Guys I am not going to go ala Nocoin and bet underdogs 100% of the time to try and look sharp, but no way is Lance Lynn -245. Stay off this one with Harrell going on the other side. STL always has trouble with young Houston arms. There is value in Harrell, but I'd rather play roulette than see ways in which Houston can lose.
Now Lynn. This guy is better at home, but no chance can this scrub be -245 with what he's done since the all star break. He's only back in the rotation (after doing shitty in the bullpen) because of an injury to the 5th starter on STL.
I RARELY bet on the Stros but this one has upset written all over it. Harrell 2-1 vs Cards this year. If Houston can hit Cueto, Halladay, Cloyd, Kendrick then they can hit Lynn.