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Hey guys, yu can now get these 3 plays at .5 run better than last night!!!
BAL/NYM UNDER 9.5 -105 (line is now 10 at half the books)
BOS/FLA UNDER 9.5 -105 (This is an Over FADE PLAY) (line is now 10)
TB/COL UNDER 10 EV (This is an Over FADE PLAY)(line is 10.5 everywhere now)
Pretty cool system!
netinfo
Since tonight we are starting with the FADE PLAY, I'll list that in our YTD and take out the ALL OVERS line. I'll leave on the OVERS where the line is 9.5 and higher 2-8-1 -6.55 for accurate accounting, of course:
YTD (6 DAYS)
UNDERS 16-4-1 80% +11.80
OVERS where line is 9 or less 9-2 82% +6.80
OVERS where line is 9.5 or higher 2-8-1 20% -6.55
OVERS where the line is 9.5 or higher FADE PLAY 0-0 0.00
9% and Up Plays 14-2 88% +12.94
6% and Up Plays 15-4 79% +10.47
Overall 42-18-2 70% +22.52
Of course I took BAL and the Under... BAL's 2 run ninth hurt badOriginally Posted by JerseyShop101
Hey guys, yu can now get these 3 plays at .5 run better than last night!!!
BAL/NYM UNDER 9.5 -105 (line is now 10 at half the books)
BOS/FLA UNDER 9.5 -105 (This is an Over FADE PLAY) (line is now 10)
TB/COL UNDER 10 EV (This is an Over FADE PLAY)(line is 10.5 everywhere now)
!
Keep up the great work! I'm not so sure about the fade play but keep on trackin' (get it?)
Last edited by Panekkkk; 06-16-09 at 09:44 PM.
Terrific work! Great night tonight (even better without the fades).
One question: Have you considered if/when you start to let old data fall off (stuff from a couple weeks ago), or are you trying to come up with a number for the whole season?
DAY 8
June 17th Plays:
ATL/CINN UNDER 8.5 -105
SEA/SD UNDER 8 -120
OAK/LOS UNDER 7.5 -105
LA ANGELS/SF OVER 7.5 -115
NYY (15%) -205
LA ANGELS (10%) +151
SEATTLE (8%) +105
I'm only playing these 7 plays. Staying away from the Overs where the line was 9.5 or higher.
Good luck guys and don't forget that the Angels game is an afternoon game, I luv that plus money!
Livingfool, still a work in progress to hopefully continue to put out good winners.
YTD (7 DAYS)
UNDERS 18-7-1 72% +10.45
OVERS where line is 9 or less 11-2-1 85% +8.80
OVERS where line is 9.5 or higher 2-8-1 20% -6.55
OVERS where the line is 9.5 or higher FADE PLAY 0-2 0% -2.05
9% and Up Plays 15-2 88% +13.94
6% and Up Plays 17-5 77% +11.59
Overall 49-24-2 67% +23.24
Hey Jersey,DAY 8
June 17th Plays:
ATL/CINN UNDER 8.5 -105
SEA/SD UNDER 8 -120
OAK/LOS UNDER 7.5 -105
LA ANGELS/SF OVER 7.5 -115
NYY (15%) -205
LA ANGELS (10%) +151
SEATTLE (8%) +105
I'm only playing these 7 plays. Staying away from the Overs where the line was 9.5 or higher.
Good luck guys and don't forget that the Angels game is an afternoon game, I luv that plus money!
Livingfool, still a work in progress to hopefully continue to put out good winners.
YTD (7 DAYS)
UNDERS 18-7-1 72% +10.45
OVERS where line is 9 or less 11-2-1 85% +8.80
OVERS where line is 9.5 or higher 2-8-1 20% -6.55
OVERS where the line is 9.5 or higher FADE PLAY 0-2 0% -2.05
9% and Up Plays 15-2 88% +13.94
6% and Up Plays 17-5 77% +11.59
Overall 49-24-2 67% +23.24
Shouldn't all five series from yesterday be back on the board for the under? Or did yesterdays results push BAL / NYM out and KC / ARI out?
Thats exactly what happened. Balt and Mets are 24 and 26 % respectively since 1 June. Even in my recurring stat they are 23 and 27 % making the totals a NOPLAY.
OAK/LOS UNDER 7.5 -105
8's are becoming more available!
Why the red color in your posted plays today? Does that mean anything or not?DAY 8
June 17th Plays:
ATL/CINN UNDER 8.5 -105
SEA/SD UNDER 8 -120
OAK/LOS UNDER 7.5 -105
LA ANGELS/SF OVER 7.5 -115
NYY (15%) -205
LA ANGELS (10%) +151
SEATTLE (8%) +105
I'm only playing these 7 plays. Staying away from the Overs where the line was 9.5 or higher.
Good luck guys and don't forget that the Angels game is an afternoon game, I luv that plus money!
Livingfool, still a work in progress to hopefully continue to put out good winners.
YTD (7 DAYS)
UNDERS 18-7-1 72% +10.45
OVERS where line is 9 or less 11-2-1 85% +8.80
OVERS where line is 9.5 or higher 2-8-1 20% -6.55
OVERS where the line is 9.5 or higher FADE PLAY 0-2 0% -2.05
9% and Up Plays 15-2 88% +13.94
6% and Up Plays 17-5 77% +11.59
Overall 49-24-2 67% +23.24
BOL!
No, just getting carried away with the paint
DAY 8 RESULTS:
June 17th Plays:
ATL/CINN UNDER 8.5 -105 WINNER
SEA/SD UNDER 8 -120 WINNER
OAK/LOS UNDER 7.5 -105 LOST
LA ANGELS/SF OVER 7.5 -115 LOST
NYY (15%) -205 LOST
LA ANGELS (10%) +151 WINNER
SEATTLE (8%) +105 WINNER
4-3 +.31
I guess if our worst days are still in the plus, I can't complain. :>)
YTD (8 DAYS)
UNDERS 20-8-1 71% +11.40
OVERS where line is 9 or less 11-3-1 77% +7.65
OVERS where line is 9.5 or higher 2-8-1 20% -6.55
OVERS where the line is 9.5 or higher FADE PLAY 0-2 0% -2.05
9% and Up Plays 16-3 84% +13.40
6% and Up Plays 20-6 77% +13.10
Overall 53-27-2 66% +23.55
Great work so far. Keep it up.
Nice! This system is really cool
**************************************** ************
Ok, I have 2 spreadhseets in place, "A" is the tallying stats from 1 June to Present date, and "B" is only the last 12 days only. I will still use the 21% and lower and 29% and higher as the key percentages.
The "current average for "A" is at 26% and "B" is at 27%. Still using the 21% and lower will ensure we are getting true low teams to use for the Under games, and still uising 29% and higher is still good to use for our Over games since I am only playing the Overs where the line is 9 or less. I will continue track in case we need to adjust, of course.
DAY 9:
June 18th Plays:
ATL/CINN UNDER 9 -110
SEA/SD UNDER 8.5 -125
OAK/LOS UNDER 7.5 -125
TB/COL OVER 9 -125
NYY (13%) -1.5 -155
CWS (15%) +145
LOS (7%) -146
SEA (8%) +108
GOOD LUCK GUYS AND HAVE A GREAT DAY!!!
**************************************** ***********
Last edited by JerseyShop101; 06-18-09 at 11:02 AM.
Any way in particular you came up with the number 12? Not criticizing (I'll take any system that tells me to bet on the White Sox, lol), I'm just trying to understand the system better because I like it.
Great idea Jersey, I was going to suggest 15 and 30 days but it's all relative! And don't ever give up the paint!
Last edited by Panekkkk; 06-18-09 at 11:20 AM.
Here's the daily breakdown. Hope we never have a losing day!
DAY#(date) W L T Units W L T % YTD Units
1 10-Jun 8 4 1 2.21 8 4 1 67% 2.21
2 11-Jun 7 5 1 2.88 15 9 2 63% 5.09
3 12-Jun 9 2 0 7.10 24 11 2 69% 12.19
4 13-Jun 7 6 0 0.38 31 17 2 65% 12.57
5 14-Jun 9 1 0 7.95 40 18 2 69% 20.52
6 15-Jun 2 0 0 2.00 42 18 2 70% 22.52
7 16-Jun 7 6 1 0.72 49 24 3 67% 23.24
8 17-Jun 4 3 0 0.31 53 27 3 66% 23.55
9 18-Jun
jersey...so far it looks really good...I am rooting for ya no matter what...
also noticed your playing the RL for the Yanks today...so you dont play big favs anymore and take the RL instead ?
GL
Only in this case with the Yanks, didn't like getting bit yesterday.
2 bad beats today....thought cws game was over....up 4 runs
GL tonight
Need the Dodgers to pull through to avoid a real bad day.
Lovin' those unders! Keep on chuggin!
Nice hit on the Dodgers and the under. Finished the night off strong.
Dodgers and the under pull through! Still no days with a losing record. I was fortunate that my book had the Rays-Rockies game at 9.5, so I didn't pull the trigger.
Like Peterpan said , Bad beats, Thursday bases felt like a poker game, and I got those the Bad beats, but all in all went 4-4 -.80 so wasn't that bad. Actually was first losing day.
My Seattle losing in xtra innings, but the real bad beat, my Whitesox, leading 5-1 going into the Btm 8th loses.
Day9/Jun18 RESULTS
ATL/CINN UNDER 9 -110 WINNER
SEA/SD UNDER 8.5 -125 WINNER
OAK/LOS UNDER 7.5 -125 WINNER
UNDERS 3-0 +3.00
TB/COL OVER 9 -125 LOST
OVERS 0-1 -1.25
NYY (13%,15%)-1.5 -155 LOST
CWS (15%) +145 LOST
9%andUP 0-2 -2.55
LOS (7%) -146 WINNER
SEA (8%) +101 LOST
6%andUP 1-3 -2.55
4-4 -.80
YTD (9 DAYS)
UNDERS 23-8-1 74% +14.40
OVERS where line is 9 or less 11-4-1 73% +6.40
OVERS where line is 9.5 or higher 2-8-1 20% -6.55
OVERS where the line is 9.5 or higher FADE PLAY 0-2 0% -2.05
9% and Up Plays 16-5 76% +10.85
6% and Up Plays 21-9 70% +10.55
Overall 57-31-3 65% +22.75
DAY # W L T Units W L T % YTD Units
1 10-Jun 8 4 1 2.21 8 4 1 67% 2.21
2 11-Jun 7 5 1 2.88 15 9 2 63% 5.09
3 12-Jun 9 2 0 7.10 24 11 2 69% 12.19
4 13-Jun 7 6 0 0.38 31 17 2 65% 12.57
5 14-Jun 9 1 0 7.95 40 18 2 69% 20.52
6 15-Jun 2 0 0 2.00 42 18 2 70% 22.52
7 16-Jun 7 6 1 0.72 49 24 3 67% 23.24
8 17-Jun 4 3 0 0.31 53 27 3 66% 23.55
9 18-Jun 4 4 0 -.80 57 31 3 65% 22.75
With the average of 11 games in 12 days, which averages 95 innings, each inning a run is scored or not, is a little more than 1 percentage point, which willl provide for more variance, otherwise, will will have more teams to "sweep" their opponent which doesn't happen that much. I'm using 2 spreadsheets, one from 1June to current, and a Last 12 days only one.
I like it. Also, I feel your Sox pain -- I was at the game. Amazing how much the atmosphere changed in the span of about 4 pitches. Linebrink has no business being in a close game.With the average of 11 games in 12 days, which averages 95 innings, each inning a run is scored or not, is a little more than 1 percentage point, which willl provide for more variance, otherwise, will will have more teams to "sweep" their opponent which doesn't happen that much. I'm using 2 spreadsheets, one from 1June to current, and a Last 12 days only one.
BOL!
DAY 10 - June 19th PLAYS:
OAK/SD (38%,36%) UNDER 7.5 -130
LOS/LAA (58%,68%) OVER 8-105
LAA (12%,12%) -102
COL (12%,11%) -172
TOR (10%, 13%) -112
CLE (8%,13%) -109
TB (8%,7%) -118
BOS (8%,7%) -150
MILW (8%,6%) +106
The percentages are from the 2 spreadsheets. I am still playing the 6-8%'s to see if it shows progress (5-4 -.30). The 9% and up record is 16-5 +10.85.
I really like these lower priced plays, LAA, TOR, CLE, MILW, but everything is for 1 unit as always. There were some Over plays but the line is more than 9, so I'm staying away. Ample picks to make a nice profit today.
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE!
I haven't been able to follow every day, but I liked what you did at the beginning and stated which games you thought were "best bet". Maybe you can start doing this again?
Thanks and Keep up the great work!
I'll ride with you in LAA, COL and TOR. I'll chase these teams to win at least one game at home.
GL mate!
Nice system!
Vreston, Will do, A guy asked me for my best ones earlier and its the same 4 as my post above. I hope you already jumped on CLE.
LAA (12%,12%) -102
TOR (10%, 13%) -112
CLE (8%,13%) -109
MILW (8%,6%) +106
Sawyer, I want us to break out the brooms today !
cubs srew us again....??
oh no...bad beat again
DAY 10 - June 19th RESULTS:
OAK/SD (38%,36%) UNDER 7.5 -130 LOST
LOS/LAA (58%,68%) OVER 8-105 WINNER
LAA (12%,12%) -102 WINNER
COL (12%,11%) -172 WINNER
TOR (10%, 13%) -112 LOST
CLE (8%,13%) -109 LOST
TB (8%,7%) -118 LOST
BOS (8%,7%) -150 LOST
MILW (8%,6%) +106 LOST
3-6 -4.19
Absolutely crushed with the 6% plays 0-4 -4.77,
If I would of just stuck with what was working well -
Under went 0-1 -1.30
OVERS where line is 9 or less 1-0 +1.00
9% and up went 2-1 +.88
we would of finished 3-2 +.58
The Overs where the line is 9.5 or higher FADE PLAY would of went 4-1!
Sorry guys,.
YTD (10 DAYS)
UNDERS 23-9-1 72% +13.10
OVERS where line is 9 or less 12-4-1 75% +7.40
OVERS where line is 9.5 or higher 2-8-1 20% -6.55
OVERS where the line is 9.5 or higher FADE PLAY 0-2 0% -2.05
9% and Up Plays 18-6 75% +11.73
6% and Up Plays 23-14 62% +6.66
Overall 60-37-3 62% +18.56
Number of runs scored can't predict an absolutely terrible bullpen in CLE, and the Nats-Blue Jays could easily have gone the other way. Keep up the good work
Absolutely no need to apologize. Come out with a bang today and lets get that money.
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