UNDER 8.5 -120 BEST BET WINNER
    LOS DODGERS/TEX UNDER 9.5 -115
    CUBS/MINN UNDER 8 -105 WINNER

    NYM/NYY OVER 9 -110 BEST BET WINNER
    FLA/TOR OVER 8.5 -110 WINNER
    BOS/PHILLY OVER 8.5 -120 BEST BETWINNER

    * COL/SEA LINE would be an OVER Play but line is more than 9 (line is 10) therefore a NO PLAY. Posting here to track to see if these plays are a good FADE to take the UNDER. (2-8-1)

    LA ANGELS (15%) -200
    TAMPA BAY (14%) -270 WINNER
    COLORADO (13%) -135

    I hate laying this large juice, but it is a system play and they should win easily.

    LETS MAKE SOME MONEY!!!!

    [/quote]

    6-1 with 3 pending and currently winning!!

    I LOVE THIS SYSTEM!! (at least so far )

  22. #22
    Sawyer
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    Amazing..

    Congrats mate!

  23. #23
    JerseyShop101
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    Thanks Sawyer!

    DAY 5 A GREAT 9-1 DAY!!!
    June 14th Plays:
    UNDERS 3-1 +1.95
    OVERS where line is 9 or less 3-0 +3.00
    9% and Up Plays 3-0 +3.00
    Overall 9-1 +7.95

    YTD (5 DAYS)
    UNDERS 16-4-1 80% +11.80
    OVERS where line is 9 or less 8-2 80% +5.80
    OVERS where line is 9.5 or higher 2-8-1 20% -6.55
    All OVERS 10-10-1 50% -0.75
    9% and Up Plays 13-2 87% +11.94
    6% and Up Plays 14-4 78% +9.47
    Overall 40-18-2 69% +20.52

  24. #24
    Panekkkk
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    Hey Jersey great stuff so far ;P

    How are you choosing your unders? Are you just taking any matches with a team in the bottom 6 or so?

    Keep it up, hope it continues to hit :P

  25. #25
    JerseyShop101
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    Quote Originally Posted by Panekkkk View Post
    Hey Jersey great stuff so far ;P

    How are you choosing your unders? Are you just taking any matches with a team in the bottom 6 or so?

    Keep it up, hope it continues to hit :P
    Thanks, for the Unders, I take any of the teams with a .21 or lower that is playing a team that is .28 or lower.

  26. #26
    Panekkkk
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    Thanks :P

    If this continues to hit have you given any thought on how far back you'll backlog? For example, in August, it might be wise to only use July data than using July and June data combined, or using last 15 days, or last 30 days etc.

    Especially late in the season, you might dilute some trends by using data 2 or 3 months old :P
    Last edited by Panekkkk; 06-14-09 at 09:59 PM.

  27. #27
    JerseyShop101
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    Quote Originally Posted by Panekkkk View Post
    Thanks :P

    If this continues to hit have you given any thought on how far back you'll backlog? For example, in August, it might be wise to only use July data than using July and June data combined, or using last 15 days, or last 30 days etc.

    Especially late in the season, you might dilute some trends by using data 2 or 3 months old :P
    I'm checking into several avenues of approach, I really don't want to use data that is "old" just like you said. Looking at maybe 20 games max, approx 170 innings max. But still checking into it.


  28. #28
    JerseyShop101
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    Stats 6/1 through 6/14:

    #Scored Inn Tot Innings %
    SDG 20 115 0.17
    WAS 21 110 0.19
    CIN 25 127 0.20
    KAN 22 106 0.21
    OAK 26 125 0.21
    LOS 23 110 0.21
    BAL 22 105 0.21

    TEX 23 106 0.22
    CUB 25 115 0.22
    ATL 26 118 0.22
    DET 29 127 0.23
    CWS 31 135 0.23
    PIT 29 121 0.24
    SEA 26 108 0.24
    MIL 29 116 0.25
    MIN 27 108 0.25
    STL 32 126 0.25
    SFO 29 114 0.25
    ARI 30 115 0.26
    NYM 29 110 0.26
    TOR 29 108 0.27
    HOU 34 123 0.28
    CLE 30 107 0.28
    FLA 35 123 0.28

    BOS 33 109 0.30
    PHI 36 117 0.31
    NYY 36 115 0.31
    TAM 35 104 0.34
    LAA 37 105 0.35
    COL 36 96 0.38
    865 3424 0.25

    DAY 6
    PLAYS for 6/15:

    LA ANGELS/SF OVER 8.5 EV

    LA ANGELS (10%) -122


    YTD (5 DAYS)
    UNDERS 16-4-1 80% +11.80
    OVERS where line is 9 or less 8-2 80% +5.80
    OVERS where line is 9.5 or higher 2-8-1 20% -6.55
    All OVERS 10-10-1 50% -0.75
    9% and Up Plays 13-2 87% +11.94
    6% and Up Plays 14-4 78% +9.47
    Overall 40-18-2 69% +20.52

  29. #29
    therber2
    Barrels of whiskey
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    Again, JS, good stuff!

  30. #30
    Killer Chihuahua
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    nice stuff......keep up the fine work

  31. #31
    JerseyShop101
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    Thanks Killer.

    DAY 6 RESULTS
    PLAYS for 6/15:

    LA ANGELS/SF OVER 8.5 EV WINNER

    LA ANGELS 10% -122 WINNER

    YTD (6 DAYS)
    UNDERS 16-4-1 80% +11.80
    OVERS where line is 9 or less 9-2 82% +6.80
    OVERS where line is 9.5 or higher 2-8-1 20% -6.55
    All OVERS 11-10-1 52% +.25
    9% and Up Plays 14-2 88% +12.94
    6% and Up Plays 15-4 79% +10.47
    Overall 42-18-2 70% +22.52


  32. #32
    JerseyShop101
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    Updated Stats 1-15 June:
    #Scored Inn Tot Innings %
    SDG 20 115 0.17
    WAS 21 110 0.19
    CIN 25 127 0.20
    KAN 22 106 0.21
    OAK 26 125 0.21
    LOS 23 110 0.21
    BAL 22 105 0.21

    TEX 23 106 0.22
    CUB 25 115 0.22
    ATL 26 118 0.22
    DET 29 127 0.23
    CWS 31 135 0.23
    PIT 29 121 0.24
    SEA 26 108 0.24
    MIN 27 108 0.25
    STL 32 126 0.25
    ARI 30 115 0.26
    NYM 29 110 0.26
    SFO 33 123 0.27
    TOR 29 108 0.27
    HOU 34 123 0.28
    MIL 35 125 0.28
    FLA 35 123 0.28

    CLE 34 116 0.29
    BOS 33 109 0.30
    PHI 36 117 0.31
    NYY 36 115 0.31
    TAM 35 104 0.34
    LAA 40 114 0.35
    COL 36 96 0.38
    882 3460 0.25

    DAY 7
    6/16 PLAYS

    SD/SEA UNDER 7 -120
    CIN/ATL UNDER 8 -105
    KC/ARI UNDER 8.5 -110
    OAK/LOS UNDER 7.5 -125
    BAL/NYM UNDER 9.5 -105

    LA ANGELS/SF line not out Yet - Take UNDER if line is 9.5 or more (Over FADE PLAY), if not take Over

    CLE/MIL OVER 9 EV
    TOR/PHILLY OVER 9 EV

    BOS/FLA UNDER 9.5 -105 (This is an Over FADE PLAY)
    TB/COL UNDER 10 EV (This is an Over FADE PLAY)

    NYY (12%) -350 (This must be the biggest line of the year)
    LA ANGELS (8%) LINE NOT OUT YET
    SEA (7%) -148
    HOU (6%) +127

    Going to still take those low Unders.
    This is the 1st 2 or 3 Over FADE Plays (hopefully that record of 2-9-1 continues)
    I will give the 6% and ups (1-2) a shot today to get in the plus.
    Last edited by JerseyShop101; 06-16-09 at 04:09 AM.

  33. #33
    Vreston
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    Excellent job! Keep up the great work!

    I think you're right not to go too far back because if a team is hot or in a slump it's pretty much a thing of the present or recent past. But hey, it's your system and you're doing great so you know what's best.

    BOL!



  34. #34
    Panekkkk
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    Quote Originally Posted by JerseyShop101 View Post
    Updated Stats 1-15 June:
    #Scored Inn Tot Innings %
    SDG 20 115 0.17
    WAS 21 110 0.19
    CIN 25 127 0.20
    KAN 22 106 0.21
    OAK 26 125 0.21
    LOS 23 110 0.21
    BAL 22 105 0.21

    TEX 23 106 0.22
    CUB 25 115 0.22
    ATL 26 118 0.22
    DET 29 127 0.23
    CWS 31 135 0.23
    PIT 29 121 0.24
    SEA 26 108 0.24
    MIN 27 108 0.25
    STL 32 126 0.25
    ARI 30 115 0.26
    NYM 29 110 0.26
    SFO 33 123 0.27
    TOR 29 108 0.27
    HOU 34 123 0.28
    MIL 35 125 0.28
    FLA 35 123 0.28

    CLE 34 116 0.29
    BOS 33 109 0.30
    PHI 36 117 0.31
    NYY 36 115 0.31
    TAM 35 104 0.34
    LAA 40 114 0.35
    COL 36 96 0.38
    882 3460 0.25

    DAY 7
    6/16 PLAYS

    SD/SEA UNDER 7 -120
    CIN/ATL UNDER 8 -105
    KC/ARI UNDER 8.5 -110
    OAK/LOS UNDER 7.5 -125
    BAL/NYM UNDER 9.5 -105

    LA ANGELS/SF line not out Yet - Take UNDER if line is 9.5 or more (Over FADE PLAY), if not take Over

    CLE/MIL OVER 9 EV
    TOR/PHILLY OVER 9 EV

    BOS/FLA UNDER 9.5 -105 (This is an Over FADE PLAY)
    TB/COL UNDER 10 EV (This is an Over FADE PLAY)

    NYY (12%) -350 (This must be the biggest line of the year)
    LA ANGELS (8%) LINE NOT OUT YET
    SEA (7%) -148
    HOU (6%) +127

    Going to still take those low Unders.
    This is the 1st 2 or 3 Over FADE Plays (hopefully that record of 2-9-1 continues)
    I will give the 6% and ups (1-2) a shot today to get in the plus.
    Some more suggestions for filters (not trying to make things too complicated):

    You may consider breaking these number down by home/away although the system seems performing pretty well up to this point so that may be overkill

  35. #35
    JerseyShop101
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    DAY 7
    6/16 PLAYS

    SD/SEA UNDER 7 -120
    CIN/ATL UNDER 8 -105
    KC/ARI UNDER 8.5 -110
    OAK/LOS UNDER 7.5 -125
    BAL/NYM UNDER 9.5 -105
    BOS/FLA UNDER 9.5 -105 (This is an Over FADE PLAY)
    TB/COL UNDER 10 EV (This is an Over FADE PLAY)

    CLE/MIL OVER 9 EV
    LA ANGELS/SF OVER 9 -115
    TOR/PHILLY OVER 9 EV

    NYY (12%) -350
    LA ANGELS (8%) +112
    SEA (7%) -148
    HOU (6%) +127

    Ok, we have 7 UNDERS, 3 OVERS, 4 SIDES.

    Lets make some MONEY!!!

    I'm confident! Worst case scenario I go 10-4 here. And you can now find Bos/FLA Under 10 and TB/COL Under 10.5!

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