[sportsguy4]

Seems like a lot of runs to give up. This is the current line on 5 dimes. Taking the U

[shift_knob]

Why so high?!?!

[Omaga]

taking the U U as L

[vigster]

grabbed the under but something seems fishy.....

[sportsguy4]

grabbed the under but something seems fishy.....

Totally agree. I already took the under too, but I can't figure out why a NL game has such a high run total?

[jscene]

Check the weather.

[jscene]

http://dailybaseballdata.com/cgi-bin/weather.pl

[Omaga]

great fade material......the books don't hand out high numbers assuming the game will go under...some people are unreal.

[shift_knob]

Under it is

[yisman]

lol c'mon, guys don't follow baseball? Whenever the wind is blowing out at Wrigley you get high totals.

If the wind were blowing in you'd have a total of like 8 for today.

[shift_knob]

I know the number is high...but it's still the cubs facing a decent pitcher here, Cindy may be able to put up 8 runs tonight, I don't expect more than 4 from the cubbies

[JMon]

As far as I can go back in my database, the Cubs at home has had a total of 14 or more two times since 2004. Both went over.

2004(total, 14.0): Maddux vs Reds (Wilson) L 10-11
2010(total, 14.5): Wells vs Diamondbacks (Lopez) W 11-5

Three other games all in 2004, Rockies at home with a total of 14 or more- all three went over.

I'm personally playing Cubs +129. Gl total bettors!

[CollegeOverUnder]

my sister lives in Wriglyville just texted her she said winds are supposed to be 30MPH+ tonight blowing out of the stadium so im playing the OVER

[pattymayo]

Always play the over at wrigley when it's set this high .

[shift_knob]

Oh man I am wrong side thrn

[swervv]

CINCY will score like 15 tonight

[leetreaper]

Every total over 12 like last threee years went over from what i remember...

[jscene]

I remember it was 12.5 Memorial Day this year vs Padres. It ended up being 18 total runs. There was bunch of HRs.

[Ghenghis Kahn]

21 mph wind blowing out. there's a reason why the total is set so high.

[onacloud]

Every total over 12 like last threee years went over from what i remember...

really?

[Bdolan33]

You still have to hit the ball pretty hard to take it that deep that many times. im on the under. The wind might assist 1 or 2 homeruns at the most.

[yisman]

The wind might assist 1 or 2 homeruns at the most.

at most? You better look at the previous games where winds of 20+ mph were blowing out.

[CollegeOverUnder]

dear god people if the winds are blowing at 30MPH winds the ball is going to soar like crazy. A tiny little baseball is going to hull ass out of the field in 30MPH winds.

[yisman]

contrary to what some might believe, it's not really that difficult to hit a homer at Wrigley when 20+ mph winds are blowing out. All you need to do is look at the past Wrigley games with totals of 11+ and see what happened. Every "routine fly ball" is a threat to go out. As an added bonus, when guys pop up, it's a hell of a time trying to catch it.

The only way to combat it is with ground ball pitchers, and neither Leake nor Rusin fit the bill.

[vikingfan101]

On the over. Thanks for the update. BOL!

[Bdolan33]

Either way i think the over is crazy to take. if you dont think its going under then lay off it.

[leetreaper]

really?

Pretty sure but def more overs then unders and not even close...esp at wrigleys

[HoulihansTX]

Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs – 7:05 PM CDT - Wrigley Field
Wind: From SSW 21 mph

[5teamparlay]

Easy over

An old timer once told at the stardust 1991


Alway bet over the highest total and under the lowest total... Has been working for me now for over 20 years..


On top of that the higher the better and lower the better as well..

[yisman]

http://greymatterstats.wordpress.com...-total-result/

• STD for total of 7.5 or less the Over has been 55.0%, 5.8% higher than all other stadiums
• STD for total of 11.0 or higher the Over has been 66.7%, 3.0% higher than all other stadiums
• STD when the total has been 7.5 or less the Over has been 24.2% more likely than when the Total ranged from 8.0-10.5
• STD when the total has been 11.0 or higher the Over has been 35.9% more likely than when the Total ranged from 8.0-10.5
• STD when the total ranged from 8.0-10.5 the Under has been the side 69.2%
• STD when the total has been 11.0 or higher at any stadium, the Over has been 61.5%

[Hilljacademics]

I took the over 14 (EV) @ DSI. Even Leake can hit a bomb to left-center

[JMon]

Every total over 12 like last threee years went over from what i remember...

Since the 2010 season, totals of 12 or more are 5-5 O/U.

Nine of those have been a Wrigley, 5-4 over.

4-29-2010: 5-13 over
4-30-2010: 11-5 over
7-24-2010: 6-5 under
9-06-2010: 5-4 under
9-23-2010: 0-13 over
4-03-2011: 4-5 under
5-30-2011: 7-12 over
7-01-2011: 4-6 under
5-28-2012: 11-7 over

Since the 2010 season, totals of 13 or more are 3-1 O/U, all of which have been a Wrigley (average runs 15.8).

[Hilljacademics]

Reds line-up tonight:

1. Phillips
2. Stubbs
3. Votto
4. Ludwick
5. Bruce
6. Rolen
7. Navarro
8. Valdez
9. Leake

That's a good recipe for at least 10 runs, knowing Leake will give up at least 6 on his own.

[R.P. McMurphy]

Ov 6-0 last 6 games for head ump Schreiber.

[matt1216]

Seems like a lot of runs to give up. This is the current line on 5 dimes. Taking the U

why would u gab the under here? its 14 for a reason....... when was the last time it hit 14????over it is