1. 08-08-12 01:52 PM #1
    JMon
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    Anyone fading the Mariners today?

    It appears to be a situational play here...even with Steve Johnson on the hill?

    "At Norfolk this year, Johnson is 4-8 with a 2.86 ERA in 19 games (14 starts). The 24-year-old allowed 66 hits and 31 walks while striking out 86 batters. He’s on regular, four-days' rest."

    The Orioles have been decent labeled as a home favorite going for the 3 game home sweep... since 2004, they are 21-8, 9-0 in their L9 and 2-0 this year.

    Meanwhile, the Mariners seem to be in a probable nasty situation tonight. As a road dog, following a game where they allowed 8 or more runs, they are (since '04) 27-81 SU. Since the 2009 season, they are 3-30 SU and 0-6 this year. Losing by an average margin of 2.6 runs.

    Further, following a game where the allowed 12 or more hits, the Mariners as a road dog are 33-98 SU since 2004. Since the 2008 season, they are 9-49 SU again losing by an average margin of 2.6 runs. They are 2-7 this year in this situation.

    Finally, Mariners left a ton on base last night. Since the Aug of 2008, they are 0-10 following a game where they left 13 or more men on base.

    It appears -127 is a reasonable price here. Anyone have additional info. on Steve Johnson? I heard Hunter will be available in the pen if needed. He was scratched due to a late warmup last night.
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  2. 08-08-12 05:10 PM #2
    JMon
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    No one had thoughts on Steve Johnson?....going to roll with the young fukk...

    22296833 2012-08-08 13:08:55.0 INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 500 win 394 974 Orioles (-127) AT risk 500 win 394 (MLB) Print
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  3. 08-08-12 05:21 PM #3
    HoulihansTX
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    I went under. Baltimore bullpen has been lights out for the past five games.
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  4. 08-08-12 05:30 PM #4
    JMon
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    gl Houlihan...no thoughts on the under here..
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  5. 08-08-12 05:34 PM #5
    italianbandit
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    Good luck JMon. Don't know much about their pitcher but like Balt's current form including their bullpen.
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  6. 08-08-12 07:28 PM #6
    JMon
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    anyone else on this cash cow
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  7. 08-08-12 07:31 PM #7
    nrok2118
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMon View Post
    anyone else on this cash cow
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  8. 08-08-12 09:37 PM #8
    italianbandit
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    Nice call.
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  9. 08-08-12 10:07 PM #9
    b1slickguy
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    You know it! Thanks for the heads up and additional data, JMon!
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  10. 08-10-12 05:08 PM #10
    JMon
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    Same situation (^ post #1) is on for tonight against the Angels. For accurate results just add another loss SU the situations below.

    Meanwhile, the Mariners seem to be in a probable nasty situation tonight. As a road dog, following a game where they allowed 8 or more runs, they are (since '04) 27-81 SU. Since the 2009 season, they are 3-30 SU and 0-6 this year. Losing by an average margin of 2.6 runs.

    Further, following a game where the allowed 12 or more hits, the Mariners as a road dog are 33-98 SU since 2004. Since the 2008 season, they are 9-49 SU again losing by an average margin of 2.6 runs. They are 2-7 this year in this situation.
    However, interesting tonight with Hernandez vs Santana. I wanted to see how the team performed when Hernandez was on the hill for the Mariners in the above situations. Regarding the "allowing 8 or more runs" situation, the Mariners are 1-5 with Hernandez starting in '08. 0-1 SU on the season. Likewise regarding the other situation, the Mariners are 1-5 SU since Sept. 2008 when Hernandez starts...yet he is 1-1 SU this year!!!

    Back on May 26th, the Mariners and Hernandez lost to the Angels at home (3-5). Well this sets up a situation where we want to fade the Mariners. Since the July of '10, the Mariners are 2-13 SU when Hernandez starts on the road when his team lost the last time he started vs this team. During this span three of the losses have came from playing the Angels (7/16/10 vs Weaver, 7/10/11 vs Haren, 8/7/11 vs Santana).The Mariners are 2-5 SU in this situation this year.

    Very scary backing Santana, but I'll take a shot on the Angels as small home favs.
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  11. 08-10-12 05:41 PM #11
    justwin52
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    seattle moneyline is my play of the day
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  12. 08-10-12 05:49 PM #12
    JMon
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    ^ bol bud .
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  13. 08-10-12 06:33 PM #13
    justwin52
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    im hoping the favs win early
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